re: Severe weather threat continues today for parts of the southeast - Threat is Over.

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It’s unusual SPC hasn’t issued a watch yet for that area where the earned storm is.

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They will issue a special discussion if storms persist in that area.

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Super rare 90% contour on the STP

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Vicksburg, MS in the crosshairs

I’m starting to worry this outbreak is going to overperform

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I’m starting to worry this outbreak is going to overperform

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In all honesty, your area looks to be prime. That's not saying there won't be significant threats north and east of you, there will be. But, your area looks to be one of the more favorable for development. Just be prepared and keep an eye out. That's all any of us can do.

That Hazlehurst storm is the only one spinning right now, and its rotation has broadened. I wouldn't expect it to be extended, though it was a 45+ minute warning, and still has around 30 minutes remaining.

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It’s unusual SPC hasn’t issued a watch yet for that area where the earned storm is.

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The parameter space is marginal at best and confined to relatively narrow area with low storm coverage. Move north towards I20 and CAPE drops off like a rock and move south and shear drops. However, this one cell seems to be taking advantage of things.

Tornado warning on that storm has been canceled.

I know James Spann is marginalized in here, but this post rings true. Good points here...
From James Spann Fb post:


I am writing this on the eve of what is expected to be a significant severe weather event for Alabama and the Deep South. On days like this I wonder about our messaging. Is it clear? Are we leaving out certain people groups? What else could we do to reach everyone letting them know of the dangerous setup?

I think the weather community has done a good job of getting the word out across multiple platforms. TV, radio, digital, social. But, we still need your help tonight. If you know of someone who doesn't pay attention to the weather, and stays "off the grid", please get in touch with them and let them know of the threat.

The key messages for everyone tonight...

*Have two ways of receiving warnings. NOAA Weather Radio, and your smart phone. One the phone, have WEA enabled (emergency alerts under notifications), and download the ABC 33/40 Weather App. NEVER rely on a siren. NEVER.

*Know your safe place, and in that place have helmets for everyone, along with portable air horns and hard soled shoes.

*If you live in a mobile home, you can't stay there during a tornado warning. Know the location of the nearest shelter, or business that is open 24/7. And, how to get there as quickly as possible.

And, for those of you that suffer from storm/tornado anxiety or PTSD, understand odds of any one place being hit by a tornado, even during a major outbreak, are always low. Never be afraid, just be in a position to hear warnings and have a plan. We will make it through the day together.

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Know your safe place, and in that place have helmets for everyone, along with portable air horns and hard soled shoes.

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Whoah. That’s sobering. It makes perfect sense; just not something I’ve ever had to really consider, since I’ve never lived in a tornado-heavy location. You always hear about taking cover in a storm shelter, basement, bathroom, etc. but I don’t think I’ve considered the other types of preparation like protecting your skull and having an air horn so people can dig you out. The sheer force of destruction of tornadoes is truly astounding.

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Whoah. That’s sobering. It makes perfect sense; just not something I’ve ever had to really consider, since I’ve never lived in a tornado-heavy location.

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You can actually thank Spann for that one. You will hear that all the time now from on-air mets. He was certainly one of, if not the first to start talking about that.