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re: Severe weather this weekend March 14-15

Posted on 3/11/25 at 9:04 am to
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
104119 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 9:04 am to
Nick Mikulas says Louisiana should miss the worst of it.
Posted by Govt Tide
Member since Nov 2009
9526 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 9:32 am to
No worries but I think you're a day off on those outlooks. The first outlook is for Saturday and the second outlook is for Sunday. There is an enhanced Day 4 (Friday) west/northwest of the Day 5 (Saturday) outlook...



Saturday:

LINK

Sunday:

LINK
This post was edited on 3/11/25 at 9:36 am
Posted by SteelerBravesDawg
Member since Sep 2020
43337 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 9:37 am to
quote:

This will maintain the eastward progression of a strongly forced line of convection from the Ohio Valley south/southwest into the Deep South/central Gulf coast vicinity through Saturday night. Portions of the Deep South into GA may see multiple rounds of severe convection with a mix of both supercell and QLCS storm modes potentially moving across the region, posing a concern for damaging tornadoes and swaths of severe winds.

Well that's no bueno.

Need to make sure I have the weather band on Saturday night
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66889 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 9:38 am to
When RTR posted it, it was current, but it moves up a day, but uses the same SPC link.
The SPC is a little quirky with that.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
39915 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 9:51 am to
Roll — if you had to be in Louisiana Saturday evening, coming from North Mississippi — better to travel Friday or Saturday??
This post was edited on 3/11/25 at 9:54 am
Posted by Govt Tide
Member since Nov 2009
9526 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 10:41 am to
quote:

Roll — if you had to be in Louisiana Saturday evening, coming from North Mississippi — better to travel Friday or Saturday??


That's a tough call because the roughest weather for North Mississippi starts Thursday night thru much of the afternoon on Friday and then the roughest weather transitions further south and east from Friday night thru Saturday.

If you look at the current SPC outlook graph it MAY be better to wait and leave fairly early Saturday morning when a lot of the weather should be well into Mississippi and you can monitor the weather on the trip down because I suspect by midday Saturday most of the worst weather should be east of the I-55 corridor, I'm not a weather model expert btw so take that with a grain of salt

Day 4 (from 6:00 pm CST Thursday to 6:00 pm CST Friday)

Day 5 (from 6:00 pm CST Friday to 6:00 pm CST Saturday)

LINK

This post was edited on 3/11/25 at 10:44 am
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
39915 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 10:50 am to
Thanks. It’s actually our daughter (who keeps zero track of weather) driving home for a half marathon on Sunday. Her trips are always around crappy weather .. last time was ice/snow.

We’ll just have her keep an eye on it but we will as well.

Appreciate it.
Posted by BomBayTiger
Member since Feb 2009
4206 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 11:07 am to
Any chance the rain is out and done with Baton Rouge by Saturday AM?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50569 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 11:14 am to
quote:

Roll — if you had to be in Louisiana Saturday evening, coming from North Mississippi — better to travel Friday or Saturday??

That’s a tough one. I could see there being issues in Mississippi, particularly north Mississippi, on Friday evening/night. I would say Friday would be the better choice if you could do the traveling earlier in the day. Timing on this one isn’t totally certain yet, and it’s possible that it could be a multiple round event with some breaks in between rounds. Hopefully there will be a little more clarity by tomorrow afternoon.
This post was edited on 3/11/25 at 11:17 am
Posted by BPTiger
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2011
6016 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 11:32 am to
I may be the outlier but the thought of planning a drive time because of severe weather has never occurred to me.

I wouldn’t make a drive in a hurricane or blizzard but a rain storm?
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
39915 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 11:54 am to
Appreciate you!
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
39915 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 11:55 am to
It looks like it’ll be more than a rainstorm. Regular rain? Wouldn’t even worry.
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
6945 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 1:05 pm to
Getting stuck in a severe thunderstorm on the road is never fun especially at night. Why not try to avoid it if possible?
Posted by AHM21
Member since Feb 2008
29957 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 1:10 pm to
Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
24665 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 1:17 pm to
If this weekend’s travel ball games are canceled I’ll make sure we practice extra hard on Monday.
Posted by Thracken13
Aft Cargo Hold of Serenity
Member since Feb 2010
18527 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 1:18 pm to
damn - that is not looking good for west and west central AL
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50569 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

Appreciate you!

Posted by StringedInstruments
Member since Oct 2013
20329 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

damn - that is not looking good for west and west central AL


Am I reading that correctly? Nearly a 50% chance of at least one long track tornado forming?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50569 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

may be the outlier but the thought of planning a drive time because of severe weather has never occurred to me.

I wouldn’t make a drive in a hurricane or blizzard but a rain storm?

Regular rain, sure. What we’re talking about/concerned about here are severe storms (those which produce winds of 58 mph or greater, hail that is 1 inch in diameter or larger and potentially tornadoes). I wouldn’t want to be driving while any of those things are happening.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50569 posts
Posted on 3/11/25 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

No worries but I think you're a day off on those outlooks

The outlook graphics update automatically when the SPC updates them. So they were accurate yesterday, but now that the days have changed it messes them up.
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