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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:33 am to Duke
quote:
I'm glad to see all this minor convection ahead of the best dynamics. Lowers our risk, specifically for tornadoes.
Want to see all the BR people bitching about "bust" later.
Still hours to go while the main show gets together out west of here
Is there any reason why the Tornado Watch issued earlier did not include St. Tammany or southern MS counties? Do you expect one to be issued later?
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:34 am to TakingStock
It will definitely be issued eastward later.
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:34 am to TakingStock
quote:
Is there any reason why the Tornado Watch issued earlier did not include St. Tammany or southern MS counties? Do you expect one to be issued later?
I'm guessing it's mostly just a timing thing
as the line moves east... the watch will be extended east
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:34 am to TakingStock
quote:
Is there any reason why the Tornado Watch issued earlier did not include St. Tammany or southern MS counties
Conditions aren't favorable enough yet.
quote:
Do you expect one to be issued later?
100%
That's the most at risk area imo. Northern St. Tammany into Mississippi.
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:43 am to Duke
quote:
Duke
Thank you for all of your efforts and solid work.
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:43 am to LCA131
Watch that cell south of Morgan City. Looks like it's about to blow up.
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:43 am to Large Farva
quote:
When is the best time to make the drive from Nola to BR? We were just told to take off at noon.
Sounds like your boss wants you gone, but doesn't want to have to fire you or lay you off.
Is he making you use the crappiest car in his fleet?
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:46 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
Chances are it wouldn't be as big as those previously observed in the quad.
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:46 am to Chatagnier
The cell that just went through Jeanerette has some potential.
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:47 am to TigerstuckinMS
quote:
Sounds like your boss wants you gone, but doesn't want to have to fire you or lay you off. Is he making you use the crappiest car in his fleet?
He's allowing me to take my roller skates home from work today. Luckily I don't have to go too far. Motel 6 is right behind Sonic...I mean my office.
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:48 am to LCA131
quote:
This activity should merge into a broader QLCS that moves east-northeast across the Lower MS Valley into AL through tonight. Rich boundary-layer moisture sampled by the 12Z Lake Charles sounding and characterized by upper 60s to lower 70s dew points will spread north ahead of this activity in conjunction with an amplifying low-level jet. Surface cyclone near Lake Charles will deepen as it ejects into the TN Valley through tonight. Moderate insolation/boundary-layer heating is underway downstream of the rich moisture plume. The combination of these will contribute to a swath of 750-1500 J/kg MLCAPE amid weak mid-level lapse rates, likely extending as far north as central MS to central AL during the late afternoon and evening
quote:
Strong low/deep-layer shear will be favorable for embedded bowing and supercell structures, however generally line-parallel flow may be a limiting factor.
quote:
Nevertheless, potential exists for scattered to widespread damaging winds along with short-track tornadoes (a few of which may be significant). The most likely region for these hazards to occur is across MS this afternoon and AL this evening.
quote:
Whether or not more discrete convection can become sustained ahead of the QLCS is uncertain. Most CAMs suggest ahead of the line convection should struggle to intensify along the leading edge of forcing for ascent. The overall severe risk should subside some overnight, but at least an isolated wind/tornado threat should persist into western GA and the eastern FL Panhandle through early morning.
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:50 am to LCA131
quote:
Thank you for all of your efforts and solid work.
quote:
LCA131
What is it to you? Are you in Louisiana, Texas or Mississippi?
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:53 am to Duke
You guys are rock stars right now FYI
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:56 am to Broke
quote:
You guys are rock stars right now FYI
we're all just fighting for our right to party
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:57 am to LCA131
quote:
I would take shelter in a storm cellar like Dorothy tried to in the WofO..
You mean like a spider hole?
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:58 am to rt3
BREAKING NEWS:
traffic is fricked on the I-10 Bridge in BR
oh wait... that's an everyday occurance... nevermind... carry on
traffic is fricked on the I-10 Bridge in BR
oh wait... that's an everyday occurance... nevermind... carry on
Posted on 4/18/19 at 11:59 am to rt3
So far things are not as bad as predicted.
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:01 pm to TigerstuckinMS
Below ground, but much more practical
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:02 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
What is it to you? Are you in Louisiana, Texas or Mississippi?
Go frick yourself, liar.
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