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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:40 pm to
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53374 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

There is a 100% chance it won’t be a BR landfall.


I know coastal erosion is a thing, but frick
Posted by 91TIGER
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2006
19234 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

There is a 100% chance it won’t be a BR landfall.


I know coastal erosion is a thing, but frick



Posted by Drew Orleans
Member since Mar 2010
21577 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:42 pm to
Butt frick?
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133421 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:44 pm to
I'm thinking the folks at the AVNI (RED) model may need to do some tweaking of their software on its five-day forecast...

Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
128758 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:45 pm to
I predict a shift back east by half an H at 4 pm
Posted by TypoKnig
Member since Aug 2011
8928 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

half an H


So a h?
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53374 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:46 pm to


Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:47 pm to
If I were in Slidell or anywhere on the Northshore that floods or anywhere that flooded for Issac I’d be getting my shite together
Posted by cbdman
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2015
1264 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:48 pm to
You still evacuating? (I'm in your area).
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91271 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

Upshear it appears too. Hopefully it can’t make it around.




Looks like the shear is still blowing off the tops.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53374 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:49 pm to
What improvements have been made around Laplace? Isaac flooded that area like never before.
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 1:51 pm
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
76020 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

I'm thinking the folks at the AVNI (RED) model may need to do some tweaking of their software on its five-day forecast...



There are a few that do the same thing.

They all start agreeing and I'm going to bolt.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
76020 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:50 pm to
An n
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:50 pm to
So how did the Euro and GFS do initially? Looking at the 588 line.



Now the Euro...



and the GFS...



Euro was a little better at the initial step. Typical of the two, GFS a little too weak with ridging, weak as it is. Could imply the GFS is a little too slow and that allows the farther east solution. It's all pretty subtle though.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40143 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

What improvements have been made around Laplace? Isaac flooded that area like never before.


not much. There are some plans and ideas in place but not much done.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

What improvements have been made around Laplace? Isaac flooded that area like never before.



Nothing to my Knowledge. However I think money has been allocated for some kind of storm protection system but I don’t think any work has been done however I could be wrong.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

You still evacuating? (I'm in your area).


I'm sitting in BR right now.
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10096 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

He said BR landfall you dolts.



I'm a dumbass..... Nothing to see here...
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40143 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

I'm thinking the folks at the AVNI (RED) model may need to do some tweaking of their software on its five-day forecast...


It's 2020... watch that be the one that verifies
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20521 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

rmnldr
quote:

I don’t give a frick what you think
You must be a really nice person to be around.
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