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Started By
Message
re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:23 am to Cosmo
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:23 am to Cosmo
quote:
This multi billion dollar levee and pump upgrade gonna get tested
Yep...
I know the levees on the East Bank of JP on the lake are probably a third taller...
and I feel a lot better about the 17th street canal situation.. and the fact they'll have pump operators there during the storm...
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 9:24 am
0
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:24 am to Jake88
That's model guidance, not the forecast. The NHC is going 100 mph.
The range of potential is 70-105 imo and we won't really know the answer on that until tomorrow.
The range of potential is 70-105 imo and we won't really know the answer on that until tomorrow.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:24 am to Legion of Doom
quote:
Alabama baws. I’m on the storm team at work. Thinking of sending the wife and kids to Birmingham for a few days. What are the areas of town to avoid?
I’d avoid the Birmingham area of Birmingham.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:25 am to BPTiger
I’m a little concerned in old Metairie, but it is what it is. Hopefully it doesn’t flood too bad.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:25 am to Legion of Doom
if your sending them up - Hoover is probly your best bet - 280 area from Mountbrook south is good - just traffic.\
if you are lookign to get them hotels Hoover close to the galleria, Colonade right off 459 has decent hotels and decent food close by.
if you are lookign to get them hotels Hoover close to the galleria, Colonade right off 459 has decent hotels and decent food close by.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:26 am to Legion of Doom
quote:
Alabama baws. I’m on the storm team at work. Thinking of sending the wife and kids to Birmingham for a few days. What are the areas of town to avoid?
Stay east of I-65 and they will be fine. I’d consider something in Hoover or around 280.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:27 am to Duke
quote:So what do they base their intensity prediction on?
That's model guidance, not the forecast. The NHC is going 100 mph
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:27 am to Duke
quote:
The range of potential is 70-105 imo and we won't really know the answer on that until tomorrow.
Yep. Next 48 hours are key
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:27 am to Thracken13
If you want downtown stay at the Westin. Probably the best part of Birmingham.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:28 am to Jake88
Man frick, my parents house is right on the water in Slidell in Lakeshore Estates.....this does not look good at the moment
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:31 am to jac1280
quote:
an frick, my parents house is right on the water in Slidell in Lakeshore Estates.....this does not look good at the moment
I'm in Eden isles. As long as I don't see people start pulling boats out of the water and packing vehicles I feel ok
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:31 am to Jake88
quote:
So what do they base their intensity prediction on?
Models but not just the direct intensity output. It's what the upper levels and shear are showing, water temps in front, structure of the storm vs what models are showing initially. If the model output makes sense.
We've got a situation with a tilted storm that will at some point vertically align and build a core. It will have good conditions to work with until Tuesday during the day to strengthen quickly if the core is built.
If it's late in building, it will struggle to get to hurricane strength with shear increasing a little Tuesday. Not enough to really matter for a stronger storm at that point.
Builds early enough and this could over perform the 100 mph.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:34 am to TheDude
I’m in St. Charles Parish too because my wife is from here. And my family is from St. Francisville. If you need anything while up there reach out. My family is there and willing to help
Congrats on the baby!
Congrats on the baby!
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:34 am to rds dc
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 10:17 am
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:37 am to DVinBR
You’re the only one saying it won’t be a hurricane lol
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:38 am to DVinBR
quote:
it is still fairly unorganized and has only little over a day before it's starting to knock on the door of the coast
i'd be surprised if it makes hurricane status, but of course i've been wrong before
This sounds like an exact quote from late August 2005
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:40 am to Geaux23
well, we see if actually organizes well enough, because as of right now it is still a mess with most convection displaced to the southeast
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:40 am to onelochevy
quote:
I'm in Eden isles. As long as I don't see people start pulling boats out of the water and packing vehicles I feel ok
My podnuh got his out this morning. Hopefully the surge isn't much, but you never know
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:40 am to Legion of Doom
quote:
Alabama baws. I’m on the storm team at work. Thinking of sending the wife and kids to Birmingham for a few days. What are the areas of town to avoid?
While the storm will have weakened significantly by the time it gets there, the track does have the remnants of Sally going right through Birmingham. I'd maybe look at Houston or somewhere that won't have bad weather in the mid-late week forecast.
Might delay their return back to LA if it's storming.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:41 am to onelochevy
quote:
I'm in Eden isles. As long as I don't see people start pulling boats out of the water and packing vehicles I feel ok
Got friends and family that live there. No word if they are getting out yet.
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