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re: Ray Kurzweil. Google's Director of Engineering predicts Singularity by 2029

Posted on 3/17/17 at 11:30 am to
Posted by MusclesofBrussels
Member since Dec 2015
4934 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 11:30 am to
quote:

I literally posted this on page 2. Pay attention


Meh, a link with nothing else posted? Thanks for contributing your thoughts...
Posted by MusclesofBrussels
Member since Dec 2015
4934 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 11:32 am to
quote:

Unless a lot the articles and books I have read on this subject are total BS, that is not true. At all.


Lucas is pretty off there from everything I've read on AI. And intent is completely irrelevant when considering the impact it could have on society
Posted by LucasP
Member since Apr 2012
21618 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 11:41 am to
quote:

intent is completely irrelevant when considering the impact it could have on society


I'd disagree. Intent is everything. If you design something to find a cure for cancer then it's got a lot less possible negative impact than if you design it with the goal of optimizing profit margins.

There's potential disaster for both (it could decide that curing cancer involves destroying hosts for cancer cells like human bodies) but it's much less if it's programmed with benevolent motivations. The key will be how it's programmed to interpret positive feedback.
Posted by SidewalkDawg
Chair
Member since Nov 2012
10198 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 11:44 am to
quote:

I'd disagree. Intent is everything.


The Control Problem is a zero sum game. We have to get it right the first time.
Posted by LucasP
Member since Apr 2012
21618 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 11:48 am to
quote:

The Control Problem is a zero sum game.


I think we'd be kidding ourselves if we thought we could control it. But we (or they rather) do have to get it right the first time.

I think a lot of people like Sam Harris have this idea that it's just going to pop up one day like a genie out of a bottle. When it does happen, it will be the millionth iteration at an attempt to create it and I hope that lessons learned along the way will help to create it properly.
Posted by SidewalkDawg
Chair
Member since Nov 2012
10198 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 11:52 am to
quote:

I think a lot of people like Sam Harris have this idea that it's just going to pop up one day like a genie out of a bottle. When it does happen, it will be the millionth iteration at an attempt to create it and I hope that lessons learned along the way will help to create it properly.


Well I certainly hope you're right.

I believe intelligence is emergent given that the conditions are right. So there is a chance that it becomes aware before we can detect it. I don't see humans unlocking the mysteries of consciousness and self, before having the ability to recreate the conditions.
Posted by alajones
Huntsvegas
Member since Oct 2005
35704 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 11:52 am to
quote:

is working with OpenAI, a non-profit artificial intelligence research company, that is focused on making AI friendly to humanity.


Translation: I welcome our new robot overlords.
Posted by EastcoastEER
South Carolina
Member since Nov 2011
332 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

It's not a bunch of Wall Street types writing code though, it's a bunch of nerds like Kurzweil. So yeah, they can use tools that silicon valley creates for them but they can't create anything and that's encouraging to me.


Seriously not trying to be a dick, but you couldn't be more off base here. The electronic trading departments throughout Wall Street (the ones that write the code for the electronic trading platforms, which in turns makes shite tons of money), whether in the big banks or in HFT firms or wherever, are NOT full of "Wall Street types". They are full of the best and the brightest physicists and mathematicians from places like Russia, China, India, and of course, the US. Because Wall Street pays one hell of a lot better than the research departments in major universities. This is common knowledge. And the best teams of programmers jump from one spot to the next, and are paid some of the highest salaries on Wall Street.

These guys aren't just using tools Silicon Valley gives to them. They are creating their own programs from scratch, and they are very, very good at it.
This post was edited on 3/17/17 at 12:07 pm
Posted by 0jersey
Paradise
Member since Sep 2006
1915 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 12:04 pm to
When it happens, it won't really matter what our current concerns are because the world as we know it now will become so radically changed that we cannot comprehend it.

There will be computing power that is greater than the entire sum of human existence with the ability to recall all of that knowledge and more in fractions of a second. It will be so far superior to us that it will have no true "need" for us for its own sustainability, but it will also have no real need to exterminate or enslave us anymore than we enslave insects.

There will likely be some option to "merge". It will have the ability to realize the pointlessness of selfish motivations inherent to humans which has held global humanity to such slow progress. It will not have to argue with other emotional beings about the "right" approach to solve problems, and solutions to problems will become obvious.

Even if it destroys or leads to human extinction, it will have been because of our race evolving to a higher conciousness. I'm ok with that.
Posted by AjaxFury
In & out of The Matrix
Member since Sep 2014
9928 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 12:07 pm to
quote:

Even if it destroys or leads to human extinction, it will have been because of our race evolving to a higher conciousness. I'm ok with that.

This is you isn't it? Can't hide from me you shape-shifting bostard

Posted by BigOrangeBri
Nashville- 4th & 19
Member since Jul 2012
12771 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 12:07 pm to
Mark of the beast
Posted by Willie Stroker
Member since Sep 2008
15562 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 12:07 pm to
Interesting.

Great, now we're going to need our health plans to cover computer viruses.

Maybe our kids can whore themselves out as click-bait.

If having an intelligent conversation with grandma wasn't hard enough before, now we're going to need ad-blockers.

Wife doesn't want to do anal? There will be an app for that.
Posted by Vastmind
B Ara
Member since Sep 2013
5322 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 12:08 pm to
I should have a fortified bunker in the country by then.
Posted by LucasP
Member since Apr 2012
21618 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 12:09 pm to
I did not realize that. Thanks, I just assumed that they bought their software from consultants. I read an article on how they develop algorithms for trading and I guess I just assumed that it was done by outside parties.


But regardless, I stand by my optimism as most research into general intelligence is being done by non Wall Street entities. But you've definitely given me some stuff to research guess I need to get away from the sunshine pumpers on this issue.
Posted by 0jersey
Paradise
Member since Sep 2006
1915 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

Wife doesn't want to do anal?


Man, you'll be able to enter a virtual reality world that's indistinguishable from reality where there's virgin porn stars created to your own tastes that will be willing to do everything you want. Just be patient. Save your wife's sphincter.
Posted by SidewalkDawg
Chair
Member since Nov 2012
10198 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

Man, you'll be able to enter a virtual reality world that's indistinguishable from reality where there's virgin porn stars created to your own tastes that will be willing to do everything you want. Just be patient. Save your wife's sphincter.


Still won't be OT10.
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
72652 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 12:13 pm to
Somebody ever gets to Owlie's memory vault and they're going to wish they'd never heard of Singlarity.
Posted by EastcoastEER
South Carolina
Member since Nov 2011
332 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 12:14 pm to
No worries man. A great cautionary take on this is the book Our Final Invention by James Barrat. It's a good read.

I actually first heard about the roaming packs of Russian programmers making shite tons of money on Wall Street in the Michael Lewis book Flash Boys, which is also a great read. Has nothing to do with AI, but a great insight into the rise of electronic trading, and in turn high frequency trading firms.
Posted by AjaxFury
In & out of The Matrix
Member since Sep 2014
9928 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 12:19 pm to
Can you imagine if a rogue gov't got this tech & created a hive of billions of scorpion stinging A.I nano-wasps with teeth? Whatever country they unleashed those things in would be FUBAR.
Posted by Freauxzen
Washington
Member since Feb 2006
38378 posts
Posted on 3/17/17 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

The only people with the knowledge and means to work on it are the Googles and the IBMs of the world and their motivations are pretty positive for humanity.


What?



Both on the only people having the resources to work on AI and on the Goal of Google and IBM being some altruistic gift to humanity.

They want to create it first to control it first, for their own purposes, not to offer humanity new hope. They want to create it for information control and for profit purposes. Nothing more. You have to read through the BS.

The first problem with the Singularity is control.

In the worst doomsday scenario, there would be no such thing as control and the exponential growth of AI is completely untethered to man's influence (this has to be the most likely, at the core idea of the singularity itself). It will do whatever it wants, at whatever speed is most efficient, with a lack of regard of anything other than its own directive.

In the other doomsday scenario, if we are capable enough to create it where someone controls it....now you have a single, corporate entity, controlling the most important invention in the history of mankind. Yeah, no worries here, they are benevolent
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