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re: Official Harvey Observation Thread

Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:22 am to
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6036 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:22 am to
My parents also live in a rockport. They stubbornly evacuated before the storm hit but took them convincing.

Still no word on the condition of the house but they live on the water so are hopes aren't high.
This post was edited on 8/26/17 at 11:40 am
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40009 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:25 am to
At least they are safe and that's the important thing. God speed.
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:28 am to
quote:

36"+ for Houston over the next 60 hrs. It looks like 42" for the Woodlands...





We all better get ready to start lending a helping hand. Prepare the Cajun Navy
This post was edited on 8/26/17 at 10:34 am
Posted by HoustonGumbeauxGuy
Member since Jul 2011
32727 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:31 am to
Houston Chronicle website

...has lots of photos. Look at this stupid idiot.


This post was edited on 8/26/17 at 10:32 am
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:31 am to
This is the 5-day graphics from this storm are about as rare as you'll find:

Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:32 am to
quote:

Damn. Pretty crazy since the immediate Victoria area doesn't seem to have received the same totals.


there's a station northwest reporting 12 inches and another to the south reporting 22.. but they're also not included in the analysis RDS posted
Posted by Uncle JackD
Member since Nov 2007
59436 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:32 am to
How is Katrina not on that list? I thought she hit Buras at 920mb?
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
77819 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:32 am to
My goodness. That thing ain't moving at all.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40009 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:33 am to
2mph I think they said
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
77819 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:33 am to
Katrina hit as a weak 3 if I recall correctly
Posted by Uncle JackD
Member since Nov 2007
59436 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:34 am to
Jeez, that looks terrible for TX folks.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:36 am to
quote:

Houston Chronicle website


Maybe it's just me, but that website has a vibe of "it's over, and it wasn't that bad for us."

People simply get too caught up in the winds and do not respect the rain that isn't going anywhere soon.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:37 am to
quote:

there's a station northwest reporting 12 inches and another to the south reporting 22.. but they're also not included in the analysis RDS posted




Ok, that is throwing off the total rainfall graphics then. Certainly plausible if they're all verified.
Posted by Uncle JackD
Member since Nov 2007
59436 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:37 am to
quote:

Official Harvey Observation Thread by Paul Allen
Katrina hit as a weak 3 if I recall correctly


Yep, you're right. I forgot that Katrina and Rita both weakened before landfall.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:41 am to
The GFS is running now, but the rainfall totals in the Houston area look way under the real world observations. 24 hour totals in Houston area are less than 4 inches, and that simply doesn't seem possible given the current setup.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:53 am to
Update from WPC, calling for an additional 15-30" with some areas up to 40"

Posted by PurpleGoldTiger
Thibodaux, LA
Member since Mar 2010
4028 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 11:13 am to
League City checking in to say thanks for all the updates. We've been spared so far from major rain totals but those long term projections don't bode well for the area in general.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 11:32 am to
quote:

The GFS is running now, but the rainfall totals in the Houston area look way under the real world observations. 24 hour totals in Houston area are less than 4 inches, and that simply doesn't seem possible given the current setup.


The GFS doesn't have the resolution to resolve the mesoscale features that will drive convection in the short range. It eventually moves the remnants of Harvey into Mexico bringing 15-30" to areas around San Antonio.
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
107542 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 11:38 am to
quote:

holding up ryno?


Yes thankfully and miraculously my house is fine. We were rattled badly at 1am when the tornado hit. Houses across the street had big trees uprooted. 5 houses down bigholes blown through 2nd story windows and fences blown down. Windows busted out. I live on the golf course and at least 100 big trees are down or snapped in half. I'm extremely thankful.
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 11:41 am to
New round of feeder bands coming up Galveston Bay...

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