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re: Major arctic outbreak with Deep South snowstorm potential (Jan 6th - Jan 14th)

Posted on 1/2/25 at 12:35 pm to
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 12:35 pm to
Posted by Triple Bogey
19th Green
Member since May 2017
6784 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

We going to miss it all?


The gif I posted was for the following week, which is still just wishcasting at the moment.
Posted by Macintosh
Lane State University
Member since Sep 2011
56543 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:42 pm to
I want to believe
Posted by HoustonGumbeauxGuy
Member since Jul 2011
33463 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

I’ve been out of town but my wife said she got 8 inches in St George last night.


Well, it certainly wasn’t from me

Posted by coldbeerfan
Orange Beach MAGA Alabama
Member since Oct 2015
1685 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:46 pm to
Deer hunting will be epic and damn cold in SW Alabama. Way better then swatting skeeters and sweating like a Hebrew slave.
This post was edited on 1/2/25 at 1:48 pm
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
130170 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:47 pm to
Posted by Ghost of Colby
Alberta, overlooking B.C.
Member since Jan 2009
15635 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:47 pm to


Over five inches down the bayou, but Grand Isle gets nothing.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93607 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:48 pm to
What's the difference between Kuchera and 10:1 total snowfall totals?

The GFS I'm looking at has me (North of Austin) getting about 10" - using Kuchera. 10:1 has me at 8".

Posted by Ghost of Colby
Alberta, overlooking B.C.
Member since Jan 2009
15635 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

What's the difference between Kuchera and 10:1 total snowfall totals?

I think Kuchera relies heavily on temperature to adjust the snowfall ratio.

10:1 is the standard, but if it’s close to freezing, then Kuchera will estimate a wet snow and lower the 10:1 ratio.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93607 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:55 pm to
Thank you!
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:56 pm to
Kuchera takes into account atmospheric conditions such as a warm nose and is generally viewed as more reliable. If a model forecasts more snow on the kuchera ratio it’s likely going to be a lighter snow with a snow water equivalent greater than your standard 10:1 ratio
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93607 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 1:57 pm to
Thank you, too!
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
25457 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

Kuchera takes into account atmospheric conditions such as a warm nose and is generally viewed as more reliable. If a model forecasts more snow on the kuchera ratio it’s likely going to be a lighter snow with a snow water equivalent greater than your standard 10:1 ratio


Weather fascinates me, but a lot of time I'm left reading something and coming out of the other end still not having a clue what it means.
Posted by bengalman
In da Country
Member since Feb 2007
4128 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:15 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75080 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

Weather fascinates me, but a lot of time I'm left reading something and coming out of the other end still not having a clue what it means.

Most of the "rules" don't apply to snow in the southeast, anyway.
This post was edited on 1/2/25 at 2:33 pm
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
46367 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:18 pm to
quote:


What's the difference between Kuchera and 10:1 total snowfall totals?

The GFS I'm looking at has me (North of Austin) getting about 10" - using Kuchera. 10:1 has me at 8".


Austin getting 8-10” with DFW getting nothing would be wild.
Posted by themunch
bottom of the list
Member since Jan 2007
71824 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:20 pm to
Oh no climateers. Winter
Posted by LSUEnvy
Hou via Lake Chas
Member since May 2011
12652 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:21 pm to
Jesus H I hope we don’t get snow here in Hou, work and traffic will be an epic cluster fack
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93607 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

Austin getting 8-10” with DFW getting nothing would be wild.


I have DFW getting around 5-7"...

LINK
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
46367 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 2:22 pm to
Well, shite
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