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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - July 23, 2020 Update: 101,650 cases - 3,574 deaths - 1,174,868 tested

Posted on 7/23/20 at 3:50 pm to
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14630 posts
Posted on 7/23/20 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

What does it mean to you


Things you never hear from the sensationalist media...

That only 1 of every 1300 people in Louisiana have died of Covid-19 in 150 days.

Each day (on average) only 1 in every 195,000 people in Louisiana have died from Covid-19.

Those numbers are MUCH lower if you are young and healthy.

And yes I know people who have died from the virus.


Stay safe but realize that the key is protecting the vulnerable population.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42813 posts
Posted on 7/23/20 at 3:52 pm to
quote:

Guess Birx doesn't want anything to do with Destroya.


SHE WILL NOT BE BULLIED!
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42813 posts
Posted on 7/23/20 at 3:55 pm to
quote:

That only 1 of every 1300 people in Louisiana have died of Covid-19 in 150 days.


I know what you are getting at with this, but you need to rephrase this.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79910 posts
Posted on 7/23/20 at 3:57 pm to
I think putting the death against the entire population sort of diminishes how deadly this actually is.

Like saying cancer isn't a big deal since .08% of Louisiana's population dies, from cancer, in a 6 month period.
This post was edited on 7/23/20 at 3:57 pm
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14630 posts
Posted on 7/23/20 at 4:17 pm to
You have to compare the toll against the entire population instead of just throwing out a 3500+ number with no frame of reference.

3,500 in Texas is much less significant than 3500 in Louisiana, and 3500 in Montana is much more significant than it is in Louisiana.


Yes. For an older or not-so-healthy person it is deadly. My biggest concern through all of this is my diabetic father that is almost 80.

And yes I understand that Cancer will eventualy kill over 30% of all people.
This post was edited on 7/23/20 at 4:19 pm
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79910 posts
Posted on 7/23/20 at 4:27 pm to
You also have to take into account how much of the population has been infected as well.

Using your math, total deaths vs the total population, then meningitis ain't that bad
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14630 posts
Posted on 7/23/20 at 4:39 pm to
Agree

So in Louisiana, 3.5% of infected people have died. That is one in every 28-29 infected people.

Not an insignificant number, but then you have to look at age and comorbidities also for the real risk to each specific person.

I just cannot stand how the media is cheerleading about the over 100K number without giving a frame of reference. But then again, they would confuse a lot of people if they did.
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
22284 posts
Posted on 7/24/20 at 7:34 am to
Didn't want to start a new thread for this, figured the daily COVID thread would be perfect place.

CDC issues new guidelines
They say you are clear after 10 days of isolation. Key factor is fever free for 24 hours. Does the mean the State will need to update their presumed recovered figures? Per cases "New Cases by Collection Date", LA had 12,746 cases within the last 10 days (you would then need to add hospitalizations over 10 days back in).
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79910 posts
Posted on 7/24/20 at 7:41 am to
quote:

Does the mean the State will need to update their presumed recovered figures


Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3211 posts
Posted on 7/24/20 at 8:15 am to
quote:

Does the mean the State will need to update their presumed recovered figures?


Eh, probably wouldn't do much good. Active cases is just a proxy for total infections anyway, with total infections being some number we'll probably never know.
Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3211 posts
Posted on 7/24/20 at 8:47 am to
quote:

2.19% of population confirmed positive or 1 out of every 46


Percent infected will be much higher - just not sure by how much.
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
30311 posts
Posted on 7/24/20 at 8:52 am to
So are we believing the CDC today....because I thought that didn't start until Monday.
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