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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - July 21, 2020 Update: 96,583 cases - 3,498 deaths - 1,122,962 tested

Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:22 pm to
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61828 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

You didn’t answer my question. How is spreading out the curve (that is already below the hospital capacity to begin with) to a longer time frame supposed to get us to phase 3 more quickly? Wouldn’t opening up lead directly to spikes again?


Stop with this. You are going to cause his head to explode.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42812 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:25 pm to
Posted by shiftworker
LP
Member since Dec 2011
5378 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

You should have someone make a mask out of the gaitor. That’s what I did and it’s more comfortable than anything else I could find.




Having this done for my daughter. She’ll be required to wear a mask all day every day while in school.
Posted by Methuselah
On da Riva
Member since Jan 2005
23350 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:46 pm to
I like it. Percent of positives under 10 again. Vents down. Rate of growth in hospitalizations slowing.

Things looking up.
Posted by AA77
Member since Jan 2016
3876 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:50 pm to
I’ve been confused for the last couple of weeks on who the Karen’s are now.
Posted by icegator337
Lafayette
Member since Jan 2013
3757 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

I’ve been confused for the last couple of weeks on who the Karen’s are now.

The Karens are both sides now. Some Karens complain on Facebook about people not wearing masks. Some Karens complain on Tigerdroppings about masks mandates and how they shouldn't have to wear one and muh freedoms.

Reasonable people just wear a mask and don't worry too much if someone else isn't wearing a mask in the grocery store
Posted by Methuselah
On da Riva
Member since Jan 2005
23350 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

I’ve been confused for the last couple of weeks on who the Karen’s are now.

Karens are anyone who disagrees with you and who you want to discount via tone without making an argument. Both sides find ample self satisfaction in applying it to those of different viewpoints.
Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3211 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 2:49 pm to
Lake Chuck looks like it may coming off of its peak.

It will be interesting to see the CFR there when this settles out, they barely participated in the first wave at all, so little seroprevalence, and they started to play this game when we were testing out the arse.
Posted by 4evrlsu
Death Valley
Member since Jun 2008
2383 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 2:53 pm to
Where is JBE getting this 15% positive number from??
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79910 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 2:58 pm to
The state counts the case on the date tested and not the date reported.

The TD spreadsheet lists the case on the date reported.


If you watch though, the number usually starts off high and lowers over time as more tests for that date comes in.
This post was edited on 7/21/20 at 3:01 pm
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
22814 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 3:00 pm to
I can't figure out why they won't report it that way. It's obviously being sorted out for the state, why not make those number available?
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79910 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 3:02 pm to
They are available from the ldh site.

While the spreadsheet TDers use is ok, it lacks a ton of data and is the source of a lot of misinformation here.
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
22814 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 3:05 pm to
So there were only 143 positives yesterday and everything else was from previous tests?
Posted by 4evrlsu
Death Valley
Member since Jun 2008
2383 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 3:08 pm to
Can you clarify the “ton of data” that is missing? Not doubting, I just don’t get that it’s not simply dividing tests/positives.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79910 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

So there were only 143 positives yesterday and everything else was from previous tests?


I'd have to go look to see the exact number. But yes, usually the immediate preceeding day looks like a huge drop. Then results filter in over the next week correcting the data.
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
22814 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 3:11 pm to
Damn. I knew there was a lag on the information, but that seems like a massive lag to operate off of.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79910 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

Can you clarify the “ton of data” that is missing? Not doubting, I just don’t get that it’s not simply dividing tests/positives.


For instance when the state dumps a backlog the TD spreadsheet doesn't correct for the day, the state does.

Same for deaths.

Until recently the TD spreadsheet didn't account for duplicates on day of reporting. It just took the total case difference and assumed that was the number of cases.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79910 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

Damn. I knew there was a lag on the information, but that seems like a massive lag to operate off of.


Yeah, Georgia was reporting numbers at a 5 or 7 day lag in order to prevent the misinformation, not sure if they had changed that.

Think about anyone you know who has been tested. It usually takes a few days to get an answer. I would guess it would take at least day to report/reflect those numbers as well.
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
22814 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 3:15 pm to
Yeah. Like I said, I knew that they wouldn't have the numbers in a 24 hour period. Guess I just didn't think about them only having 1/10th of the potential cases reported in a 24 hour period.
Posted by 4evrlsu
Death Valley
Member since Jun 2008
2383 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 3:23 pm to
Thank you for the information. However, it gives me less confidence in the numbers than I had before.

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