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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - July 20, 2020 Update: 94,892 cases - 3,462 deaths - 1,102,924 tested

Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:22 pm to
Posted by Methuselah
On da Riva
Member since Jan 2005
23350 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

Yes. This is literally all anyone has argued.


I think what happened in this thread is that the original statement way back on the first page was:

quote:

hospitalizations continue to slow down


Which is kind of a poor sentence that doesn't really mean anything. Something like "The increase in hospitalizations is slowing down" is what I think the poster was trying to say.

quote:

Jesus Christ.


Thanks for the compliment, but that's a different part of the bible.
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
22634 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:22 pm to
I don't think there are dumps of the hospitalization numbers.
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:23 pm to
7 day not big enough. 21 day is my preference and it seems to be jbe preference too
This post was edited on 7/20/20 at 1:23 pm
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
85399 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

Which is kind of a poor sentence that doesn't really mean anything. Something like "The increase in hospitalizations is slowing down" is what I think the poster was trying to say.


I said that.

I honestly did not think that it was a difficult statement to understand.

I forget how dumb some of the posters here on though.

My mistake, I guess.

Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

The adults had a conversation about it.


The adults are showing you how to add and divide.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71844 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

I said that.

I honestly did not think that it was a difficult statement to understand.

I forget how dumb some of the posters here on though.

My mistake, I guess.



Statistics don't stand a chance in hell when facing off against semantics.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
85399 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:29 pm to
my 4 year old could see that we are currently not in negative hospitalization numbers, so why would anyone think I was suggesting we were decreasing in raw numbers?

some people baffle me to no end
Posted by Not Cooper
Member since Jun 2015
5022 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

The adults are showing you how to add and divide.

No, they are not. We were operating off of a different set of assumptions. This has been explained ad nauseam.
Posted by nugget
Abrego Garcia Fan
Member since Dec 2009
15673 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

Not Cooper


If the statistics did t prove you wrong, having Mr Perfect agree with you certainly did.
Posted by Not Cooper
Member since Jun 2015
5022 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

having Mr Perfect agree with you certainly did.

I will agree with that part lol
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
85399 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

No, they are not. We were operating off of a different set of assumptions. This has been explained ad nauseam.


even if we operated under you assumptions, the 7 days averages still say the rate is decreasing when you argued that they were increasing earlier
Posted by Methuselah
On da Riva
Member since Jan 2005
23350 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

I honestly did not think that it was a difficult statement to understand.

I forget how dumb some of the posters here on though.

My mistake, I gues

It's not a mistake really, just imprecise language. For the record, I think your underlying point is very probably correct. I could be wrong, but it does seem like this latest little increase/spike/peak/whatever you want to call it is turning around. The positive percentage numbers never got really high this time. Same with the vent numbers. If hospitalization numbers peak and start going down that will be great news.
Posted by nugget
Abrego Garcia Fan
Member since Dec 2009
15673 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

I will agree with that part lol


Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:34 pm to
quote:


No, they are not. We were operating off of a different set of assumptions


Who is we? You have a mouse in your pocket?

Everyone else has understood this for 4 months now....where have you been?
Posted by Not Cooper
Member since Jun 2015
5022 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

the 7 days averages still say the rate is decreasing when you argued that they were increasing earlier

The argument about the 7 day rolling averages was started after the fact.

My initial argument was that metrics had been trending up for a while, which is true looking at the numbers over the whole month of July as compared to June and may.

The entire 7 day debate may as well be a different thread lol.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

where have you been?


nevermind...dont answer that...I see you've been on the Gaming Board
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
85399 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

My initial argument was that metrics had been trending up for a while, which is true looking at the numbers over the whole month of July as compared to June and may.

The entire 7 day debate may as well be a different thread lol.


the entire point of looking at the rate of increase is to see if we are past peak of this 2nd spike

why would we compare numbers to June and May? thats dumb

nobody is denying that we are currently within a 2nd spike

This post was edited on 7/20/20 at 1:37 pm
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40010 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

I had almost 50% + yesterday at urgent care... 11/24 + of the tests we


Just curious as to if these people were being tested due to exposure or had symptoms -- places are doing it differently. Surely none enough to go to the hospital if htey're at a walkin clinic.

My husband just told me his sister is positive -- tested yesterday as she wasn't feeling well. She was on vacation last week with my in laws and other sister in law so now they're all quarantining. SIL did get tested and it was negative. Sick sister in law said shes feeling much better today which leads me to it ain't all that for everyone. For some yes, but for many no. So there's my anecdotal experience.
Posted by Not Cooper
Member since Jun 2015
5022 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

evermind...dont answer that...I see you've been on the Gaming Board

I post a little bit everywhere
Posted by Taffeta
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Dec 2012
987 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 1:37 pm to
Absolutely unacceptable that they are allowed to report cases for today that occurred 2 months ago.

Need to report cases on their actual day so we can have a true representation. This is basic statistics. How can any of this be used as a true reference to make decisions off of?

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