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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - July 14, 2020 Update: 82,042 cases - 3,337 deaths - 976,455 tested

Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:36 pm to
Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
17886 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:36 pm to
Let me go refresh my memory.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
35388 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

Are you really looking at a one day change as evidence of progress? LOL





your savior JBE took a 2-3 day increase to start moving backwards, so why not?
Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
20127 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:37 pm to
Those Ragin Corona Cajuns!

Parishes with the Largest Increase of New Cases For Today

1. Lafayette +228
2. Calcasieu +199
3. Jefferson +194
4. East Baton Rouge +121
5. Tangipahoa +106
6. Orleans +101
7. Caddo +109
8. Livingston +80
9. St. Tammany +85
10. Iberia +71
This post was edited on 7/14/20 at 12:39 pm
Posted by MiloDanglers
on a dock on a bay
Member since Apr 2012
6544 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

l dont believe these hospital numbers. i fully believe we have ppl being kept over night "for observation" (money) when they dont truly need to be, or they go for something completely unrelated, but just so happen to test positive


Theory doesnt hold water because they would be discharged the next day (or the next) and the numbers would begin to wash. The hospitalization number each day includes discharges. There may have been a spike with this practice initially, if it was true. But, we’ve seen increases for some time now, so this wouldnt hold weight. These people are staying in the hospital.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95236 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:38 pm to
Go refresh your memory on how you said anyone doubting the numbers is tin foil hat wearing, and then today when the gross miscalculation from Florida was reported by investigations you laughed it off as an “oh well” moment

You are a clown
This post was edited on 7/14/20 at 12:40 pm
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
35388 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

You are a clown



physically pains me to agree with you
Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
17886 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:40 pm to


Boy, that thread popped off.

Point is, these numbers have to be adjusted after the fact, sometimes multiple times. We know there are dumps. We know there is inaccurate reporting. Especially the first time the reporting happens. To expect data that is concise across different metrics by different states and different reporting entities during something which we have never dealt with before is futile. I’m simply suggesting numbers not be assumed as the end all be all on a daily basis, and especially a single day over day change, given what we know about inaccuracies, dumps, etc.

Most of this I assumed went without saying. Apparently not.
Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
20127 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

i still dont believe these hospital numbers. i fully believe we have ppl being kept over night "for observation" (money) when they dont truly need to be, or they go for something completely unrelated, but just so happen to test positive.

Based on what?
This post was edited on 7/14/20 at 12:45 pm
Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
17886 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

physically pains me to agree with you


I think you’re just mad about your honest discussion thread. And that’s okay.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
35388 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:45 pm to
why would I be mad about it? you spouted off some bullshite and then couldn't give a single instance of credibility to what you said
Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
17886 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

why would I be mad about it? you spouted off some bullshite and then couldn't give a single instance of credibility to what you said


You’re right. I have as much credibility as any other armchair physician here.
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
29289 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

Are you really looking at a one day change as evidence of progress? LOL


It's progress over yesterday...with the way these numbers are faked and reported you have to latch on to any positive you can....but it will probably get fixed in tomorrow's run.
Posted by LSUJML
BR
Member since May 2008
45581 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:49 pm to
Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
17886 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

but it will probably get fixed in tomorrow's run


Entire point I was trying to make. Especially since yesterday was Monday. I trust the running averages others have compiled more. That’s all I was saying.
Posted by etm512
Mandeville, LA
Member since Aug 2005
20751 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

However -- I believe someone posted here last week that OLOL in BR was taking in patients from overwhelmed Mississippi hospitals. If that was true and is still true, I assume they are counted as Louisiana beds in use (even though LA case counts would exclude MS residents).


Yes it counts against our usage. And we flattened the curve so we wouldn't overwhelm the system. Now we are a little more than halfway past what our peak hospital usage was and even then we weren't in danger of being overrun. Now we have the ability to move people from one hospital to another if that first hospital has a shortage of space.
This post was edited on 7/14/20 at 1:24 pm
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
29289 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

Entire point I was trying to make. Especially since yesterday was Monday. I trust the running averages others have compiled more. That’s all I was saying.


Maybe I should have put "fixed" in quotations....or maybe I should have just used "faked"....because that's what it will be faked to correct any positive movement.
Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
17886 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

Maybe I should have put "fixed" in quotations....or maybe I should have just used "faked"....because that's what it will be faked to correct any positive movement.


Now this I disagree with.
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
56302 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

We or JBE's numbers that are cooked up?

Yeah, that's it.
Posted by carhartt
Member since Feb 2013
7713 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:55 pm to
At today’s rate it would take almost 5 years for the entire state to get infected.
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
29289 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

Now this I disagree with.


It was proven beyond a shadow of a doubt in Florida today.

If you don't think it's happening here you are just ignorant.
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