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re: Let's Do It Again: Severe Threat 3/30 - Line of Severe Storms leaving SELA. AL in it now

Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:31 am to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71123 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:31 am to
quote:

Looks like that convective system Roll Tide Ravens is pointing out is going to outrun the instability by the time it gets to us in central Alabama.

It still looks like from Tuscaloosa South to Mobile could be the area with the best chance to see discrete action ahead of the line. We have a broken line with some cells out front on the 12z HRRR. Temps will be pushing the mid-80s with dews in the mid-60s. The shear will be there. CAPE is good enough. Supercell composite maximizes in that area. STP, too.

The rest of the state is likely to see a wind event with embedded rotations along the line.
This post was edited on 3/29/22 at 10:35 am
Posted by paperwasp
2x HRV 2025 Poster of the Year
Member since Sep 2014
28806 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:32 am to
quote:

There will be a narrow tongue of instability just ahead of the line, but not the widespread area of unstable air that we typically have on spring severe weather days

Looks like you’re spot on to me.

Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
73460 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:32 am to
i can hear it now. sitting outside enjoying a cold brew and in the distance "touchdown saints!".
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:35 am to
I like the HRRR a little more on storm mode in general.

Dont like any of them showing discrete cells though with this much shear.

Gonna be interesting writing for me this afternoon.
This post was edited on 3/29/22 at 10:37 am
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:36 am to
quote:

paperwasp


Horrible screen name.

But looks to me you'll be a good addition to these threads.
Posted by paperwasp
2x HRV 2025 Poster of the Year
Member since Sep 2014
28806 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:38 am to
quote:

Horrible screen name



Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71123 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:39 am to
I'm looking here for AL to see the highest potential for discrete. Everything comes together in that area for a couple hours.

Posted by Thracken13
Aft Cargo Hold of Serenity
Member since Feb 2010
18527 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:39 am to
got my vote - a bird trained to say Touchdown Saints is worth finding
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71123 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:39 am to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:40 am to
My wasp phobia is triggered.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71123 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:41 am to
quote:

got my vote - a bird trained to say Touchdown Saints is worth finding

They should wait until the Mockingbirds pick it up before calling him in, though.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71123 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:42 am to
quote:

My wasp phobia is triggered.


Bad news, baw....they're going to have a hell of a tail wind tomorrow. Like little pissed off missiles.
Posted by Tower_Tiger12
Member since Jan 2021
1130 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:43 am to
Is the timing for Central Louisiana mid day tomorrow?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50575 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:43 am to
quote:

Looks like you’re spot on to me.


Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:45 am to
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
37671 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:47 am to
Duke, what’s your blog? It’s ITT somewhere I think, but I’m not sure where.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:48 am to
Gumbo Weather - gumbowx.com

Im also linking the most recent posts in the OP at the bottom. Not trying to be too in y'alls face with promotion.
This post was edited on 3/29/22 at 10:50 am
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71123 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:48 am to
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
37992 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:49 am to
quote:

Another big nothing burger.
please give me your expert analysis that makes you so confident. would love to hear it
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71123 posts
Posted on 3/29/22 at 10:50 am to
quote:

Duke

Shameless self promotion. Let me handle the linking, and you just cut me a share of the profits.
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