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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:42 am to Styxion
HWRF heading toward the AL/MS border as a cat 4:
HMON shows a very sloppy weak system heading toward LA/TX
Those are for Laura
For TD 14:
HWRF shows it as a category 2/3 heading into Cameron Parish
HMON shows TD 14 going into Vermillion Bay as a category 2/3
These change drastically each run so take it with a grain of salt.
For reference, Hurricane Gustav was 110mph at landfall, which made him a borderline category 2/3.
HMON shows a very sloppy weak system heading toward LA/TX
Those are for Laura
For TD 14:
HWRF shows it as a category 2/3 heading into Cameron Parish
HMON shows TD 14 going into Vermillion Bay as a category 2/3
These change drastically each run so take it with a grain of salt.
For reference, Hurricane Gustav was 110mph at landfall, which made him a borderline category 2/3.
This post was edited on 8/21/20 at 10:50 am
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:45 am to LPLGTiger
Naturally this week the weather has been amazing for august
Just setting the stage
Just setting the stage
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:45 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
HWRF heading toward the AL/MS border as a cat 4:
Dude! My god!
That’s a serious issue!
Hasn’t HWRF been accurate this year?
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:45 am to TDsngumbo
HWRF & HMON can kindly go frick themselves on those TD14 projections
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:46 am to SlidellCajun
quote:
Hasn’t HWRF been accurate this year?
I really don't know. I don't follow the HWRF & HMON very closely so I have no idea how accurate they've been.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:47 am to TDsngumbo
Right as Covid is winding down, JBE has found his next source of federal dollars
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:48 am to SlidellCajun
quote:
Hasn’t HWRF been accurate this year?
HWRF is typically bullish, perhaps way too much so, on its intensity forecasts IIRC
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:49 am to jimbeam
quote:
Right as Covid is winding down, JBE has found his next source of federal dollars
Is it time to go buy all the tp, bread, and water again?
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:50 am to Steadyhands
I bought a pallet of Evangeline Maid this morning. Not taking any chances.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:51 am to BradC
Looks like the NHC is closely following the HWRF then. That's almost spot on, at least in TRACK - not intensity.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:52 am to Steadyhands
quote:
Is it time to go buy all the tp, bread, and water again?
Not sure if you're joking or not, but honestly I think if it still looks this way on Saturday afternoon, I'm heading out to get some shite.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:53 am to TDsngumbo
Scale of 1-10, what are my chances of still being able to take my fishing trip out of Biloxi next Friday?
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:53 am to dukke v
How’s it wild? It looks like complete shite
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:53 am to burdman
quote:
HWRF & HMON can kindly go frick themselves on those TD14 projections
But also realize the hurricane models aren't really intensifying the other one when they do storm scale projections and that would certainly throw a wrench into the intensity forecasts.
Don't pay attention to the pressure and winds, but do pay attention when they show quick strengthening as that is a pretty good signal conditions will be favorable for the storms.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:53 am to lionward2014
Next Friday? shite if I know. Depends if one of these turns into a major and goes through that area right before.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:54 am to HogX
quote:
Also:
Spann posted a video yesterday from someone offshore of Louisiana who had 9 waterspouts in one video. I guess it’s the same ones as the photo you posted.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:56 am to burdman
quote:
HWRF & HMON
Apparently the "bombing out" module was installed last night...
geez
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