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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/25/20 at 1:18 am to
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
19314 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 1:18 am to
Really want to see the rainfall total estimates now with the west shift. I’d bet us here in Lafayette are now in the bullseye for the flooding rain bands.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15775 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 1:19 am to
the models flipping like this could spell an extremely dangerous situation for houston if it does head that way as a major hurricane, that's a frick ton of people having to evacuate in a short notice, way bigger than new orleans and katrina
Posted by BradC
Smith Lake
Member since Feb 2019
334 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 1:22 am to
quote:



?

Hurricane Tracker App

@hurrtrackerapp

·

2m

We are very concerned about the HOU/Galveston area. Tonight the models shifted west into the Houston area. The data is also showing a major hurricane strike is likely, maybe even a category 4. Follow future NHC forecasts if in HOU area. Here’s the new 0Z EURO



Posted by Sev09
Nantucket
Member since Feb 2011
15847 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 1:26 am to
Odds of losing power in BR with this current track? Can’t remember the last time a hurricane this strong had Baton Rouge on the east side (although outside the cone). I know Gustav is the obvious answer. Shoot, we lost power for a few hours during freaking Barry haha.
Posted by GeauxTigers80
Birmingham
Member since Aug 2009
910 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 1:38 am to
I’m in BR and I don’t think we will have much wind here. Maybe some flooding.

It’s looks like the new COC SW of most of the projected tracks takes NOLA out the woods and a bullseye on Galveston or Houston.

That being said rainfall projections for laffy and BR should increase a bit. Just my humble uneducated observation.

It’s gonna be a shite show if a cat 4/5 is bearing down on Houston and evac triggers are pulled. I pray for everyone in Laura’s path.
This post was edited on 8/25/20 at 1:42 am
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33545 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 1:50 am to
quote:

Eric Webb
@webberweather
I have a suspicion that we're gonna see another SW shift in the models w/ #Laura later today. The last recon center fix placed #Laura's center on the SW edge of today's 12z Euro ensemble. This is likely bad news for folks on the TX coast, esp from Galveston to Port O'Connor
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33545 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 1:55 am to
Posted by TigerFox
Member since Jun 2013
316 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 2:06 am to
That just looks evil, and slowing
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
102335 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 2:15 am to
quote:

Eric Webb

@webberweather

Based on recent trends w/ #Laura & the steering pattern influencing it, I think #Laura will most likely make landfall somewhere between Freeport & Port O'Connor, TX as a category 3 or 4 hurricane, potentially putting Houston in the strongest right-front quad. We shall see...




Well that'd be one hell of a forecast path change in a short time.
This post was edited on 8/25/20 at 2:17 am
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 2:17 am to
quote:


I long for the days of Stu Ostro and Dr. Steve Lyons on the weather channel. What happened to those guys??


Stu is still there behind the scenes. He's the senior director of weather communications.

Steve is the meteorologist in charge at NWS San Angelo
Posted by biohzrd
Central City
Member since Jan 2010
5906 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 2:24 am to
Makes me think he is fearcasting some. So that would mean in the matter of a few hours the track shifted over 100 miles. Guess he is thinking that ridge is stronger than expected.
Posted by mattchewbocca
houma, la
Member since Jun 2008
6933 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 2:47 am to
I love the wind.
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
24271 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:04 am to
Hold on are they saying it’s changed course now and heading for Galveston?
Posted by Teauxler
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2010
3828 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:08 am to
No... but 8:00 am is a very important update
Posted by fightingtigers98
Member since Oct 2011
13303 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:09 am to
It’s never really changed course that much. That area was always in the cone and within danger. The talk had been if it strengthens that it would be headed further west than if it was 1 or 2.

Some of the models that were posted on here Friday/Saturday had predicted a really strong storm directly at that area. And over the last 36 hours, most of the people on here who seem knowledgeable of the situation based on information they were seeing said expect it to push west.
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6191 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:13 am to
quote:

LA**
Makes me think he is fearcasting some. So that would mean in the matter of a few hours the track shifted over 100 miles. Guess he is thinking that ridge is stronger than expected.



It is. Multiple Mets including Levi and Ryan Maue have been hinting at a further west track for 2 days. Bamwx a paid site for Ag weather put out their own track yesterday afternoon and it’s similar to current Euro
If it goes to Houston would be total failure for hurricane center and will cost lives
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6191 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:14 am to
Houston was out of cone Sunday afternoon for 2 updates
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
24271 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:22 am to
Weather channel update not until 5:00 am.

What will New Orleans get out of this? Light rain and gusty winds? Thinking about heading there.
Posted by CENLALSUFAN
Beaumont
Member since Mar 2009
7269 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:53 am to
If I'm in Beaumont at a hotel, would i be better off just staying here or driving home to Gonzales, La?
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6191 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:55 am to
Driving home for sure
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