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Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:34 am to bnb9433
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/3/23 at 3:42 pm
Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:40 am to Mac
quote:
Well this WAS an informative thread.
This is how these always go. It will come back around, just be patient
Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:41 am to msutiger
kinda looks like they are finding multiple centers
Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:42 am to Dire Wolf
Berger is one weather guy you can put stock in. He never pushes hype or panic. If he saying get ready because it's very possible Houston gets a direct hit, I listen.
This post was edited on 8/24/20 at 9:42 am
Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:43 am to Tiger Ryno
..LAURA CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE FAR NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.... ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER JAMAICA, THE CAYMAN ISLANDS, AND PORTIONS OF CUBA...
11:00 AM EDT Mon Aug 24
Location: 21.2°N 80.6°W
Moving: WNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 1002 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph
11:00 AM EDT Mon Aug 24
Location: 21.2°N 80.6°W
Moving: WNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 1002 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph
Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:47 am to rt3
so if this says south of Cuba more than thought, that's going to be more west?
Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:47 am to Duke
quote:
Maybe not squarely yet but Houston is absolutely in play.
Yea... I wouldn't say squarely. The system is taking a hard right after landfall also, so even if the track shifts towards gal island, houston still may be on the better side
Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:48 am to rt3
Lol did they really just shift it BACK to the east a smidge???


Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:48 am to lsuman25
quote:
kinda looks like they are finding multiple centers
Not surprising given the recent land interaction but it's a function of the system having a broad circulation with multiple low level vorts spinning around. Each convective burst tries to consolidate the LLC and eventually it will.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:48 am to Mac
quote:
Well this WAS an informative thread.
Use Duke's post on intensity and track forecast update timing to know when to come back and look for relevant info, and skip the fluff:
Duke:
Intensity every three hours. So 1 am.
Track is every six hours. 4, 10, 4, 10
Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:49 am to rt3
My mama is in Ellick. If it takes this path do I need to go get her? Track seems similar to Rita and I believe we lost power for almost a week with that one.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:50 am to Tiger Ryno
quote:
Berger is one weather guy you can put stock in. He never pushes hype or panic. If he saying get ready because it's very possible Houston gets a direct hit, I listen.
Matt & him are very good and post updates at spacecityweather.com for people wanting more info on what they are thinking.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:51 am to Baers Foot
quote:double check that chief
Intensity every three hours. So 1 am.
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