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Posted on 5/3/25 at 2:28 pm to texag7
quote:
Two of my friends are F-22 pilots and they said they would never fly for Ukraine.
Of course they won't because they cannot. We won't even sell F-22's to close allies. Even if you have ever met an F-22 pilot.
Posted on 5/3/25 at 2:49 pm to cypher
Second Russian military aircraft destroyed within 24 hours, Zelensky says
by Dmytro Basmat May 3, 2025 10:29 PM
President Volodymyr Zelensky said on May 3 that Ukraine's military destroyed a second Russian military aircraft within a 24-hour time period, having struck a military airfield in occupied Crimea.
The strike follows the downing of a Russian Su-30 fighter jet earlier on May 3 by a sea drone, Ukraine's military intelligence (HUR) said. The attack marked the "world's first destruction of a combat aircraft by a naval drone," HUR claimed.
"I thank our guys who are increasing Ukrainian long-range capabilities – both in the sky and at sea. The shooting down of a Russian military aircraft by our naval drone was brilliant – proof of Ukrainian capabilities," Zelensky said during his evening address.
Zelensky did not provide additional information on the newly destroyed aircraft, only adding that that military depots were also destroyed in the attack. Ukraine's military has not publicly released details on the attack.
Ukraine launched a series of drone attack towards occupied Crimea on May 3, with Russia's Air Force claiming it had intercepted 89 drones over the region, as well as another 23 drones over the Black Sea.
The Kyiv Independent
by Dmytro Basmat May 3, 2025 10:29 PM
President Volodymyr Zelensky said on May 3 that Ukraine's military destroyed a second Russian military aircraft within a 24-hour time period, having struck a military airfield in occupied Crimea.
The strike follows the downing of a Russian Su-30 fighter jet earlier on May 3 by a sea drone, Ukraine's military intelligence (HUR) said. The attack marked the "world's first destruction of a combat aircraft by a naval drone," HUR claimed.
"I thank our guys who are increasing Ukrainian long-range capabilities – both in the sky and at sea. The shooting down of a Russian military aircraft by our naval drone was brilliant – proof of Ukrainian capabilities," Zelensky said during his evening address.
Zelensky did not provide additional information on the newly destroyed aircraft, only adding that that military depots were also destroyed in the attack. Ukraine's military has not publicly released details on the attack.
Ukraine launched a series of drone attack towards occupied Crimea on May 3, with Russia's Air Force claiming it had intercepted 89 drones over the region, as well as another 23 drones over the Black Sea.
The Kyiv Independent
Posted on 5/3/25 at 5:29 pm to cypher
My understanding is that Trump is shipping old Short Buses to Putin for his troops
Posted on 5/3/25 at 10:03 pm to cypher
Posted on 5/3/25 at 10:43 pm to CitizenK
Posted on 5/3/25 at 10:45 pm to CitizenK
quote:
My understanding is that Trump is shipping old Short Buses to Putin for his troops
What no donkeys!
Posted on 5/3/25 at 11:44 pm to Auburn1968
quote:
What no donkeys!
Putin wants to stop the orgies with the donkeys
Posted on 5/4/25 at 5:53 am to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
In a virtual meeting on Saturday, key producers led by Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed to raise collective output by 411,000 barrels per day (bpd), nearly triple the volume originally scheduled.
quote:
The eight members behind the increase—Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman—will reassess in June. But for now, the message is clear: OPEC+ is no longer defending high prices, and oil markets should prepare for more volatility ahead.
quote:
As the international oil benchmarks slumped by about $10 per barrel in just a few days, the price of Russia’s flagship Urals crude grade tumbled and is close to the $50 per barrel threshold for the first time in nearly two years.
Russia is forced to vote on increasing production in order to offset the increasingly lower prices. Especially lower for Urals crude which is at or very close to the breakeven price.
Going further, let us pause for a moment in memory of the other breakeven price in Russia - the fiscal breakeven oil price, which is the price needed to balance the external current account. This is the balance of payments with international trade and investment. There are many estimates of what this price is, but they all agree it is well north of $70/Bbl at this time.
Increasing production in an unstable Urals market is not yet a death spiral scenario, but it's getting there faster every day.
LINK
Posted on 5/4/25 at 6:57 am to Coeur du Tigre
Intel chief says Ukraine’s naval drones down two, not one, Russian Su-30s
04.05.2025 12:49
Magura-7 drones operated by the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense (HUR) destroyed two Russian Su-30 Flankers using AIM-9 Sidewinder infrared-guided missiles.
This was reported to The War Zone by the HUR chief, Kyrylo Budanov, Ukrinform reports.
It is noted that this is the world’s first case where a fighter was shot down by a naval drone, and the first case where an AIM-9 missile was launched from a drone to intercept the jet.
"This is a historic moment," Budanov said.
According to the top spy, the engagement took place over the Black Sea on Friday, May 2. The HUR used three Magura-7 unmanned sea boats for the attack, two of which engaged at the Russian aircraft.
Budanov explained that the Magura-7 is a variant of the Magura-5 designed for air defense, but did not provide additional details.
The head of the HUR emphasized that the crew of the first Su-30 survived the attack and was picked up from the cold waters of the Black Sea by a civilian vessel. According to tentative reports, the crew of the second attacked aircraft died, he added.
According to Budanov, the HUR began installing AIM-9s on unmanned boats as early as January. He stopped short of commenting on whether this was the first case where an air target was attacked from by these missiles. Previously, Ukrainian drones used only Soviet-designed air-to-air missiles, used as SAMs mounted on Ukrainian drone boats.
“We use a couple of models [of missiles – ed.] on our Magura-7, but the best results [come from – ed.] the AIM-9,” he noted.
Ukrinform
First Image Of Ukraine’s Sidewinder-Armed Magura V7 Surface Drone
The Magura V7 is quite different from the USV used to carry Sea Dragon missiles. That was a wider hull with large fixed launch rails. The V7 is essentially an enlarged Magura V5, the baseline model used to ram enemy ships with an explosive charge. It is approximately 8 meters (26 feet) long compared the the V5 at 5.5 meters (18 feet).
more details...
NavalNews
04.05.2025 12:49
Magura-7 drones operated by the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense (HUR) destroyed two Russian Su-30 Flankers using AIM-9 Sidewinder infrared-guided missiles.
This was reported to The War Zone by the HUR chief, Kyrylo Budanov, Ukrinform reports.
It is noted that this is the world’s first case where a fighter was shot down by a naval drone, and the first case where an AIM-9 missile was launched from a drone to intercept the jet.
"This is a historic moment," Budanov said.
According to the top spy, the engagement took place over the Black Sea on Friday, May 2. The HUR used three Magura-7 unmanned sea boats for the attack, two of which engaged at the Russian aircraft.
Budanov explained that the Magura-7 is a variant of the Magura-5 designed for air defense, but did not provide additional details.
The head of the HUR emphasized that the crew of the first Su-30 survived the attack and was picked up from the cold waters of the Black Sea by a civilian vessel. According to tentative reports, the crew of the second attacked aircraft died, he added.
According to Budanov, the HUR began installing AIM-9s on unmanned boats as early as January. He stopped short of commenting on whether this was the first case where an air target was attacked from by these missiles. Previously, Ukrainian drones used only Soviet-designed air-to-air missiles, used as SAMs mounted on Ukrainian drone boats.
“We use a couple of models [of missiles – ed.] on our Magura-7, but the best results [come from – ed.] the AIM-9,” he noted.
Ukrinform
First Image Of Ukraine’s Sidewinder-Armed Magura V7 Surface Drone
The Magura V7 is quite different from the USV used to carry Sea Dragon missiles. That was a wider hull with large fixed launch rails. The V7 is essentially an enlarged Magura V5, the baseline model used to ram enemy ships with an explosive charge. It is approximately 8 meters (26 feet) long compared the the V5 at 5.5 meters (18 feet).
more details...
NavalNews
This post was edited on 5/4/25 at 7:17 am
Posted on 5/4/25 at 7:14 am to cypher
ISW Update May 3 2025
quote:
Key Takeaways:
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky denied that Ukraine would concede to the vague terms of Russian President Vladimir Putin's unilateral May 8-11 Victory Day ceasefire proposal.
The Trump administration appears to have finalized its first military equipment sale to Ukraine.
Ukrainian forces shot down a Russian fixed-wing aircraft with a surface-to-air missile (SAM) attached to a naval drone for the first time on May 3.
Senior Kremlin officials continue to set informational conditions that could support military operations against Lithuania (and other NATO states) by advancing narratives that deny the sovereignty of Lithuania and other former Soviet states.
Russian forces recently advanced near Lyman, Siversk, Novopavlivka, Kurakhove, and Velyka Novosilka.
Posted on 5/4/25 at 8:46 am to cypher
The Art of the Deal
A long but complete recap and update of the political side of the minerals deal.
We all know of the last few months of ultimatums, threats and pressure from the Trump administration. But the real story is how Zelenskyy and his cabinet stood up to everything and finally got the security guarantees they needed, albeit indirect guarantees. As we said earlier, this deal gives the US interests a great deal of incentive for having the Russians cleared out of Ukraine. And that would be financial incentives, the best kind.
The Ukrainians agreed to a not-optimal deal but kept a few cards for future hands. As usual with today's journalism, if we start reading from the bottom up, we get to the good stuff quickly.
- A realignment and reset with the Trump administration;
- Reopening of the armament pipeline from the US to a (initial) amount of $30 billion; and
- A pathway towards healing the US - NATO rift, much to Ukraine's benefit.
A damned good deal in any interpretation.
Finally, we see what happened to US Ambassador Brink:
Keep your eyes on Ambassador Brink, the Ukrainians will not forget her sacrifice and will be in consultation with her more now than ever before. She will not be kept in the loop, she will be the loop. And all of Washington will know it and act accordingly. The Second Ukrainian Ambassador to the US.
Financial Times
quote:
How Volodymyr Zelenskyy lured Donald Trump with Ukraine’s minerals - From Trump Tower to the Vatican: inside the tortuous dealmaking to link Kyiv’s resources to US support
A long but complete recap and update of the political side of the minerals deal.
We all know of the last few months of ultimatums, threats and pressure from the Trump administration. But the real story is how Zelenskyy and his cabinet stood up to everything and finally got the security guarantees they needed, albeit indirect guarantees. As we said earlier, this deal gives the US interests a great deal of incentive for having the Russians cleared out of Ukraine. And that would be financial incentives, the best kind.
The Ukrainians agreed to a not-optimal deal but kept a few cards for future hands. As usual with today's journalism, if we start reading from the bottom up, we get to the good stuff quickly.
quote:That 'ratification' and 'work on implementation' are the ignition points of future negotiations, all done in the classic Eastern European fashion of long drawn out confusion. What the US companies will be getting (and notice the future tense there) are obligations to be granted once the Russians are gone. The Ukrainians are already setting up their victimhood for the exercises in profit sharing to come:
The deal still requires ratification by Ukraine’s parliament — and work on implementation remains. Whether the agreement holds could depend not only on the terms still to be finalised, but on how long Zelenskyy and Trump can manage their fraught relationship.
quote:Understatement of the month... The Ukrainians get:
“We weren’t choosing between good and bad — we were choosing between bad and worse,” said Inna Sovsun, an opposition MP.
“What we got,” she added, “is better than the initial offer.”
- A realignment and reset with the Trump administration;
- Reopening of the armament pipeline from the US to a (initial) amount of $30 billion; and
- A pathway towards healing the US - NATO rift, much to Ukraine's benefit.
A damned good deal in any interpretation.
Finally, we see what happened to US Ambassador Brink:
quote:
A few days later [in February] Bessent stepped off an overnight train in Kyiv with a draft proposal granting the US ownership of 50 per cent of the rights to Ukraine’s rare earths and critical minerals — with no commitment to future military or financial assistance.
Zelenskyy had an hour’s notice of the document and saw it ahead of his meeting with Bessent only thanks to the US ambassador in Kyiv, Bridget Brink, who dashed across the capital with a copy. She briefed him on its contents, which had yet to be translated into his native language, warning Bessent expected him to sign it before he returned to Washington.
Keep your eyes on Ambassador Brink, the Ukrainians will not forget her sacrifice and will be in consultation with her more now than ever before. She will not be kept in the loop, she will be the loop. And all of Washington will know it and act accordingly. The Second Ukrainian Ambassador to the US.
Financial Times
Posted on 5/4/25 at 9:19 am to StormyMcMan
So Putin is ready to go after Lithuania? I guess it is NATO and Nazis that are the instigators.
Posted on 5/4/25 at 10:13 am to CitizenK
quote:
My understanding is that Trump is shipping old Short Buses to Putin for his troops
It really is a small world. A few posters here unfortunately rode in those same short buses as kids
Posted on 5/4/25 at 10:14 am to StormyMcMan
quote:
Senior Kremlin officials continue to set informational conditions that could support military operations against Lithuania (and other NATO states) by advancing narratives that deny the sovereignty of Lithuania and other former Soviet states
And that's exactly why those former Soviet states clamored to get into NATO.
Posted on 5/4/25 at 10:16 am to LSUPilot07
quote:
The best part is I didn’t see any ejection seat leave the aircraft or parachute so hopefully the Russian pig pilot went to hell where he belongs.
Very stable group of people, our UKucks
Posted on 5/4/25 at 10:17 am to CitizenK
quote:
Ukraine sanctions China.
I'm sure they are really upset about it
Posted on 5/4/25 at 10:27 am to VolSquatch
quote:
It really is a small world. A few posters here unfortunately rode in those same short buses as kids
And what’s wrong with that? They save gas, take up less space on the road and you can park more of them in my driveway.
Posted on 5/4/25 at 10:30 am to Auburn1968
quote:
Senior Kremlin officials continue to set informational conditions that could support military operations against Lithuania (and other NATO states) by advancing narratives that deny the sovereignty of Lithuania and other former Soviet states
And that's exactly why those former Soviet states clamored to get into NATO.
I just don't believe Russia is planning what would essentially be a suicide mission that they instigate. I think all of these "Russia is planning for a war against NATO" reports are leaks of contingency plans.
But then again we are talking about Russians here, so it wouldn't be shocking that they might do something that would result in their own extinction.
This post was edited on 5/4/25 at 10:37 am
Posted on 5/4/25 at 10:39 am to VolSquatch
quote:
Senior Kremlin officials continue to set informational conditions that could support military operations against Lithuania (and other NATO states) by advancing narratives that deny the sovereignty of Lithuania and other former Soviet states
I don’t either, but it’s obvious that they are testing Western resolve and making the West take their eyes of Ukraine.
I suspect they will continue harassing these Eastern European nations by cutting cables, by hacking their power grids, or messing with their shipping, etc.
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