re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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???????? About the cause of the explosion on the Crimean bridge: analysis of materials from the site of the terrorist attack

The official investigation into the terrorist attack on the bridge across the Kerch Strait has already begun: it is likely that the first results will be announced in a while. In the meantime, we have analyzed data from open sources and tried to suggest what could have been the cause of what happened.

?? Judging by the video, the explosion was very powerful. Someone even suggested that what happened was an air strike. However, the outdoor lighting poles are not only not bent, but not even burned. The cameras on them are also intact. All this looks extremely uncharacteristic of an alleged missile attack.

??The frame shows a car leaving the explosion cloud: not only was it not thrown by the explosion, but even remained on the move. There are also no traces of scattering of striking elements, which from such a distance would not have left a living place on the machines. The tanks on the railway bridge were damaged, but not even almost crushed.

??The photo shows a span that fell into the Kerch Strait, on which there are no funnels. But the pipes with cables running along the side surfaces look torn off and as if cut.

What conclusions can be drawn?

??The nature of the damage, the absence of traces of striking elements and craters makes it possible to practically discard the version of the arrival of the rocket. A drone hit is completely unbelievable due to its small warhead.

??More believable is the detonation of the charges installed from below: this explains the tanks, cars and lighting poles that remained almost unscathed. Data from open sources do not allow us to reliably state whether these were saboteurs or naval drones.

??Detonation of a booby-trapped truck also looks like a possibility. The cumulative charge could be installed in a truck and overlaid it inside the trailer so that the directed jet would literally cut the supporting structure. This explains both the sparks caught in the frame and the bent steel beam.

Additional objective evidence from the site of the explosion is needed to more accurately determine the causes of the explosion.

But one thing is clear for sure: behind the terrorist attack, the destruction of the Russian infrastructure and the death of civilians is the Ukrainian state with its law enforcement and civilian structures.

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