re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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Wooden barracks + poor flame discipline = Russia being Russia. However, this one might actually be the result of a soldier smoking.

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I assume several here walked fire watch at some point and thought it was stupid...

British Defence Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 12 August 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE

On 9 August 2022, explosions occurred at the Russian-operated Saky military airfield in western Crimea. The original cause of the blasts is unclear, but the large mushroom clouds visible in eyewitness video were almost certainly from the detonation of up to four uncovered munition storage areas.

At least five Su-24 FENCER fighter-bombers and three Su-30 FLANKER H multi-role jets were almost certainly destroyed or seriously damaged in the blasts. Saky's central dispersal area has suffered serious damage, but the airfield probably remains serviceable.

The loss of eight combat jets represents a minor proportion of the overall fleet of aircraft Russia has available to support the war. However, Saky was primarily used as a base for the aircraft of the Russian Navy's Black Sea Fleet. The fleet's naval aviation capability is now significantly degraded. The incident will likely prompt the Russian military to revise its threat perception. Crimea has probably been seen as a secure rear-area.

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Crimea has probably been seen as a secure rear-area.

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The loss of eight combat aircraft is a big because they cant be replaced.

Being able to bang shite around in Crimea is a big deal. It will force some Russian 2014 squatters out and its ripe for some organized insurrection. Its the opening another front the Russians cant defend and it doesnt cost Ukr anything personnel wise.

Astute observation, I would just add this was primarily to act as air support for Black Sea fleet which now has massively reduced capacity…the intercepts from the last 48 hrs have been all chatter about medium range weapons systems and how RU is being dismantled at Ukraines pace.

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the intercepts from the last 48 hrs have been all chatter about medium range weapons systems and how RU is being dismantled at Ukraines pace.

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That's very well stated and easy to understand. It appears as though the Ukrainians are no longer playing the same game as Russia. They are striking critical assets behind the lines and simply holding the lines static for now. After a few weeks of this the Russians could have difficulty holding the lines if the Ukrainians apply direct troop pressure.

Even someone who is not a trained military tactician can see the logic in Ukraine's actions over the last few weeks.

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1/2??There is a wish to make English compulsory in Ukraine, – Deputy Minister of Culture and Information Policy Rostyslav Karandieiev says.

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2/2According to the bill, which they plan to adopt, English will have to be owned by:
- civil servants, in particular, heads of local administrations;
- officers, military;
- chiefs of the middle and senior staff of the National Police;
- scientific and pedagogical workers.

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@flash43191300

Twitter video released by AFU of Russian GRAD & ammo exploding

Grad Video

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Norway will assist in training the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Great Britain. This is in addition to -

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And the US.

Why Ukraine struggles to combat Russia’s artillery superiority
August 12, 2022 9:28 pm

Russian heavy artillery — the Kremlin’s deadliest weapon against Ukraine — is still a superior force that has no mercy.

Almost six months into the full-scale invasion, Russian advances remain generally stalled.

But despite much effort with Western-provided advanced weaponry, Russia's artillery force is still inflicting heavy losses on Ukraine and goes unanswered much too often.

Counter-battery fire, the tactic of hunting for and firing at the enemy’s artillery pieces, remains a weak spot in Ukraine’s military.

The Russian military indeed enjoys very strong numerical superiority. But Ukraine, in turn, often lacks proper organization of counter-battery activities on the battlefield. It also falls short of qualified top-level specialists.

As a result, Russian artillery continues to devastate Ukrainian lines, causing Ukrainian infantry to pay an inflating price in blood.

The Kyiv Independent

ISW update from yesterday (8/11)

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The US State Department called on Russian forces to cease all military activity surrounding the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) and support the creation of a demilitarized zone amidst new reports of shelling at the ZNPP on August 11.

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Ukrainian and Russian occupation authorities accused each other of shelling the ZNPP on August 11.

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Russian officials have previously accused Ukraine of striking positions of crucial significance to Ukrainians – such as the falsely-claimed HIMARS strike on the Olenivka colony in occupied Donetsk Oblast

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Russia’s 64th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade (64th SGMRB) of the 35th Combined Arms Army (CAA) has likely been destroyed in combat, possibly as part of an intentional Kremlin effort to conceal the war crimes it committed in Kyiv Oblast.

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Ukrainian intelligence warned that the Kremlin is setting conditions to launch an informational attack on Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in an effort to discredit him

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A collection of complaints sent to the Russian military prosecutor’s office and verified by Bellingcat and the Insider included instances of Russian authorities tricking or coercing conscripts into taking combat positions, limiting the extent of information provided to the families of Russian soldiers, and failing to provide soldiers with basic food or medical care

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Ukrainian General Staff Main Operations Deputy Chief Oleksiy Gromov stated that Ukrainian forces were not responsible for explosions at the Zyabrovka airfield near Gomel, Belarus overnight on August 10-11

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Key Takeaways

The US State Department called on Russian forces to cease all military activity surrounding the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) amidst new reports of shelling at the ZNPP.

Russian forces conducted ground attacks east of Siversk and northeast and southeast of Bakhmut.

Russian forces continued ground attacks on the north and southwestern outskirts of Donetsk City.

Ukrainian officials confirmed additional Ukrainian strikes on Russian command posts and ammunition depots along the Southern Axis.

Russia’s Khabarovsk Krai is forming two new volunteer battalions.

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