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re: July 3, 1863 - "In the center they will break..."

Posted on 7/3/26 at 1:43 pm to
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71422 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Even if Lee had won at Gettysburg, Vicksburg surrendered the next day and sealed the South's fate.



One of the main reasons for invading the North was to win a battle on Union soil to absorb the loss of Vicksburg.
Posted by geauxbrown
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2006
27708 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 1:46 pm to
I honestly believe Lee had seen enough bloodshed and just wanted it to be over. The General who had divided his forces and focused on a defensive strategy, left Virginia in an effort to move the war away from the South while also hoping to gain recognition from European countries. The Confederacy needed one victory on Union soil in order to stoke the anti war cries and hand Lincoln a defeat in the upcoming election.

I feel like he knew the end was near. That combined with the absence of his Calvary almost certainly played a role in his decision making at Gettysburg. He could only lean on the experiences of the past year, but this time everything worked out perfectly for the Union.
Posted by Yaz 8
Member since Jun 2020
1388 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 1:57 pm to
Good post. The OP is a Lee hater. Typical Yankee loudmouth.
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71422 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

The OP is a Lee hater. Typical Yankee loudmouth.


Born and raised in Alabama. I can't help that I have actually studied this shite and am not just basing my opinions on what my grandfather told me at the dinner table 50+ years ago. Lee was a good general and a great leader of men. However, his reputation as some Napoleonic genius was inflated significantly by Confederate veterans starting in the 1880s and 1890s.
Posted by LCA131
Home of the Fake Sig lines
Member since Feb 2008
77470 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

Lee was a good general and a great leader of men.


Succinctly rate Grant on these 2... Categories?
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71422 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

Succinctly rate Grant on these 2... Categories?



I would call Grant a great general and a good leader of men. He is without question among the greatest strategic minds in the history of the U.S. Army. He was very soft-spoken, not very charismatic, and thus did not command the same kind of respect from his men that Lee did. However, the men who served under him in the Army of the Tennessee absolutely adored him because he did nothing but win.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
56701 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

Lincoln was a tyrant in invaded the south escalating a needless war to the tune of 600,000 American deaths.

The tyrants were the men who held other men in human bondage. God bless Abraham Lincoln for standing against it.
This post was edited on 7/3/26 at 2:31 pm
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
7795 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

Succinctly rate Grant on these 2... Categories?
Given a choice between Grant or Lee as a commander and strategist, Grant every time.
Posted by A12 Oxcart
On the float out in the Belt
Member since Dec 2022
1260 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 2:47 pm to
Part 3 of the Gettysburg trilogy.

Posted by PJinAtl
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2007
14624 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

Lee was a good general and a great leader of men.

Lee's best qualities were (in no particular order)
Engineering, administration, and inspiring those below him in the chain of command.

Gettysburg throws so many variables that the what ifs can be almost infinite.

The first major engagement after losing Jackson. What if the ANV had only two corps with Longstreet and Jackson at the heads?

The artillery fuses from a different armory and a higher moisture content. What if the artillery barrage had hit the main Federal lines and not behind.

Stewart not being there to be Lee's eyes and ears? How much would advanced notice of Federal numbers and positions influenced Lee's decision making at the beginning?
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
6010 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 3:18 pm to
quote:

At Gettysburg he finally came up against an opposing general who was competent and not afraid of him.


This is overlooked. Once the North chewed through political patronage posting and staffed a truly professional military chain of command, Lee stopped winning. He won on his home soil against semi-professional military leadership. He lost twice when he took his army on the road against quality opposition.

The older I get the more it is clear the South stood zero chance. The best approach was a Longstreet style defensive slog. Make each fighting season painful and pray the political winds on the north change was the only viable option.

There was no strategic knockout blow that could ever have been landed.

If the south “wins” Gettysburg . . . they have a tattered army in the middle of Pennsylvania and the union controlling the Mississippi.

The South needed to move more resources to stop Grant in the west, but was ultimately too provincial to win against a cohesive north.
Posted by RoyalAir
Detroit
Member since Dec 2012
7657 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

You are forgetting one important detail that separates the Civil War from these other conflicts: the U.S. and C.S. shared a border.


Nah, I'm not discounting this, at all. Already being *in* country is one of the reasons the US won the Indian wars (a similar insurgency), with massively superior firepower being another major reason.

What the US had in massive advantage over the CS is the ability to mobilize immigrants. Due to upheaval in Europe, the US could take conscripts fresh off the boat and ship them to the front. The CS didn't have such a manpower ability.



Forrest wreaked havoc using these tactics, but he was largely alone in this thought process while the rest of the CS leadership pursued Lee's concepts. Had it been inverse, the cost of battle in Confederate states may have led to a negotiated release. It took Lincoln years to find military leadership who were aligned in his desire for total war. Hell, Sherman was effective because he lacked "decorum," just like Forrest did.

Perhaps victory was utterly impossible for the CS. But a guerilla campaign was *probably* the clearest path to victory - however narrow it would have been.
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
61135 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

The tyrants were the men who held other men in human bondage


So many of the northern states?
Posted by RoyalAir
Detroit
Member since Dec 2012
7657 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

God bless Abraham Lincoln for standing against it.


Lincoln's views of slavery evolved over a period of time. His own writings are rather clear about this. If he did, he would have issued the EP at the onset of the conflict. As it was, it was a Hail Mary, and it was effective in retroactively changing the narrative.

That's not to say there weren't ardent abolitionists who objected to slavery on deep moral grounds. Lincoln, though, wasn't one of them. He was, at best, conflicted about it.

You can make a pretty cohesive argument that the need to secure the Mississippi River, and its overall importance to the interior of a burgeoning nation, is the primary reason Lincoln pursued the war as doggedly as he did.
This post was edited on 7/3/26 at 3:35 pm
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
56701 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 3:33 pm to
quote:

So many of the northern states?

These people are everywhere. But the south was controlled by them, and America fought against it.
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71422 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 3:40 pm to
quote:

Forrest wreaked havoc using these tactics, but he was largely alone in this thought process while the rest of the CS leadership pursued Lee's concepts. Had it been inverse, the cost of battle in Confederate states may have led to a negotiated release. It took Lincoln years to find military leadership who were aligned in his desire for total war. Hell, Sherman was effective because he lacked "decorum," just like Forrest did.



Forrest was a raiding legend who wrecked Union supplies, but he wasn't alone: raids by Mosby, Morgan, and others plus the Partisan Ranger Act were already part of the Confederate playbook. More emphasis on guerrilla tactics wouldn’t have won (or negotiated) independence. The South’s core problems were massive disadvantages in manpower/industry, the need to hold territory, and Union resolve to escalate total war. Guerrilla fighting cedes the heartland, invites harsher retaliation, and accelerates collapse. It also prolongs suffering without delivering victory. Lee was right to reject it. Tactical wins do not equal strategic solution.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
56701 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 3:43 pm to
quote:

Lincoln's views of slavery evolved over a period of time

Lincoln believed slavery was morally wrong. That never evolved. What evolved were his views on how to end it. At one time Lincoln did not believe negroes should coexist with white people as equals. This view evolved - maybe, or maybe it was just a tactic.
Posted by Drydock
Osage County
Member since Oct 2013
8936 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 4:55 pm to
Guerilla warfare would have had no effect on the naval blockade. With the loss of the Mississippi, the CS had no avenue of overland supply. This is critical, and often forgotten.
Posted by Mr. Misanthrope
Cloud 8
Member since Nov 2012
6482 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 6:11 pm to
quote:

He was overly aggressive at Gettysburg, but it was probably his last chance.

Good summary. He was probably struggling and worn out with heart issues, was genuinely committed to “the enemy is there, we are going to destroy them there now” and had succumbed to personal hubris that he hid behind the notion of God’s “Providence.”

Longstreet was probably right. Pick good ground interposed between Meade and Washington/Baltimore and the Federal armies would have dashed themselves to pieces trying to destroy Lee’s army. A second Fredericksburg. As it was while Pickett’s men were being blasted with massed rifles and artillery rounds and grapeshot, the Federals yelled Fredericksburg! Fredericksburg! Fredericksburg!

All because Lee didn’t take Pete’s counsel to heart.
Posted by JerryTheKingBawler
South of Memphis
Member since Jan 2023
8921 posts
Posted on 7/3/26 at 6:18 pm to
Another dub for the good guys and another MASSIVE L for the traitorous racists!

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