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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/22/22 at 1:58 pm to
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
14819 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 1:58 pm to
it'd be so interesting to be in a boat (if you could protect yourself somehow) during cyclogenesis for this storm.
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 1:59 pm
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15301 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 1:59 pm to
sometimes, just when you think you have a closed low shear rips it up and it reforms somewhere else after shear weakens
Posted by TheRouxGuru
Member since Nov 2019
13558 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:00 pm to
I hate it when that shite happens
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
14819 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

sometimes, just when you think you have a closed low shear rips it up and it reforms somewhere else after shear weakens



high level shear is effecting this storm. You can see it in the vis satellite view (surface is rotating, but higher level clouds getting blown off, preventing convection around the surface low). Once the shear reduces, the mid-level low will begin forming more over the surface low as convection increases
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 2:02 pm
Posted by saturday
Pronoun (Baw)
Member since Feb 2007
7789 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:07 pm to
quote:


I like any run that would potentially keep this thing out of the Gulf altogether.




I can fap to that
Posted by foosball
Member since Nov 2021
2293 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:18 pm to
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 2:18 pm
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:19 pm to
New Euro Florida emphasis run:

'New pages generated to this thread every ...

[ ] 15 minutes
[X] 3 hours
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
14819 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:19 pm to
Consensus track that NHC uses HATES Tom Brady and the Bucs
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100740 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

it'd be so interesting to be in a boat (if you could protect yourself somehow) during cyclogenesis for this storm.


Imagine just being there as it forms and following the storm in the eye the entire way
Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:21 pm to
AVNI even turning
Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
6831 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

the gulf has been impenetrable this season.


This fricking guy here! :(
Posted by Bunta
Member since Oct 2007
12679 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

the gulf has been impenetrable this season. its been remarkable. much needed for us LA peeps after the last couple years.


Too early for this

Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16074 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:35 pm to
I had thought that Friday would be the day that we get some clarity on where this storm is launching from but it’s looking more like Saturday now.

If it launches more north than south, I think that’s good for us in Louisiana and bad for Florida. The closer it gets to Yucatán, the more western coastal areas should take note


Posted by ShoeBang
Member since May 2012
21878 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:38 pm to
Is the high pressure cool front coming in not going to make it shift east and away from LA? I’m asking for real
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94831 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:45 pm to
Actually,that's PISD.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100740 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

high pressure cool front


Interdasting
Posted by flvelo12
Palm Harbor, Florida
Member since Jan 2012
3564 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:49 pm to


frick this map.
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
22146 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:55 pm to






That right there looks like a trend to me baw
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
14819 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 2:57 pm to
those models are hookin' up a brotha (e.g. Florida)!
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 2:57 pm
Posted by VABuckeye
NOVA
Member since Dec 2007
38283 posts
Posted on 9/22/22 at 3:01 pm to
Stay the frick away from SW Florida.
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