- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
2
Posted on 9/20/22 at 11:43 pm to lsuman25
00z dials Fiona back a little on the Canada landfall. It is at 937mb this run and it was sub-930 last run.
Posted on 9/20/22 at 11:43 pm to DhanTigers212
Sure why not. We've been so skullfricked the past few years should just go ahead and finish the job with a double tap to the head.
Posted on 9/20/22 at 11:44 pm to lsuman25
quote:
I just don't like it's approach off or near Cuba.
That's the trend I've been and will be watching.
Posted on 9/20/22 at 11:45 pm to lsuman25
Would agree with that. Banking on that NE ejection while headed NW would create hysteria from LA to AL. Hurricane Ivan ended up similar, but damn it made everyone panicked waiting for that turn to occur
Posted on 9/20/22 at 11:48 pm to LegendInMyMind
Landfall on that run is actually further east. It's that turn you're waiting on that's scary because it comes further NW before it does.
Posted on 9/20/22 at 11:49 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
Landfall on that run is actually further east.
It almost split the difference between the 12z and the 18z.
Posted on 9/20/22 at 11:52 pm to LegendInMyMind
Levi noted that the system is tilted in a southerly direction
A more southerly track, combined with a weaker front may trend a more westward track
A more southerly track, combined with a weaker front may trend a more westward track
This post was edited on 9/20/22 at 11:56 pm
Posted on 9/20/22 at 11:54 pm to LegendInMyMind
Not sure if CMC is a reliable model, but this run has it chilling in the gulf then moving on NO
Posted on 9/20/22 at 11:58 pm to alabamabuckeye
quote:
Not sure if CMC is a reliable model, but this run has it chilling in the gulf then moving on NO
CMC just isn't great with tropical systems. It held on to Fiona making it into the Gulf and heading to South TX far too long, for example.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 12:03 am to LegendInMyMind
GFS was on Mexico beach last night, Tampa this morning, (close enough to) Mexico beach this afternoon and creeping west now. I left Louisiana but hope, for my friends and family, the westward creep chills out.
This post was edited on 9/21/22 at 12:04 am
Posted on 9/21/22 at 12:04 am to lsugolfredman
quote:
Would agree with that. Banking on that NE ejection while headed NW would create hysteria from LA to AL. Hurricane Ivan ended up similar, but damn it made everyone panicked waiting for that turn to occur
That was when Martin Folse started with the stick.
Ivan was headed straight for the LA coast and then you could see the center following the stick early on and then storm veered off the stick at the last moment and headed to Alabama.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 12:04 am to LegendInMyMind
Levi’s point is certainly warranted as the 0z GFS run puts the developing low practically on the South American coast. Also, it’s clear that a low runner will impact the 0z GEFS run. Coming in a good deal further west as a result.
This post was edited on 9/21/22 at 12:05 am
Posted on 9/21/22 at 12:06 am to lsugolfredman
Yeah, but we don't really know where it will end up whether it's north or south until the shear is gone so models will just keep bouncing around on that.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 12:08 am to rds dc
This run has it landing further east then the 18z
Posted on 9/21/22 at 12:20 am to rds dc
Jay Grymes is pretty well convinced it is going to stay east of Louisiana
Sleeves all the way down
Sleeves all the way down
Posted on 9/21/22 at 1:14 am to rds dc
GFS has a CAT 3 hitting dead center panama city beach
Posted on 9/21/22 at 1:31 am to Scoper
Models keep coming back with the same idea.
We're probably going to have a major hurricane in the Gulf next week. Not a certainty, but likely.
Where it ends up after that isn't something a deterministic model (GFS, Euro, Canadian) can accurately predict this far out. Given the time of year and trough breaking down the ridge scenario that is going to happen, Florida landfall is the more likely of the scenarios. Louisiana isn't out of the woods though, not even close yet.
We got a lot of time to figure out the details.
We're probably going to have a major hurricane in the Gulf next week. Not a certainty, but likely.
Where it ends up after that isn't something a deterministic model (GFS, Euro, Canadian) can accurately predict this far out. Given the time of year and trough breaking down the ridge scenario that is going to happen, Florida landfall is the more likely of the scenarios. Louisiana isn't out of the woods though, not even close yet.
We got a lot of time to figure out the details.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 1:34 am to Duke
quote:
Models keep coming back with the same idea.
We're probably going to have a major hurricane in the Gulf next week. Not a certainty, but likely.
Where it ends up after that isn't something a deterministic model (GFS, Euro, Canadian) can accurately predict this far out. Given the time of year and trough breaking down the ridge scenario that is going to happen, Florida landfall is the more likely of the scenarios. Louisiana isn't out of the woods though, not even close yet.
We got a lot of time to figure out the details.
Regardless of where landfall is. if the gfs is right and there's a cat 4 in the middle of the gulf. It's bad
This post was edited on 9/21/22 at 11:22 am
Posted on 9/21/22 at 3:19 am to Scoper
quote:. Yep- just having the threat alone will have huge impact on the cost of gas and property insurance.
Regardless of wheee landfall is. if the gfs is right and there's a cat 4 in the middle of the gulf. It's bad
Page 30 of 465
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News