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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:36 pm to
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84286 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:36 pm to
quote:

Might I suggest you subscribe to TDPremium. It’s a lot easier to post pics.



If you wait for the Black Friday Special, you also get Larry Leo's autograph.
Posted by Dexterous404
Florida
Member since Sep 2022
73 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:37 pm to
quote:

quote:
“dramatic shift to the South”

This move has been telegraphed for a while now


Yes, correct. I just like his style of reporting and explaining and I thought others in my local area might appreciate it. I’ve watched him for years and he is very detailed and has always been absolutely spot on. Much better than the Sarasota weather guys.
This post was edited on 9/27/22 at 10:44 pm
Posted by OU Guy
Member since Feb 2022
29323 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:39 pm to
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Posted by Tigernation1290
Member since Aug 2022
130 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:40 pm to
Best case scenario right now with the storm weakening and looks like it will continue to weaken.
Posted by Mr Breeze
The Lunatic Fringe
Member since Dec 2010
6805 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:41 pm to
quote:

I have family that are riding it out about 10 miles directly inland east of Venice. How worried should I be?

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:42 pm to
quote:


Best case scenario right now with the storm weakening and looks like it will continue to weaken.


I'd very much pump the breaks on that conclusion.
Posted by Tigernation1290
Member since Aug 2022
130 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:42 pm to
Guy on weather channel is saying eye wall replacement was shite and is weakening. Still will be strong but it’s not pushing cat 5 like it was potentially at first
Posted by ILurkThereforeIAm
In the Shadows, Behind Hedges
Member since Aug 2020
819 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:44 pm to
I went to Instagram and looked up recent posts geotagged in Key West. Here are a few screen shots I grabbed:











Posted by Dexterous404
Florida
Member since Sep 2022
73 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:45 pm to
quote:


Guy on weather channel is saying eye wall replacement was shite and is weakening. Still will be strong but it’s not pushing cat 5 like it was potentially at first


Thanks for that. I had not heard that . I don’t have TWC so I appreciate the update!
Posted by H2O Tiger
Delta Sky Club
Member since May 2021
7940 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:46 pm to
Youtube TV has it now

EDIT: That response was swift and angry
This post was edited on 9/27/22 at 10:49 pm
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93577 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:49 pm to
The latest official forecast from the NHC has it reaching max winds of 132 mph, with 160+ gusts.

125 at landfall with 155 gusts.

Winds are currently 120.

Weaker?
Posted by Tigernation1290
Member since Aug 2022
130 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:50 pm to
Better than the alternative which was looking like 150+

Let’s not forget the storm surge Tampa was facing that has drastically decreased. This is still gonna be rough but again best case scenario all things considered.
This post was edited on 9/27/22 at 10:53 pm
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177195 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:52 pm to
The eye wall is trying to wrap back around. The storm is a pretty ugly presentation on radar right now. Fighting dry air wrapping in to the southern and western side hard. Major gaps in precip on those sides.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93577 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:52 pm to
quote:

Better than the alternative which was looking like 150+


I don’t think anyone was calling for that.

You said getting weaker, not better than Cat 5.

It’s not forecasted, as of now, to be weaker than it currently is before landfall.
Posted by Dexterous404
Florida
Member since Sep 2022
73 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

EDIT: That response was swift and angry


My response was? Not how I intended it at all. I was truly appreciative.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:53 pm to
2 mb rise between passes.
Posted by H2O Tiger
Delta Sky Club
Member since May 2021
7940 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:53 pm to
No, all the downvotes lol
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84286 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:54 pm to
quote:

The latest official forecast from the NHC has it reaching max winds of 132 mph, with 160+ gusts.

125 at landfall with 155 gusts.

Winds are currently 120.

Weaker?





- TWC
Posted by Tigernation1290
Member since Aug 2022
130 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:54 pm to
quote:

The eye wall is trying to wrap back around. The storm is a pretty ugly presentation on radar right now. Fighting dry air wrapping in to the southern and western side hard. Major gaps in precip on those sides.


This, thanks.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93577 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:54 pm to
So a TS in the AM?
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