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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/26/22 at 6:32 pm to
Posted by LSUintheNW
At your mom’s house
Member since Aug 2009
35764 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 6:32 pm to
quote:


If it hits during normal high tide time, it could get even uglier.


High tide is 6:10 pm Thursday and is the weaker of the 2 high tides that day at 2.3'.

Fri morning the high tide is at 4:26 am at 3.28'.
Posted by DrewDawg13
Athens
Member since Apr 2015
3498 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 6:32 pm to
Moved to Sarasota last year, and bought a house here in May... We are going to stick it out I think. We have our hurricane shutters up, and hoping for a late shift. Not looking great right now.
Posted by VABuckeye
Naples, FL
Member since Dec 2007
35713 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 6:35 pm to
Better safe than brave Drew. GTFO. Your pride isn’t worth it.

Shutters mean nothing with storm surge.
This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 6:36 pm
Posted by CobraCommander83
Member since Feb 2017
11601 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 6:36 pm to
quote:

Jamaican Model)


Posted by exiledhogfan
Missouri
Member since Jul 2021
1261 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 6:39 pm to
quote:

Put one in Gitmo for the southern areas and another one near Havana for the north. Promise to share weather data.


They -- we -- may not want to show it, but GTMO has plenty of surveillance equipment of many types.

If it ain't on Spook Hill, we probably don't need it.
Posted by Diseasefreeforall
Member since Oct 2012
5626 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 6:39 pm to
If anybody deserves blame it's the dumbass local weather guy who wrote a story with this headline for a Tampa news outlet in April:

quote:

Tampa Bay has dodged Florida’s catastrophic hurricanes, but for how much longer?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55499 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 6:40 pm to
Upper, Mid, and Low level water vapor. I can't make/post gifs for shite, so screenshots it is.



Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
43155 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 6:43 pm to
I was just looking at those, as well. It looks like there may be at least a bit of dry air on the western side of the center. Will it mix out or hamper strengthening is the question?
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
25729 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 6:46 pm to
quote:

FL Division of Emergency Management
@FLSERT

Mon. 9/26/22, 7:30PM EST: Hurricane warnings are in effect for Hillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas & Sarasota counties. Hurricane watches are also in effect for areas along the Gulf Coast.

Residents should prep for #Ian impacts & have multiple ways to receive weather alerts.


Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55499 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 6:46 pm to
I, personally, don't think it will hurt much. Philippe Pappin has a couple good tweets that could give some tips as to what is going on. It may have gone through a sort of EWRC earlier today that set the stage for the spiral band around the eye we see now. Some dry air could have slipped in during that process and will likely cycle out without hampering the storm too much.
This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 6:48 pm
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
43155 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 6:50 pm to
This Justin Michaels guy on TWC is annoying. He is the perfect illustration of a TV news goob.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55499 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 6:55 pm to
quote:

I was just looking at those, as well.

If you want a bigger picture look than what Tropical Tidbits shows, that wX app I always recommend has a bunch of satellite products, pretty much most of the GOES stuff.

It is easier than tracking it down on websites.
This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 6:56 pm
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
43155 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 6:59 pm to
Sweet, I’ll check that out. Thanks!
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
43155 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:00 pm to
New intermediate advisory (no new cone for this advisory). Winds still at 100mph, pressure down to 965mb.

Hurricane Ian Intermediate Advisory Number 15A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
800 PM EDT Mon Sep 26 2022

...CONDITIONS IN WESTERN CUBA BEGINNING TO DETERIORATE WITH
SIGNIFICANT WIND AND STORM SURGE IMPACTS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 83.3W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES
This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 7:01 pm
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
25729 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:00 pm to
From the Space Station




7 minute Twitter video from space
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55499 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:02 pm to
Psssshhhh....that's nonsense, Bobby. Space doesn't exist.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
25729 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:04 pm to
Posted by Abstract Queso Dip
Member since Mar 2021
5878 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:06 pm to
Those airplanes should drop a wine bottle with a hurricane drink recipe and a 100 dollar bill and a tracker for scientific research.
This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 7:07 pm
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
25729 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:08 pm to
quote:

Psssshhhh....that's nonsense, Bobby. Space doesn't exist.



Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55499 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 7:10 pm to
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