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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)
Posted on 9/20/22 at 4:32 pm to Oates Mustache
Posted on 9/20/22 at 4:32 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
Fratella still on the hype train, saying the cold front modeling could be too aggressive with those recurve scenarios. More of a northern gulf coast threat due to that.
Not a hype man, IMO. When he talks, I listen. I think he might be rdc. Or his long lost twin brother.
2
Posted on 9/20/22 at 4:43 pm to lsuman25
Posted on 9/20/22 at 4:45 pm to DVinBR
So only tampa is screwed right with latest model run ? So pretty much zero chance it hits Tampa. Lol
Posted on 9/20/22 at 4:47 pm to Prominentwon
18z gfs is running
Posted on 9/20/22 at 4:47 pm to TutHillTiger
Tampa is one of those strange places that has had direct hits from hurricanes, but it's rare. If you talk to people from there, they think they have a hurricane deflector shield up.
Posted on 9/20/22 at 4:58 pm to Prominentwon
Yes, it's concerning. Even a week out to project something like that isn't really that reliable. it could be slower, less pronounced, or just not make it all the way through. We're in September not late October. I don't trust any model saying cold fronts are coming down at this time of year until it's within a day or 2.
This post was edited on 9/20/22 at 4:59 pm
Posted on 9/20/22 at 4:58 pm to Oates Mustache
if it goes towards Tampa, it better watch it's back - Mike Evans will bum rush it and kicks it out to see
Posted on 9/20/22 at 5:05 pm to rds dc
98L isn't looking too hot on the satellite right now
Posted on 9/20/22 at 5:06 pm to Thracken13
quote:
if it goes towards Tampa, it better watch it's back - Mike Evans will bum rush it and kicks it out to see
Depends on if the name is male or female. We know Aggies only hit dudes from behind like that.
Posted on 9/20/22 at 5:06 pm to deltaland
Continued to trend weaker and further south across the Caribbean on 18z
This post was edited on 9/20/22 at 5:08 pm
Posted on 9/20/22 at 5:07 pm to DVinBR
It aint going to look good for the next few days. Got northerly shear to contend with.
Posted on 9/20/22 at 5:09 pm to rds dc
quote:
**Potential Gulf Threat**
Posted on 9/20/22 at 5:09 pm to Duke
quote:
It aint going to look good for the next few days. Got northerly shear to contend with.
I'm loving the shear layer on TT. You can clearly see what it will be dealing with for the immediate future:
Posted on 9/20/22 at 5:11 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
quote:
Bobby OG Johnson
Posted on 9/20/22 at 5:18 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
LegendInMyMind
Posted on 9/20/22 at 5:19 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
You can clearly see what it will be dealing with for the immediate future
I see Van Gogh’s Starry Night in infrared.
Posted on 9/20/22 at 5:21 pm to DVinBR
quote:
98L isn't looking too hot on the satellite right now
One of those things saying it really doesn't look good or it can frick us up
Posted on 9/20/22 at 5:26 pm to Tyga Woods
quote:
I see Van Gogh’s Starry Night in infrared.
I see a big red butthole.
Posted on 9/20/22 at 5:26 pm to maisweh
Cuba wasn't even a speed bump on this run.
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