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Started By
Message
re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:15 pm to SlidellCajun
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:15 pm to SlidellCajun
quote:
Am I reading it correctly that the intensity is now forecasted to stay up rather than be impacted and diminished by shear?
Nah. The 12z GFS showed the same thing it has been showing when it has a Northern landfall. Shear opens it up and it sucks dry air. It slows down on approach and weakens as it makes it closer to land.
That aspect should hold true as long as it is a more Northern landfall in the panhandle or Big Bend(ish) area.
0
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:16 pm to Duke
quote:
Shear dropped. Got storms everywhere, but they sure aren't organized at this point.
That GFS.....sometimes it just hits. In terms of the messy Vorticity, anyway.
This post was edited on 9/25/22 at 12:17 pm
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:16 pm to Duke
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:17 pm to Oates Mustache
You get a swirl! You get a swirl! You get a swirl!
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:19 pm to SippyCup
quote:
it’s pretty stupid to suggest a possible mandatory evacuation of Destin.
I’m in Miramar and people are suggesting it. The people from Louisiana are saying they’re staying and the people I talked to from Missouri said they’re leaving.
Go figure
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:20 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
That GFS.....sometimes it just hits. In terms of the messy Vorticity, anyway.
That upper low decaying over Cuba gets a little more interesting the longer this takes to stack up. It isn't having trouble convecting though, at some point it'll work out those dry air problems.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:33 pm to TigerOnTheMountain
quote:
I’m in Miramar and people are suggesting it.
I’m also in Miramar. We drove in last night to pick up some things around the house and make sure our renters know to pick up the patio furniture if things dicey. There is not a single public official suggesting anyone leave.
The locals I know don’t expect anything and are not leaving for anything 2 and under. The renters that just got here yesterday are from TX and GA and asked my opinion. I told them water would most likely be closed from Tue/Wed on but if it’s the big bend area there is no reason to leave or panic.
This post was edited on 9/25/22 at 12:34 pm
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:34 pm to Duke
How we get a sticky, but no Stone Cold?
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:36 pm to The Boat
quote:
The only issue for Auburn with this is does it come a little too close and cause power outages the day before the game.
That’s not the only issue auburn has….
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:37 pm to fightin tigers
quote:
How we get a sticky, but no Stone Cold?
The Boat makes the call on Stone Cold. Just the way it has been since our forefathers were posting in these threads.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:40 pm to SippyCup
quote:
I’m also in Miramar.
Let’s get drunk! I’m about to head to Pompano Joe’s.
quote:
There is not a single public official suggesting anyone leave.
I didn’t mean public officials. Just people unaccustomed to hurricanes. We’re leaving tomorrow, so we’ll be long gone before any landfall.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:41 pm to Duke
Boat falling down on the job.
I have no idea if the sticky is good or bad until I see the gif
I have no idea if the sticky is good or bad until I see the gif
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:42 pm to Duke
Boat was shitposting in the scoreboard thread last night. He's nursing a Bloody Mary for some hair of the dog right now.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:49 pm to fightin tigers
The Stone Cold gif gets posted if Louisiana is in the path or we get watches or warnings issued. What are y’all taking about.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:51 pm to Duke
We need to make a rule that anyone who posts a Nam ran for a hurricane catches an auto-ban. Nam bias bomb runs are coming.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:52 pm to The Boat
quote:
We need to make a rule that anyone who posts a Nam ran for a hurricane catches an auto-ban. Nam bias bomb runs are coming.
One day, Im going to post one with no other context. Just for the lolz.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:53 pm to The Boat
quote:
We need to make a rule that anyone who posts a Nam ran for a hurricane catches an auto-ban. Nam bias bomb runs are coming.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:54 pm to TigerOnTheMountain
quote:
I’m about to head to Pompano Joe’s.
Ha! I’m close enough to walk there. I probably should. Watching this Saints game is a waste of time.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:58 pm to Duke
The first time Ian has peeked into the Gulf on a Nam run is out at it was 891 hPa
Posted on 9/25/22 at 1:00 pm to The Boat
quote:
The first time Ian has peeked into the Gulf on a Nam run is out at it was 891 hPa
One day you frickers are gonna laugh and the Nam is gonna clown you all.
Not today, though.
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