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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:53 pm to
Posted by RummelTiger
Texas
Member since Aug 2004
92032 posts
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

You didn't deny it though.


I'm not Winston's roommate, nor am I a huge Longhorn fan.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
74512 posts
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:54 pm to
quote:

ETA: You might find this cool.

Red Bull Racing Comes Through My Town

I live near the little town where they do the pitstop at about a minute in.


Ain't no need to show off and make us plebs feel less than adequate. They are justtm running a sexxy AF v8 through God's country.....

You'll always be my homeboy with tittay milk on St Charles
This post was edited on 9/24/22 at 10:57 pm
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
24362 posts
Posted on 9/24/22 at 11:16 pm to
What did he post?
Posted by RummelTiger
Texas
Member since Aug 2004
92032 posts
Posted on 9/24/22 at 11:17 pm to
GFS has Destin/Ft. Walton in Ian's sight.

Dropping from a Cat 4 to a 2 before landfall, though...



This post was edited on 9/24/22 at 11:19 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/24/22 at 11:17 pm to


00z GFS is in with a present for the Panhandle.

Weakens some 40 mb from max by landfall. It also slows to a crawl midweek. Steering gets weak on the GFS if it misses the early week kick NE over Florida.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
24362 posts
Posted on 9/24/22 at 11:20 pm to
quote:

It also slows to a crawl midweek


Might be more of a flooding issue than wind if so.
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22285 posts
Posted on 9/24/22 at 11:21 pm to
Duke, why have the models consistently shown a pretty strong decrease in strength right before landfall? What is eating it up?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/24/22 at 11:21 pm to
Possible, but the GFS version would mostly flood the Gulf. Though Destin to Panama City would get a fair bit of rain off of it.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/24/22 at 11:23 pm to
quote:

Duke, why have the models consistently shown a pretty strong decrease in strength right before landfall? What is eating it up?


Shear increases. I watched the upper level winds increase every step toward landfall. Lets dry air work in too. Makes sense if it makes it as far north as the Panhandle it would get its arse kicked by shear.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
96928 posts
Posted on 9/24/22 at 11:28 pm to
quote:

My favorite thing about you is how you casually admit to crimes in weather threads.


It’s the Ms delta. It’s actually a cultural thing here to “mix a drink for the drive”

I’ve gone through roadblocks before and the cop held my beer while I got my license out
Posted by gizmothepug
Louisiana
Member since Apr 2015
8093 posts
Posted on 9/24/22 at 11:32 pm to
quote:

It’s the Ms delta. It’s actually a cultural thing here to “mix a drink for the drive” I’ve gone through roadblocks before and the cop held my beer while I got my license out


And people still wonder why Louisiana and Mississippi are at the bottom of every list.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/24/22 at 11:38 pm to
quote:

It’s the Ms delta. It’s actually a cultural thing here to “mix a drink for the drive”



It's still a crime, even if culturally celebrated.

Also, super on brand for the Delta.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/24/22 at 11:47 pm to


GEFS so far to the east of earlier.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:09 am to
Posted by trussthetruzz
Marquette, MI
Member since Sep 2020
9236 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:12 am to
Flip flop until we get a LLC
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:12 am to
Watching model runs come in. Laughing at OU's misfortune. Usual shite.
Posted by speckledawg
Somewhere Salty
Member since Nov 2016
4155 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:25 am to
quote:

It's still a crime, even if culturally celebrated


It's actually not in MS, given you're under the legal limit. You'd think that would be the case for LA, rather than MS, but nope.

Carry on with the cane insight now... I don't want to deal with another down here.
Posted by Scoper
i love hugh freeze
Member since Mar 2021
3177 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:40 am to
Headed closer to pensacola in the last run
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 12:48 am to
Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
18358 posts
Posted on 9/25/22 at 1:19 am to
quote:

It’s the Ms delta. It’s actually a cultural thing here to “mix a drink for the drive” I’ve gone through roadblocks before and the cop held my beer while I got my license out


Oh just bullshite.
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