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re: Hurricane Season - We back - NHC 10% Gulf Action

Posted on 7/13/25 at 8:41 pm to
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 8:41 pm to
Some stronger solutions too
Posted by slutiger5
Parroquias de Florida
Member since May 2007
12314 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 8:43 pm to
That ain’t good baw. Atleast my generator is ready.
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 8:49 pm to


Most are weak rainmakers. Relax
Posted by slutiger5
Parroquias de Florida
Member since May 2007
12314 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:09 pm to
I pick mobile.
Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
49830 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:12 pm to
And Mobile says absolutely not
Posted by CoonassatTEXAS
Austin, TX
Member since Nov 2005
1264 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:59 pm to
18z euro continues the trend of SE LA to far west panhandle
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40229 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 10:05 pm to
Good. Go east young system.
Posted by redneck
Los Suenos, Costa Rica
Member since Dec 2003
54181 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 10:19 pm to
Suppose to go from BSL to OBA via boat Thursday. Looks like I will be taking the truck instead
Posted by CoonassatTEXAS
Austin, TX
Member since Nov 2005
1264 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:59 am to
quote:

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Northeastern Gulf: An area of low pressure located offshore the east coast of Florida is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms this morning. This disturbance is forecast to move westward across Florida during the next day or so, and into the northeastern Gulf by late Tuesday. Environmental conditions appear favorable and some gradual development of this system is possible while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the northeastern and north-central portions of the Gulf during the middle to latter part of this week. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized flash flooding over portions of Florida and the north-central Gulf coast through the middle to latter portion of this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Kelly
Posted by questionable
FL
Member since Apr 2008
1254 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 7:18 am to
10 percent today 100 tomorrow. Buckle up baws.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21519 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 7:24 am to
Not much change since yesterday, the ICON is still an outlier, but can't be totally dismissed because conditions in the Gulf look very favorable for intensification. NHC going 30% looks about right.
Posted by VernonPLSUfan
Leesville, La.
Member since Sep 2007
17811 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 7:32 am to
Something, something Punta something.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14297 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 8:38 am to
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
25893 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 8:42 am to
Where is this thing supposed to be on Thursday?
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
40341 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 8:47 am to
quote:

Where is this thing supposed to be on Thursday?



south of the redneck riviera in the gulf

Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
25893 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 8:54 am to
So, you are saying my drive home is going to be shitty?
Posted by GooDat
The Delta
Member since Dec 2013
294 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 9:01 am to
assuming the ICON is wrong and this is just a depression/ trop storm

thoughts on what the storm surge will be like on the Mississippi/SE LA coast?

Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
40341 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 9:08 am to
quote:


assuming the ICON is wrong and this is just a depression/ trop storm

thoughts on what the storm surge will be like on the Mississippi/SE LA coast?


even with the ICON spinning a tropical storm, it seems more like a messy rainmaker than a surge issue

note i am just an idiot that hops in Tropical tidbits a good bit during Hurricane season
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14297 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 9:12 am to
Too early to tell, but it doesn’t take much to get several feet in that area even with a TS.

The good thing is that it will be inland by late Thursday and won’t have a lot of time to build surge if the current models are close on the timing.
This post was edited on 7/14/25 at 9:14 am
Posted by lsu for the win
Member since Jun 2022
1589 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 9:29 am to
You are deifintely a cheap SOB so at least yo uhave that going for you!
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