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Posted on 8/15/21 at 11:18 am to rds dc
Louisiana has been absolutely drenched with rainfall this year. Even a small hurricane would probably harvest a lot of trees.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 11:26 am to NorthEndZone
quote:
latest GFS just out has Fred a little stronger at landfall than previous run - 995 mb and totally dissipates Grace.
Landfall near us
Posted on 8/15/21 at 11:44 am to deuce985
quote:
Louisiana has been absolutely drenched with rainfall this year.
Last month or so has been more normal summer pattern, rain 2-3 days a week
Posted on 8/15/21 at 11:46 am to NorthEndZone
Recon just made another pass through center of Fred. 26 N 85 W. Center is also clearly visible on satellite.
This post was edited on 8/15/21 at 11:56 am
Posted on 8/15/21 at 11:46 am to Cosmo
Wish it was like that here we have been getting blasted and unlucky with those popcorn showers.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 11:48 am to deuce985
quote:
Louisiana has been absolutely drenched with rainfall this year. Even a small hurricane would probably harvest a lot of trees.
Yep we were very lucky for Laura and Delta last year to be dry relatively speaking…..not this year you are 100% right.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 12:42 pm to Cosmo
Shiiit here in BR I'm getting pelted with heavy thunderstorms seems like at least 5 days a week. Can't hardly mow the yard because it stays sopping wet.
This post was edited on 8/15/21 at 12:43 pm
Posted on 8/15/21 at 1:43 pm to dukke v
quote:
dukke v
Posted on 8/15/21 at 1:44 pm to NorthEndZone
Convection firing over the center, could lead to a little strengthening
Posted on 8/15/21 at 3:56 pm to NorthEndZone
Fred…cone shift east
Grace…cone shift south and weaker. Good news
Grace…cone shift south and weaker. Good news
Posted on 8/15/21 at 5:15 pm to Cosmo
Need this baw to go right over the part of land that will mutilate it. I know it sucks for Cuba but someone got to take it for the team.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 5:21 pm to deuce985
big ole storm rolling through houston right now
Posted on 8/15/21 at 5:21 pm to Cosmo
The tracks on Fred and Grace have kept these storms to a whimper. I can’t remember when a Allen or Gilbert went through the Caribbean and struck potential fear to the Gulf coast. Maybe the AB ridges we’re stronger for Allen (1980) and Gilbert (1988) and kept their tracks way south from Haiti and DR.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 5:26 pm to Cosmo
Conditions must be hostile in the Caribbean because it’s looking like Grace will mostly miss the islands now
Also got another system near Bermuda at 70% chance of development moving south
Also got another system near Bermuda at 70% chance of development moving south
Posted on 8/15/21 at 5:28 pm to WestCoastAg
It's beautiful. Nothing like a good Sunday afternoon storm after finishing yard work.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 6:29 pm to rds dc
Recon finding a better organized Grace than earlier today.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 6:32 pm to Klingler7
quote:
Allen or Gilbert
Don’t remember Allen, but I remember Gilbert crossing the Gulf with 200+ MPH.
Born an raised in way south east Louisiana and for this one I was getting nervous.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 6:33 pm to rds dc
Recon also heading out to Fred. Sat shows convection firing near the center of the system and both the 18z HWRF and HMON get this very close to hurricane strength before landfall.
Posted on 8/15/21 at 6:35 pm to Nicky Parrish
So this thing just going to shoot across the Gulf into TX?
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