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re: Tropical Storm Isaias - Heading Towards the Central Gulf Coast
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:08 pm to geauxtigers87
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:08 pm to geauxtigers87
Might be time for bingo
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:08 pm to geauxtigers87
It actually looks more west to me.
NAM12km 00z run has it hitting sela as a cat 1. Others still running.
I’m following the thread on storm2k
NAM12km 00z run has it hitting sela as a cat 1. Others still running.
I’m following the thread on storm2k
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:10 pm to Hateradedrink
You guys can do a CAT 2 in your sleep
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:11 pm to Hateradedrink
Link to the storm2K thread? Gracias!
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:11 pm to Spocks Brain
LINK
It’ll change when the storm upgrades, so you’ll need a new link
It’ll change when the storm upgrades, so you’ll need a new link
This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 10:12 pm
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:14 pm to geauxtigers87
quote:
Looks like it moved half an h east
Nope. Basically the same. Went from about 5 miles east of Pascagoula to 2 miles east of Pascagoula.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:17 pm to Tiger985
NAM likes to spiral assumptions, resulting in outlandish MB forecasts. It’s not good for hurricane intensity.
It having 995 MB at landfall makes me feel a little better since it always gives some dumb reading like 900 mb or whatever
It having 995 MB at landfall makes me feel a little better since it always gives some dumb reading like 900 mb or whatever
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:25 pm to Hateradedrink
quote:
Hateradedrink
NAM likes to spiral assumptions, resulting in outlandish MB forecasts. It’s not good for hurricane intensity.
Convection modeling is a Hellava drug
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:26 pm to gaetti15
ICON is taking forever to run.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:29 pm to Hateradedrink
Tigerdroppings has me spoiled to the point where I don’t even wanna try reading the format of other forums 
Appreciate the link though, I’ll browse through it
Appreciate the link though, I’ll browse through it
This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 10:30 pm
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:31 pm to Hateradedrink
Seeing this on storm2k's thread:
quote:
#153 Postby fwbbreeze » Tue Oct 06, 2026 10:28 pm
ICON looks like a Navarre, FL landfall
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 10:32 pm
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:34 pm to Hateradedrink
The AI models are going to prove the most accurate yet again they have been honed in on the eastern side of the track for a week now. FL/AL border is probably a good bet for this storm but we shall see.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:34 pm to Uncommon Idea
It has it weakening significantly at landfall. 990-995 at the point of landfall.
The 00z models seem to agree that the shear is going to maul it as it approaches land.
That’s good because honestly, this thing looks like it could bomb out under different conditions
The 00z models seem to agree that the shear is going to maul it as it approaches land.
That’s good because honestly, this thing looks like it could bomb out under different conditions
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:38 pm to Uncommon Idea
Just like I said it would…
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:40 pm to Spocks Brain
quote:You really dont want that. They are all wish casters who post that stupid surprise emoji for any extreme scenario.
Link to the storm2K thread?
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:42 pm to Jake88
quote:
You really dont want that. They are all wish casters who post that stupid surprise emoji for any extreme scenario.
There are like two, max three people you can trust on that website. Just like here
(Just for clarification: rds, duke and legend...maybe boat for inland weather) thats about it.
Pedro too but hes out of practice
This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 10:44 pm
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:47 pm to gaetti15
quote:
Pedro too but hes out of practice
Deported?
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:48 pm to gaetti15
quote:
There are like two, max three people you can trust on that website. Just like here (Just for clarification: rds, duke and legend...maybe boat for inland weather) thats about it.
That alone is enough reason to stay right here.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:48 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Deported?
I havent seen him in a quick minute and he was the Midwest last I known. So either that or a student of his final got him to quit on life
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