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re: Tropical Storm Isaias - Heading Towards the Central Gulf Coast
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:50 pm to East Coast Band
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:50 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
Isaias
This is pronounced "eye-SAY-us" .Correct?
Isiah but there's more than one of them
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:51 pm to RT1941
quote:
Were a main contributor with your FBI connections and inside sources.
yep
dude is nuts.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:51 pm to Duke
deltadoc said it’s giving him michael vibes
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:51 pm to RazorBroncs
quote:
Isiah but there's more than one of them
So eye say eye? (like walri or hippopotami)
This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 9:52 pm
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:51 pm to RazorBroncs
From the good people at Stormcastforums:
This is the Deep Mind Operational (Green) and Experimental (Blue) ensemble members
This seems to corroborate with those forecasts and lead it into Mobile (or thereabouts)
I have to say, it's fairly awe inspiring that so many people have access to information and can distill it down so everyone can get some idea on what might happen alongside the official forecast.
This is the Deep Mind Operational (Green) and Experimental (Blue) ensemble members
This seems to corroborate with those forecasts and lead it into Mobile (or thereabouts)
I have to say, it's fairly awe inspiring that so many people have access to information and can distill it down so everyone can get some idea on what might happen alongside the official forecast.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:53 pm to RazorBroncs
quote:
Eye-zay-us
Jesus?
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:53 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
if it’s this far west I think they’re saying likely weak.
I'm not going to pretend to be a weather guru, but isn't the storm tracking further west the longer it's projected in the gulf? Which would mean more time in warm water to strengthen?
This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 9:54 pm
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:54 pm to The Pirate King
Normally yes but in this case, it has longer to be affected by the wind shear.
Faster and east = stronger storm
Slower and west = weakened by shear
Faster and east = stronger storm
Slower and west = weakened by shear
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:54 pm to The Pirate King
quote:
I'm not going to pretend to be a weather guru, but isn't this storm tracking further west the longer it stays in the gulf? Which would mean more time in warm water to strengthen?
Based on what I see on satellite...its pretty much a TS now
Its already gone through the dualing hot towers stage
Eta: its center its closing in on 22N,-95W
This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 9:58 pm
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:55 pm to The Pirate King
Yes, the American model GPS has it as a 3 yesterday and the opposite today it’s not accurate on this one.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:55 pm to gaetti15
So let’s say this hits the New Orleans area. What strength would it hit us at more than likely?
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:56 pm to TheGhostOfBigLee
Any updates on the Korean model?
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:57 pm to TheGhostOfBigLee
quote:
So let’s say this hits the New Orleans area. What strength would it hit us at more than likely?
Death for sure
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:58 pm to rds dc
I am in Tampa until Saturday but live in Covington. May cut my trip short and fly home Friday afternoon. Have wife and kids at home. Not sure what to do yet.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:03 pm to Craft
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:03 pm to Uncommon Idea
Large parts of northern Louisiana, central Mississippi, southern/central Arkansas, and northern Alabama need rain pretty badly and it looks like this could be positioned to fulfill that need if you're looking for a bright side here.
If Google's models end up being accurate, Mississippi in particular will get inundated from north to south.
The best outcome at this point would be a fairly weak Cat 1/TS at landfall that does minimal damage but takes that southwest to northwest sweep across the entire region
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:04 pm to RazorBroncs
Posted on 10/6/26 at 10:06 pm to SpotLight17171717
Looks like it moved half an h east

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