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re: Hurricane Season - TD9 - Oh Boy

Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:37 pm to
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43482 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:37 pm to
Gonna be interesting see which camp wins the AI models or the Euro/GFS. While the AI models have been performing well still hard to argue both the GFS/Euro bsically agreeing on the track least for now.
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30721 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:37 pm to
Nice
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15862 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:39 pm to
quote:


Gonna be interesting see which camp wins the AI models or the Euro/GFS.


yeah the ensembles for those are more west than the operational versions which is interesting.



Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
104757 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:39 pm to
12z HWRF chose violence


Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15862 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

12z HWRF chose violence



somebody should get a collection of HWRF pictures that show storms just absolutely dropping their bottoms out
Posted by GreenRockTiger
vortex to the whirlpool of despair
Member since Jun 2020
62088 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:41 pm to
Well, shite - I was going to Biloxi this weekend
Posted by NOLAGT
Over there
Member since Dec 2012
14074 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:41 pm to
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
104757 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

mean that’s what the HWRF is currently forecasting, but it has a historical bias of bombing out pretty much any tropical system, regardless whether it’s even been developed or a central location has been identified.


It’s actually been pretty accurate the past couple years on intensity
Posted by Dtbtiger
Member since Oct 2024
335 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:42 pm to
I cant down vote this enough. Lafourche and Terrebonne prediction as normal
Posted by YOURADHERE
Member since Dec 2006
8596 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

That’s what I’m trying to figure out, tomorrow is the only day I’ll have time to run down and get stuff picked up at my camp.



3 days ago I bought tickets for the Brooks & Dunn concert on Thursday and have family coming to town this weekend. So my options are either tomorrow, which seems to early to commit, or Friday.
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15862 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

It’s actually been pretty accurate the past couple years on intensity



define accurate
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
52365 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

Well, shite - I was going to Biloxi this weekend

Me too
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
52365 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:45 pm to
948mb at the mouth of the river

All we've heard about over the past few days is the 100mph shear in the northern gulf that was supposed to destroy whatever came this way and now we've got a model showing 948mb at the mouth of the river.
This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 2:46 pm
Posted by GreenRockTiger
vortex to the whirlpool of despair
Member since Jun 2020
62088 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:45 pm to
quote:

Me too
I wasn’t going to the car thing
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
52365 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

I wasn’t going to the car thing

Me neither. I made my plans before I knew it was the car thing and now I'm kinda pissed that it's the same time. Oh well, Biloxi might be under 10' of water Saturday anyway so it probably won't matter.
Posted by GreenRockTiger
vortex to the whirlpool of despair
Member since Jun 2020
62088 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

I made my plans before I knew it was the car thing
same … I wonder if you were going where I’m going - was going
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15862 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

Oh well, Biloxi might be under 10' of water Saturday anyway so it probably won't matter.




Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
52365 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

same … I wonder if you were going where I’m going - was going

Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25958 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:49 pm to
Just beautiful I am scheduled to fly out of Nola sat morning rest of this week gonna be a shite show. Here’s to hoping this pos tracks east
Posted by GreenRockTiger
vortex to the whirlpool of despair
Member since Jun 2020
62088 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:49 pm to
Ok, chin

But I wasn’t going to that either
This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 2:57 pm
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