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re: Hurricane Season - NHC Tracking TD7 but Very Low End Gulf Threat

Posted on 8/18/22 at 12:33 pm to
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
75846 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

Wild
Caribbean
Autumn
Balcony



White Cops Are Bastards
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
45834 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

"This may be the quietest gfs run i have ever seen in late August"

Mother Nature has a way of balancing things out. After the last few years, the basin is probably just tired
Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
23512 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

"This may be the quietest gfs run i have ever seen in late August"

Not all climate change is bad!
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
124289 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

"This may be the quietest gfs run i have ever seen in late August"


Famous last words
Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3126 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

This may be the quietest gfs run i have ever seen in late August


I’ll take “Things you never say before September for $500 Alex”
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67088 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

I’ll take “Things you never say before September for $500 Alex”


To be fair, he isn't wrong and it is the reality of the run.
This post was edited on 8/18/22 at 12:54 pm
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
24406 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 12:54 pm to
For those that don't know who he is, Derek is a very trusted Senior Meteorologist who works for StormGeo, who a lot of your companies use for weather forecasts. He also has millions of dollars in technology behind him, along with hundreds of years of experience at that company backing him up.

If you want to follow someone, follow him. He's also very cautious about what he posts.
This post was edited on 8/18/22 at 12:59 pm
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
24406 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 12:55 pm to
Derek knows his shite.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
148170 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 12:56 pm to
Hi derek
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67088 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 12:56 pm to
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
24406 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 12:57 pm to
shite, I WISH.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
13692 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 12:58 pm to
How do we compare at this point in the season to this point in the last 5 seasons?

Seems way lower
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67088 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

How do we compare at this point in the season to this point in the last 5 seasons?

Well, at this point in 2020 we were tracking the L storm.....which was Laura. This season we're like a drunk slutty girl looking for the D.

Last year we were looking for Ida to form.
This post was edited on 8/18/22 at 1:11 pm
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126061 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

Derek Ortt, Senior Tropical Meteorologist "This may be the quietest gfs run i have ever seen in late August"


frick that guy
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126061 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

How do we compare at this point in the season to this point in the last 5 seasons?


3 double meat nothingburgers so far this year

2022 ACE is like 0.1
This post was edited on 8/18/22 at 1:25 pm
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
24406 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 1:22 pm to
He's not Deltaland, baw.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

frick that guy


he aint wrong.

The question of rest of the month is "will enough of these waves survive the open Atlantic that they can develop in the Western Atlantic"

The rest of this month looks like wave sacrifices to the dry air gods, at least in the open Atlantic.
Posted by dukesilver72
Texas
Member since Feb 2015
1036 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

For those that don't know who he is, Derek is a very trusted Senior Meteorologist who works for StormGeo, who a lot of your companies use for weather forecasts. He also has millions of dollars in technology behind him, along with hundreds of years of experience at that company backing him up. If you want to follow someone, follow him. He's also very cautious about what he posts.


Storm Geo is an absolute joke. Forecast are garbage, they had ida so wrong they should refund the money companies are paying them.
Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3126 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 2:36 pm to
quote:

To be fair, he isn't wrong and it is the reality of the run


That may be a factual comment, but even semantically it means that August 17th “LATE August” and not “MID August.” To me most people use an early/mid/late chronology and not just an early/late chronology. If they wanted to divide in 2 they would use 1st half/2nd half.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126061 posts
Posted on 8/18/22 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

he aint wrong.


I know but he is jinxing it
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