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Posted on 8/25/22 at 4:35 pm to deltaland
madame
Posted on 8/25/22 at 4:40 pm to rds dc
The 12z GFS doing GFS things with a large almost CAG like circulation with our current wave over CA and spurious vorticity off of SA to seed the future Gulf system.
Or... the large circulation of the current wave does develop as depicted and the flow out of the Caribbean increases surface convergence resulting in convection that produces the depicted vorticity?
There is some anticyclonic flow in the upper levels that would tend to favor continued convective burst and a slowly organizing system.
Or... the large circulation of the current wave does develop as depicted and the flow out of the Caribbean increases surface convergence resulting in convection that produces the depicted vorticity?
There is some anticyclonic flow in the upper levels that would tend to favor continued convective burst and a slowly organizing system.
Posted on 8/25/22 at 4:41 pm to deltaland
quote:
What was the squirrels name?
Sebastian
Posted on 8/25/22 at 4:47 pm to rds dc
quote:
Or... the large circulation of the current wave does develop as depicted and the flow out of the Caribbean increases surface convergence resulting in convection that produces the depicted vorticity?
You don't think that first wave heads West and makes landfall too early for that to be the case. When you loop vorticity that second wave wrapping up doesn't look to have much connection to the other.
Posted on 8/25/22 at 4:52 pm to rds dc
Are you wxman57? He posted something eerily similar as you on storm2k. He about the only level headed poster on that site and an actual meteorologist.
quote:
Here's what I see the GFS doing. It takes the wave over the eastern Caribbean into Honduras by 12Z Monday then westward to near southern Belize by 12Z Wednesday. At that time, it develops another feature near Jamaica and takes that system northwestward and across the northern Yucatan on Saturday then west into Mexico on Sunday. It is the only model that develops a second low near Jamaica. As such, its solution is highly suspect.
This post was edited on 8/25/22 at 4:53 pm
Posted on 8/25/22 at 4:54 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
You don't think that first wave heads West and makes landfall too early for that to be the case. When you loop vorticity that second wave wrapping up doesn't look to have much connection to the other.
I don't know, it all just turns into one big slop fest.
Posted on 8/25/22 at 4:55 pm to LegendInMyMind
I’m sorry for your loss. At least he didn’t suffer, for that we can be thankful
Posted on 8/25/22 at 4:56 pm to deltaland
That squirrel got knuckle checked and found out. Let that be a warning to you.
Posted on 8/25/22 at 4:59 pm to rds dc
For those feeling a little sad because you haven't had a Hurricane Scare yet this season, keep in mind that you can experience the excitement of an actual Hurricane Scare by conducting your own Hurricane Drill at home.
Here's how it's done:
1) cut all electric power to your home
2) fire up your generator
3) eat canned foods
4) after ten hours of doing this, with little to no sleep, go outside and do yardwork during the hottest hours of the day
Here's how it's done:
1) cut all electric power to your home
2) fire up your generator
3) eat canned foods
4) after ten hours of doing this, with little to no sleep, go outside and do yardwork during the hottest hours of the day
Posted on 8/25/22 at 4:59 pm to LegendInMyMind
You need a better security goat
Posted on 8/25/22 at 5:03 pm to rds dc
Low vote of confidence (30%) or less from my guy on this happening
Posted on 8/25/22 at 5:05 pm to TutHillTiger
Don’t we always get a tropical event around Labor Day? Seems like one always comes along to screw up opening day of dove season.
Posted on 8/25/22 at 5:07 pm to tigerinthebueche
Pretty much. It's like the peak of peak season basically.
Posted on 8/25/22 at 5:15 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:is that like twin peaks?
t's like the peak of peak season basically
Posted on 8/25/22 at 5:20 pm to GreenRockTiger
Yes, speaking of which. 
Posted on 8/25/22 at 5:21 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
Yes, speaking of which.
My shift starts in 10 mins …
Posted on 8/25/22 at 5:22 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
That squirrel got knuckle checked and found out. Let that be a warning to you.
There’s no sense in that kind of talk. We are all professionals here
Posted on 8/25/22 at 5:25 pm to GreenRockTiger
Looks like the 18z GFS run may come in a little hot. Crazy how stubborn its been on this development
Posted on 8/25/22 at 5:29 pm to lsugolfredman
Read the other posts, that's not the same system technically. It's a piece of the energy from it though. It's a really strange setup and I'm not sure we'll know shite for another 5 days.
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