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re: Hurricane Season - NHC Tracking TD7 but Very Low End Gulf Threat
Posted on 8/22/22 at 9:15 pm to Midtiger farm
Posted on 8/22/22 at 9:15 pm to Midtiger farm
Are you like 15 or some shite like that…….. 
0
Posted on 8/22/22 at 9:21 pm to soccerfüt
Baws, I aint saying season cancelled and Im not talking about how quiet the models are with storms.
Its how the upper lows are in the Bermuda Ridge. Its keeping the Atlantic hostile despite all systems being "Go" otherwise.
Its how the upper lows are in the Bermuda Ridge. Its keeping the Atlantic hostile despite all systems being "Go" otherwise.
This post was edited on 8/22/22 at 9:22 pm
Posted on 8/22/22 at 9:32 pm to Duke
Wasn't there a recent year, maybe 2016 where the Caribbean was absolutely hostile with ULL's?
Posted on 8/23/22 at 8:02 am to Oates Mustache
Interesting wave off of South America that could be something to watch in a few days. Could sneak into the carribean then either head north into Eastern Florida, which is an October style path, or potentially into the gulf.
Everything is still so sloppy out there though, and looks pretty quiet for late August.
Everything is still so sloppy out there though, and looks pretty quiet for late August.
This post was edited on 8/23/22 at 8:06 am
Posted on 8/23/22 at 8:05 am to Oates Mustache
quote:Amen.
looks pretty quiet for late August.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 8:07 am to Lakebound
On some of the other weather sites, there's a lot of head scratching going on. 
A few think the Tonga volcanic eruption has something to do with the quiet, others think something called "wave breaking" does.
A few think the Tonga volcanic eruption has something to do with the quiet, others think something called "wave breaking" does.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 8:25 am to Oates Mustache
quote:
It's very common in threads like the one on 99L on another site. People were going crazy, shitting on the models, saying it would ramp up and slam Corpus Christi, etc.
Anyone with a brain knew it wasn’t even going to get named. Models nailed it.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 8:31 am to The Boat
Do you go to other weather sites? There's a poster named Aric that jumps in a thread, argues with a few professional meteorologists, then bails. He did that for 99L.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 8:32 am to Oates Mustache
No I see them mentioned here a lot but I’ve never taken the time to look at any of them.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 8:47 am to The Boat
LINK
Eric Webb,
Eric Webb,
quote:
Odds of the Atlantic not seeing a named storm in Aug is looking more realistic by the day Since 1880, ~2/3rds of Atlantic hurricane seasons w/ 0 named storms in Aug coincided w/ El Nino. Fwiw, all the Non-Nino yrs except one (1961), occurred in the "cold phase" of the AMO Womp
Posted on 8/23/22 at 9:19 am to Oates Mustache
quote:
A few think the Tonga volcanic eruption has something to do with the quiet
I made a burb about this a few weeks ago. I guess those Met boards are finally catching up instead of hyping the latest swirl on satellite or the latest 384H GFS model.
This post was edited on 8/23/22 at 9:21 am
Posted on 8/23/22 at 11:24 am to The Boat
GFS running right now shows that south American system developing in a few days, heading toward the Caribbean. This should get people talking again.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 11:28 am to Oates Mustache
Ummm yeah. We’re not talking 10 days out anymore. Have some serious doubts on the modeled trough as well.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 11:32 am to Oates Mustache
Wake me up when it is there at least at the 00z. Happy hour is just as likely to blow it up only to have the 00z kill it. I've seen this show before.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 11:32 am to lsugolfredman
Cat 2 hurricane headed into the gulf, but hopefully away from us. Looks like it wants to visit Florida.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 11:33 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Wake me up when it is there at least at the 00z. Happy hour is just as likely to blow it up only to have the 00z kill it. I've seen this show before.
I know, baw, I know. But it's something to talk about.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 11:37 am to LegendInMyMind
The other site is already losing its collective shite over this run, doom and gloom for Florida. 
Posted on 8/23/22 at 11:42 am to rds dc
Mid Atlantic or fish storm.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 11:47 am to Oates Mustache
Cat 4 headed to Pensacola on this run. The GFS is snorting coke.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 11:55 am to Oates Mustache
Since I'm a sucker for downvotes, gimme!
And this is a long arse ways out.
And this is a long arse ways out.
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