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re: Hurricane Season - 91L - Flash Flood Warnings for S. LA, Worst Rain Moving out Later Today

Posted on 6/6/19 at 3:56 pm to
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
18726 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 3:56 pm to
Just feel like these meteorologists have no real clue of what will happen. It’s all models. I put zero faith in them. I figured out tropical tidbits and now my family calls me and I can tell you the same thing as the tv weathermen.
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
5895 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 5:24 pm to
quote:

Just feel like these meteorologists have no real clue of what will happen. It’s all models. I put zero faith in them. I figured out tropical tidbits and now my family calls me and I can tell you the same thing as the tv weathermen.


I agree with a lot of the above but the meteorologist are just reading the models also. The high res models have been bad all spring with these storms. The GFS is right about 40% of the time 2 days out and the Euro is better but it sucks in the really short term
Posted by Sao
East Texas Piney Woods
Member since Jun 2009
68469 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 5:31 pm to

I'm not sure meteorologists are the people in charge of conducting up river flow, prognosis, outcome and next steps. The water in the system is already in the system. Forecasters deal with water yet to fall from the sky. Working together is important but Cantore isn't calling the the lock and dam shots.
Posted by natsoundup
Simpsonville, SC, Jupiter, FL,
Member since May 2013
367 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 5:47 pm to
Her cell phone...
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
18726 posts
Posted on 6/7/19 at 9:38 pm to
Absolutely agree. Most people become meteorologists to work behind the scenes and actually make these models and calls. TV Weatherman seem to be entertainers or just former meteorologists who wanted something new. The team at the NWS are professionals.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
104198 posts
Posted on 6/27/19 at 11:54 am to
From Crown Weather

quote:

Posted on Thursday 6/27/2019 - Even though tropical development IS NOT expected for at least the next 7 to 14 days, I am closely watching the period from July 15 to August 1 for the formation of our next named storm. Two areas to watch for possible development during mid and late July - (1) From near the US Southeast Coast to the northern Gulf of Mexico & (2) between the Lesser Antilles and the coast of Africa.

Finally, there are signals in the very long range model guidance that suggest August and September could be VERY active in terms of tropical storm/hurricane formation across the Atlantic Basin.

.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53415 posts
Posted on 6/27/19 at 11:58 am to
quote:

Finally, there are signals in the very long range model guidance that suggest August and September could be VERY active



Posted by Wtodd
Tampa, FL
Member since Oct 2013
68460 posts
Posted on 6/27/19 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

suggest August and September could be VERY active

Oh no not 'could be'
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40177 posts
Posted on 6/27/19 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

(1) From near the US Southeast Coast to the northern Gulf of Mexico


Normal for mid July

quote:

between the Lesser Antilles and the coast of Africa.


Not really normal for mid July

quote:

Finally, there are signals in the very long range model guidance that suggest August and September could be VERY active in terms of tropical storm/hurricane formation across the Atlantic Basin.


What a joke. It's late June... every year there COULD be an active August/September.

Eventually one of these clowns will be right as we are due.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
104198 posts
Posted on 7/1/19 at 10:00 am to
quote:

Posted On Monday 7/1/2019 - No tropical development is expected across the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico for at least the next one to two weeks.

Beyond this, I think that we will see a named storm in the Atlantic between the 16th and the 31st of this month in potentially one of two areas - (1) from the Southeast US coast through the Bahamas and westward into the northern Gulf of Mexico and (2) across the central and eastern Atlantic from the Lesser Antilles to the coast of Africa.

Finally, there continues to be very strong signals in the data that suggest August and September could be VERY active in terms of tropical storm/hurricane formation across the Atlantic Basin.
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