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Started By
Message
2
Posted on 10/5/17 at 6:40 am to sloopy
quote:
How bad is my drive going to suck from north LA to GA on Sunday morning?
Selfishly, I am saying this area will actually benefit from a tropial system bringing needed rain.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 6:47 am to East Coast Band
Tropical Storm Nate
Posted on 10/5/17 at 6:47 am to East Coast Band
What up Nate
Posted on 10/5/17 at 6:52 am to ABucks11
Nate, I hate that guy
This post was edited on 10/5/17 at 6:53 am
Posted on 10/5/17 at 7:00 am to lsugolfredman
I decide to sleep and the Euro pulls that shite!
Bad Euro!
It was a weird run, similar to the GFS with the dancing vortices early in the run. Lots of land interaction too but is strengthening as it approaches La. Hopefully lopsidedness spares SELa the worst of it per that run.
FWIW, we probably shift a little again before it's all said and done.
Bad Euro!
It was a weird run, similar to the GFS with the dancing vortices early in the run. Lots of land interaction too but is strengthening as it approaches La. Hopefully lopsidedness spares SELa the worst of it per that run.
FWIW, we probably shift a little again before it's all said and done.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 7:09 am to otowntiger
quote:
Huge shift west. NHC doesn't normally make such big changes to their forecast in one swoop but they did here. I'm surprised. Looks like the target is now MS/AL coasts. The west shifts could continue. Get ready LA. The good news is it could just be a sheared, lop sided mess by the time it gets there.
If/when the NHC makes big shifts, its usually when a storm is as disorganized as this one. Getting your bearings straight on what is nothing more than a few thunderstorms at this time is very difficult.
Hopefully the storm never really materializes.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 7:10 am to Duke
What do they think the rain bands will be like with this storm? Far reaching?
Posted on 10/5/17 at 7:12 am to BayouBengals03
TS Nate, umm, where?
, seriously though, this bastard is a mess. Hope it stays that way.
, seriously though, this bastard is a mess. Hope it stays that way. Posted on 10/5/17 at 7:15 am to BayouBengals03
quote:
What do they think the rain bands will be like with this storm? Far reaching?
Nate isn't going to have a lot of time to expand outward and there should be some shearing to have Nate kind of lopsided to the east side.
On current NHC track, BR gets a little rain and some TS force gusts maybe.
The intensity picture isn't clear though. Could just be an open wave. Could be a Cat 1/2 hurricane. Kind of a bitch to be in the 3-4 day window and have no idea.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 7:15 am to Duke
anyone have a shear map? it was supposed to be super light in the gulf this weekend but i don't know if that's changed.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 7:19 am to Zach Lee To Amp Hill
Posted on 10/5/17 at 7:19 am to Chatagnier
well that's somewhat comforting.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 7:22 am to Zach Lee To Amp Hill
guess I'm going to the camp after work to start prepping
Posted on 10/5/17 at 7:22 am to ABucks11
Lili was an October bitch as well 
Posted on 10/5/17 at 7:24 am to Duke
Will should have a much better idea of all that 36 hours from now, correct?
Posted on 10/5/17 at 7:26 am to Da Hammer
Hurricane season lasts until November. Every year.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 7:29 am to BayouBengals03
Yeah, we'll have a better idea once Nate gets out in the open waters before the Yucatan. If he gets together quickly, we're looking stronger as he should be somewhat organized once into the gulf.
If he stays unorganized, there won't be much time for Nate to get very strong and our half of the gulf is west of the loop current with the really warm water.
My thinking right now is an Issac like system, but theres still a ton of
If he stays unorganized, there won't be much time for Nate to get very strong and our half of the gulf is west of the loop current with the really warm water.
My thinking right now is an Issac like system, but theres still a ton of
Posted on 10/5/17 at 7:29 am to Zach Lee To Amp Hill
quote:
well that's somewhat comforting.
It's not really a forecast though, it's current conditions.
This is the GFS shear forecast. It will be favorable throughout the trek through the GOM.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 7:33 am to slackster
Whelp time to make sure the family back home has all their duckies in a row.
Every Hurricane we've tracked to the US has gone through a RIE.
This is the one that DOESN'T for the love of God.
Every Hurricane we've tracked to the US has gone through a RIE.
This is the one that DOESN'T for the love of God.
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