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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
Posted on 10/4/17 at 2:24 pm to TechDawg2007
Posted on 10/4/17 at 2:24 pm to TechDawg2007
I have a similar decision for my PCB trip. Supposed to leave tomorrow and return Tuesday. I was taught at an early age not to charge right into the eye of a storm. Jim Cantore I'm not. Guess I'll make that call in the morning.
1
Posted on 10/4/17 at 2:26 pm to TechDawg2007
quote:
We are arriving saturday afternoon and staying until wedneasday morning... Based on that would you still go?
No, even if it stays as a depression, 2 of your 3 days are guaranteed to be rained out.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 2:28 pm to Icansee4miles
We're kind of in the same boat as well. Supposed to leave Friday morning and stay until Monday. I'm going no matter what. Hurricane party it is 
Posted on 10/4/17 at 2:30 pm to tap011
That's a prediction of moving about 20 mph. That has to be factored into the wind speeds.
Hell that's about a whole category.
Hell that's about a whole category.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 2:45 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
across Plaquemines Parish
frick that model.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 2:47 pm to CM Tiger83
quote:
Guess I won’t be going to grand Isle this weekend anymore.
Sunday fishing may be amazing
Posted on 10/4/17 at 2:48 pm to FelicianaTigerfan
so the Hurricane Hunters finished its mission without dropping any dropsondes?
Posted on 10/4/17 at 2:48 pm to BayouBengals18
Nothing to worry about until this dude gives an update...
Posted on 10/4/17 at 2:54 pm to rds dc
We couldn't go 57 more days without one of these MFers?
Posted on 10/4/17 at 2:54 pm to 9Fiddy
quote:
Predicting to go 1,000 miles in 48 hours. That’s definitely hauling arse.
20.8 mph
Posted on 10/4/17 at 2:58 pm to Chatagnier
quote:
That's a prediction of moving about 20 mph. That has to be factored into the wind speeds.
Hell that's about a whole category.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 3:03 pm to BayouBengals18
Looking over the models they definitely shifted west on the last runs. Even Euro looks like it's slightly to the west too. I would think they're going to change the tracks on NHC.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 3:06 pm to deuce985
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/19/21 at 8:58 pm
Posted on 10/4/17 at 3:09 pm to lsutiger2010
How do you figure? All I said is they're probably going to shift the track west because the models are pushing more westward. It doesn't mean anything on 1 run unless 2-3 days from now they're staying consistent on them. They're probably going to do it back and forth. Don't like it ignore my posts. Don't see what the problem is. It's discussion.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 3:13 pm to FelicianaTigerfan
quote:
Sunday fishing may be amazing
I'm scheduled to be in Buras all weekend myself.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 3:23 pm to deuce985
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/19/21 at 8:58 pm
Posted on 10/4/17 at 3:31 pm to lsutiger2010
And? 
This season has been nothing but bad news on these systems. It can definitely blow up if it doesn't have much land interaction on the path it's going. The area has low shear and unseasonably warm waters. It has already developed faster than originally projected.
Don't know why you posted my comment on SELA because that's what the models were showing...bad for the SE portion which I don't want to see. I said right past that I hope it doesn't go that direction but it didn't fit your narrative did it? Second comment I clearly said uneducated opinion which means nothing obviously just guessing but I guess reading comprehension isn't your strong point. So yes, I'm taking a negative outlook on this because that's what the models keep showing.
If the forum has an ignore button feel free to use it. You don't like that something doesn't fit your narrative so immediately go towards saying I'm throwing the fear monger around. Sorry I triggered you.
This season has been nothing but bad news on these systems. It can definitely blow up if it doesn't have much land interaction on the path it's going. The area has low shear and unseasonably warm waters. It has already developed faster than originally projected.
Don't know why you posted my comment on SELA because that's what the models were showing...bad for the SE portion which I don't want to see. I said right past that I hope it doesn't go that direction but it didn't fit your narrative did it? Second comment I clearly said uneducated opinion which means nothing obviously just guessing but I guess reading comprehension isn't your strong point. So yes, I'm taking a negative outlook on this because that's what the models keep showing.
If the forum has an ignore button feel free to use it. You don't like that something doesn't fit your narrative so immediately go towards saying I'm throwing the fear monger around. Sorry I triggered you.
This post was edited on 10/4/17 at 3:35 pm
Posted on 10/4/17 at 3:35 pm to rds dc
Son of a bitch!! I rented a beach house just east of Destin through Monday!
Posted on 10/4/17 at 3:36 pm to deltaland
quote:
That's a prediction of moving about 20 mph. That has to be factored into the wind speeds. Hell that's about a whole category.
quote:
deltaland
Not sure why you're making fun of him. Forward speed of the storm needs to be taken into account for wind speeds on the ground.
ETA - To be clear, you don't add the forward speed to the wind speed from the NHC, but the forward speed is a contributing factor. In the picture above, the maximum winds would be 225kph, but if the storm was stationary, all else being equal, it would be 175kph.
This post was edited on 10/4/17 at 3:42 pm
Posted on 10/4/17 at 3:37 pm to Jeff
quote:
I rented a beach house just east of Destin through Monday!
bring your surf board with a 400 ft rope.
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