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Message
re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:08 am to iliveinabox
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:08 am to iliveinabox
Euro and GFS stuck between Grand Isle and Venice landfall. Gulfport is going to get smashed either way. NHC should move it back west again by morning.
It's really down to how Nate strengthens overnight and in the morning.
It's really down to how Nate strengthens overnight and in the morning.
0
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:08 am to poops_at_parties
WWL TV is talking about it. frick the weather channel with Katrina
Fox 8 on too
Fox 8 on too
This post was edited on 10/7/17 at 1:09 am
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:08 am to Chatagnier
quote:
Shell Norco looks like it has both main flares going strong.
I could feel my office shake all day today
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:15 am to maisweh
Consistent as can be
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:19 am to t00f
quote:
WL TV is talking about it. frick the weather channel with Katrina
Fox 8 on too
weather channel was showing movies one time when a tornado was tearing through a city, so them showing katrina stuff sounds right
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:19 am to lsugolfredman
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:20 am to lsugolfredman
Where's the pressure to wind chart? It's showing 994 at landfall. Would that not be a TS?
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:22 am to slackster
So doesn’t Nate need to continue NNW to come this way?
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:23 am to maisweh
It's prudent to disregard pressure notations on maps like the one I posted. Resolution can't be fully clarified and smaller storms are notoriously underestimated
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:25 am to slackster
Using the old Bob Hope method of hurricane forecasting, the "direction" of the convection points to a LA landfall. Steering patterns are definitely not blowing the shape of Nate toward the MS or AL coasts.
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:25 am to GeauxTigers2525
Kind of a random thought I'd like to throw out to the guys that know more than me. with the forward speed of Nate, wouldn't that in some way hinder development in a sense just based on it not really being able to stew over the warm SST as a storm moving half as fast. Say one around 12-15 instead of 20+ would, and with it being over the warmest water it will likely see, wouldn't this flare up tonight kinda be its tops of strength, or is there still a chance that it would still tap into the not as warm water to gain strength?
This post was edited on 10/7/17 at 1:38 am
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:27 am to GeauxTigers2525
Lol how did you make that 1 sentence?
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:30 am to SomethingLikeA
doing it from my phone lol gonna fix it
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:31 am to GeauxTigers2525
Hell no. Leave it. I'm not even mad, I'm impressed.
Now back to the storm
Now back to the storm
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:34 am to SomethingLikeA
I’m still trying to understand how this gets over New Orleans at this point?
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:39 am to t00f
fwiw, I'm in Biloxi and just talked to a storm chaser. They don't agree with the hurricane center track or the model that the nhc uses to base the track on. After seeing the euro model, they are heading to Slidell and then re-evaluate again in the morning.
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:43 am to Ba Ba Boooey
Still going NNW. Nate has to turn pretty soon and pretty sharp if it's going to clip LA.
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:43 am to Ba Ba Boooey
frick that sucks. Really? Still trying to figure out what has to happen to come over New Orleans.
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:43 am to t00f
quote:
I’m still trying to understand how this gets over New Orleans at this point?
I think it all depends on the ridge of high-pressure building in from the east, not 100% sure though.
Posted on 10/7/17 at 2:03 am to lsugolfredman
What are we looking at? What is a "ECMWF MSLP [hPa]?
"Consistent as can be'...with what?
And where the hell can this "EURO model" that you all keep talking about be found? I googled 'euro model' and all I got was links to porn and mail-order brides.
"Consistent as can be'...with what?
And where the hell can this "EURO model" that you all keep talking about be found? I googled 'euro model' and all I got was links to porn and mail-order brides.
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