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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 10/7/17 at 12:48 am to slackster
Humidity dropping and temp rising up the center on this last drop. Hints of a forming eye right there. Very center having more stable air column and the last few frames show a convective wane. Eye should start clearing out over the next few hours. If west side stays strong that is.
Posted on 10/7/17 at 12:48 am to slackster
Rob Perillo really thinks this thing will be a cat 2
quote:
Hurricane #Nate now up to 80mph winds, pressure down to 987mb. Betting on 15-20mph stronger (Cat 2) at landfall. #lawx #mswx #alwx #flwx
Posted on 10/7/17 at 12:52 am to MrSmith
So if it's a Cat 2 making landfall in MS, what kind of winds will NOLA be looking at?
Posted on 10/7/17 at 12:52 am to theOG
40-50 mph gusts maybe
Posted on 10/7/17 at 12:53 am to Duke
quote:
Humidity dropping and temp rising up the center on this last drop. Hints of a forming eye right there. Very center having more stable air column and the last few frames show a convective wane. Eye should start clearing out over the next few hours. If west side stays strong that is.
I tend to think, based on the models up to this point, the time remaining until landfall, and the external conditions, that Nate may have blown his load already. I think he'll come in around 85-90 mph, but we'll know soon enough.
Posted on 10/7/17 at 12:53 am to MrSmith
Posted on 10/7/17 at 12:56 am to slackster
Woah. Huge shift west on that EURO run...
Posted on 10/7/17 at 12:57 am to slackster
When should we see it begin tracking eastward per the models?
Posted on 10/7/17 at 12:58 am to slackster
0z GFS still over New Orleans according to Medics site?
“0z GFS Ensemble members are clustered on SE LA, well to the west of the NHC's track. NOLA not out of the woods. #NATE #lawx”
“0z GFS Ensemble members are clustered on SE LA, well to the west of the NHC's track. NOLA not out of the woods. #NATE #lawx”
Posted on 10/7/17 at 12:58 am to poops_at_parties
quote:
Woah. Huge shift west on that EURO run...
Define huge?
The Euro is about 15 miles west of the 12z Euro run @ 7pm Saturday.
Posted on 10/7/17 at 12:59 am to t00f
quote:
0z GFS still over New Orleans according to Medics site?
EURO and GFS are sticking to their guns. Thats not something to ignore
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:00 am to slackster
quote:
I tend to think, based on the models up to this point, the time remaining until landfall, and the external conditions, that Nate may have blown his load already. I think he'll come in around 85-90 mph, but we'll know soon enough
Still good convection firing right near center and perhaps a little warm spot in the middle of it about where the center should be. Recon has shown the core has tightened up a lot over the last flight.
I really hope you're right, but there's a lot of red flags popping up that say he's got a run to a high 2 in the cards.
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:00 am to slackster
No idea why the NHC is treating the Euro like an outlier. If its 24 hrs out and the Euro has it hitting Grand Isle then I'd center my cone right there. Euro has been the best for years
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:00 am to MrSmith
Curve not going to happen? Reminds me of Ivan.
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:00 am to slackster
quote:
The Euro is about 15 miles west of the 12z Euro run @ 7pm Saturday.
I thought the EURO had been going into MS, and that's why the NHC had it going there? I guess I've not been paying that much attention
This post was edited on 10/7/17 at 1:02 am
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:02 am to poops_at_parties
EURO hasn't really budged from grand isle
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:02 am to poops_at_parties
Weather channel playing Katrina shite..fricking douches
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:06 am to iliveinabox
quote:
Weather channel playing Katrina shite..fricking douches
I saw that. This is why I don't watch this shitty network. If NOLA were to get another Katrina, these folks would cream their panties.
Posted on 10/7/17 at 1:07 am to iliveinabox
frick the Weather Channel. frick them.
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