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Message

re: Hurricane Isaias - Heading Towards the Central Gulf Coast

Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:22 am to
Posted by Spocks Brain
Member since Nov 2025
450 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:22 am to
Crawfish season has officially commenced!
Posted by friendlyobservation
Member since Mar 2024
6050 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:23 am to
LSU has 2 of the 3 highest rated games this season but don't tell SEC fans. They want us kicked out.
Posted by BamaCoaster
God's Gulf
Member since Apr 2016
7537 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:23 am to
quote:

coastal AL and FL are way more able to take on a quick Cat 2/3 more so than most of south LA!


Dauphin island wanted me to ask if you’re sure about that.
Posted by ArHog
Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2008
40616 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:24 am to
quote:

Dauphin island wanted me to ask if you’re sure about that.



Posted by Hobie101
Member since May 2012
1323 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:26 am to
quote:

I’m guessing Crusin the Coast this weekend on MS Gulf Coast might be wet.


They can GTFO!!
Posted by Mempho
Member since Dec 2021
907 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:29 am to
quote:

quote:
Not always...Lili comes to mind.


Well yeah, we are dealing with a range of possibilities, but ON AVERAGE, October=EAST.

That was a dumb "I got you" statement


It wasn't really intended that way. I was just thinking it through. If AI is banking on climo winning out but the models see something different, then it is possible that AI is pushing east based on climo but that this is a situation where climo doesn't win.

Now, I don't think that is the case because Google DeepMind has its track actually take a significant bend west after landfall.

Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
34389 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:29 am to
quote:

LSU has 2 of the 3 highest rated games this season

That's not right at all.
UT-OSU and UT-UT were two of the top 3 highest
Posted by Ten Bears
Florida
Member since Oct 2018
5360 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:29 am to
quote:

coastal AL and FL are way more able to take on a quick Cat 2/3 more so than most of south LA!


Everyone knows that Southern Louisiana is the best place on earth for hurricane to hit.

Think of it like God's pressure washer.
Posted by friendlyobservation
Member since Mar 2024
6050 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:34 am to
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
180871 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:34 am to
quote:

Everyone knows that Southern Louisiana is the best place on earth for hurricane to hit.

Think of it like God's pressure washer.



pressure washer but with pumps constantly failing.
Posted by Ten Bears
Florida
Member since Oct 2018
5360 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:35 am to
quote:

pressure washer but with pumps constantly failing.


Sometimes you have to soak a pan for a few days to clean the gunk off
Posted by friendlyobservation
Member since Mar 2024
6050 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:35 am to
it was like that before last week. Clemson and Ole Miss were the 2 and 3. Texas vs Ohio State was highest.
This post was edited on 10/7/26 at 10:36 am
Posted by Hateradedrink
Member since May 2023
4393 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:35 am to
NAM12km 12z shifted east to Baldwin co, strength still 995mb.

Trends seem to be drifting east across models.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
52431 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:35 am to
A look at Oyster's grill before the game on Saturday, since he apparently likes sausage all over his grill.

Posted by Spocks Brain
Member since Nov 2025
450 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:37 am to
Japanese Sausage?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36542 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:44 am to
quote:

If AI is banking on climo winning out but the models see something different, then it is possible that AI is pushing east based on climo but that this is a situation where climo doesn't win.


It isnt so much "climo won", to me, as it is in October you get more direct steering to the east vs ride a weakening ridge edge.

Its a "the physical models are probably underdoing the thing forcing this east", so I will adjust my thinking to account for that.
Posted by TheGhostOfBigLee
Member since Oct 2018
1102 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:45 am to
So New Orleans is in the clear?
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
34389 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:45 am to
Clemson-LSU wasn't even in the Top-5
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Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
52431 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:45 am to
Yes, you should throw an outdoor party near the water on Friday afternoon.
Posted by AHM21
Member since Feb 2008
33191 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:46 am to
Waiting to see if the NHC shifts it towards Pensacola and into the panhandle. Seems most models keep pushing the center to the east.
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