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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:24 pm to
Posted by Tiger Khan
Member since Oct 2009
2512 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:24 pm to
In your opinion, at what point does that high-pressure dome stop influencing the westward movement?

Also, is it possible during that time-frame that the counter-clockwise flow changes?
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:24 pm to
5mb drop yikes.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

Yeah but your answer was shite.



So you didn't understand it?
Posted by Box Geauxrilla
Member since Jun 2013
19220 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:25 pm to
I'm suprised how many people are on periscope live steaming. This guy is by a highway asking where everyone is. He doesn't realize that everyone has left.

LINK
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

I'm suprised how many people are on periscope live steaming. This guy is by a highway asking where everyone is. He doesn't realize that everyone has left.



That guy sounds like he sniffs glue A LOT.
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

Just a differing of opinion
Good! Your right to do so.

You made sure we all know it.

We know it's going to Mobile thanks to you.

We ALL have opinions.

Should I keep trying to force mine on you??
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:27 pm to
935mb with the dropsonde.
Posted by GeorgeTheGreek
Sparta, Greece
Member since Mar 2008
69110 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:27 pm to
No slack, I get it.

Your explanation has holes and I don't feel like jumping in and debating with all you other non-meteorologist.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:27 pm to
Euro ensembles:



1 of 52 members is an outlier to the east, 1 is and outlier to the west, the other 50 are tightly clustered in the same general area as the 1AM run.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:29 pm to
so -3mb verified.

Hmmmm

Slack whats the probability of RI with Irma before landfall?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:29 pm to
quote:

No slack, I get it.

Your explanation has holes and I don't feel like jumping in and debating with all you other non-meteorologist.




Then debate with the NHC. This is their methodology - LINK
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

Slack whats the probability of RI with Irma before landfall?
Levi Cowan had a tweet saying Irma's wind profile suggested her peak winds are down but spread out much further, something you see after interaction with land. He said it will take her some time to regroup the peak winds, but he's concerned she'll have enough time given her structure and projected path.
Posted by lsuwontonwrap
Member since Aug 2012
34147 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

Are you a meteorologist?


Everyone in this thread is a meteorologist. Didn't you know that?
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178790 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:31 pm to
I'm an Ologist because I have no boundaries
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178790 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:32 pm to
First to Cola, next to New Orleans
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:33 pm to
quote:


What's the point of a cone, if the whole cone moves?
The purpose of the cone is to use existing technology to help us tell where these things will probably go IMO.

It has been far better than nothing or someone's gut feeling.

If you have something better I'd sure like to see it.
Posted by jlc05
Member since Nov 2005
33407 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:34 pm to
Jeff is now in Naples!
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:34 pm to
Boy I really hope this thing doesn't skirt just west off Florida. That would be worst case scenario there allowing it to gain strength on a collision course with panhandle then bama while also hitting all the west florida coastal areas. Someone is going to have to bite the bullet.
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:36 pm to
quote:

all you other non-meteorologist.
So you are not one either??
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 3:36 pm to
I think its going to go a bit further west than the track currently is showing because its taking more of a western direction than the models show at least right now. The Marquesas might get the direct hit.
This post was edited on 9/9/17 at 3:38 pm
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