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Started By
Message
3
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:46 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Looks like it kills off Jose in the Caribbean.
good point... tunnel visioned in on Irma
it does kill off potential Jose in the Caribbean
Posted on 8/31/17 at 11:51 pm to rt3
quote:
good point... tunnel visioned in on Irma
it does kill off potential Jose in the Caribbean
so... about potential Jose... may still be a tiny something there
ETA: Potential Jose would be that 999mb low by Florida/Georgia/South Carolina
ETA2: if this model were to verify (highly unlikely... too far out)... Jose would be a huge annoyance to a just crushed area
This post was edited on 8/31/17 at 11:56 pm
Posted on 9/1/17 at 12:47 am to lsuman25
Euro 00z run is starting
00z yesterday - going all the through Cuba
12z yesterday - kicking the FG through the FL straits (aka bye-bye FL Keys)
00z... let's find out, shall we
ETA: off to a bad start
at 0 hour (aka right now)... it has it as a 1004mb low... which obviously it is much lower than 1004 at the current moment
00z yesterday - going all the through Cuba
12z yesterday - kicking the FG through the FL straits (aka bye-bye FL Keys)
00z... let's find out, shall we
ETA: off to a bad start
at 0 hour (aka right now)... it has it as a 1004mb low... which obviously it is much lower than 1004 at the current moment
This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 12:59 am
Posted on 9/1/17 at 1:45 am to rt3
good news for the GOM states is the Euro looks like it's picking up on the recurve now
this is further north than the previous runs
this is further north than the previous runs
Posted on 9/1/17 at 1:51 am to rt3
Curve bitch!
Posted on 9/1/17 at 1:57 am to iliveinabox
everyone can become a Euro fan again... it looks to curve Irma out to sea seemingly bothering no one in the States
This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 1:58 am
Posted on 9/1/17 at 2:06 am to rt3
Posted on 9/1/17 at 2:13 am to rt3
Posted on 9/1/17 at 2:41 am to lsuman25
Got these from @MJVentrice his bio says "Meteorological Scientist @WeatherCompany @IBM @IBMWatson. PhD in tropical meteorology"
I really really hope this MFer doesnt get into the gulf
quote:
Up to a 30% chance via the 12Z Calibrated ECMWF EPS for a landfalling Major Hurricane somewhere along the eastern seaboard #Irma
quote:
Wow, a number of ECMWF EPS members show a maximum-sustained windspeed of 180+mph for #Irma, rivaling Hurricane #Allen (1980) for record wind
quote:
These are the highest windspeed forecasts I've ever seen in my 10 yrs of Atlantic hurricane forecasting. #Irma is another retiree candidate.
I really really hope this MFer doesnt get into the gulf
This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 2:51 am
Posted on 9/1/17 at 5:06 am to rt3
I know it's early but there is very good reason for optimism that this thing stays out to sea. At least I feel it will be well east of my location. The magic east coast trough will be in place in time to send it up and out.
Posted on 9/1/17 at 5:25 am to otowntiger
Irma is already a Cat 3? Isn't that really strong for a storm that far out? If that thing get in the gulf, we're in trouble.
Posted on 9/1/17 at 5:50 am to DeafJam73
Can't even get back to sleep awful thoughts running thru my head at the moment
It's hard to think logically (still 5 days or so from being anywhere close to accurate on this thing) when you realize the monstrous potential Irma has if it gets to GOM
It's hard to think logically (still 5 days or so from being anywhere close to accurate on this thing) when you realize the monstrous potential Irma has if it gets to GOM
Posted on 9/1/17 at 5:59 am to PhillyTiger90
Looks like it's going up the eastern seaboard.
Posted on 9/1/17 at 6:07 am to Izzy Mandelbaum Sr
That's def good to here
I'll still be on pins and needles until Monday or Tuesday
I'll still be on pins and needles until Monday or Tuesday
This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 6:08 am
Posted on 9/1/17 at 6:21 am to PhillyTiger90
Better today...no doubt.
Posted on 9/1/17 at 6:26 am to doya2
GFS is even more north as well.
Posted on 9/1/17 at 7:20 am to rds dc
Not surprising, but a north eastward shift across pretty much all guidance last night.
Posted on 9/1/17 at 7:22 am to rds dc
Where's the path of totality? Asking for the entire Gulf Coast.
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