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Posted on 8/28/18 at 12:30 pm to rt3
Complacency is a killer.
Camille, Katrina (in New Orleans), Andrew. You stay in a target zone and God help you.
Camille, Katrina (in New Orleans), Andrew. You stay in a target zone and God help you.
Posted on 8/28/18 at 12:33 pm to rds dc
Here is a warning issued on this day in 2005 for Katrina
Posted on 8/28/18 at 1:49 pm to rds dc
12z GFS dropped development but the 12z Euro still showing development.
Posted on 8/28/18 at 1:50 pm to rds dc
Posted on 8/28/18 at 1:50 pm to rds dc
And...the hour 216 (9 days out) version.
Posted on 8/28/18 at 1:55 pm to BRIllini07
Posted on 8/28/18 at 1:59 pm to BRIllini07
Thursday at 7PM
It's almost refreshing being targeted 9 days out. The chances of it being that accurate are very slim.
It's almost refreshing being targeted 9 days out. The chances of it being that accurate are very slim.
Posted on 8/28/18 at 1:59 pm to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 8/28/18 at 2:33 pm to East Coast Band
My fiance and I were in Baton Rouge that night and I remember reading that Katrina dire warning and thinking to myself "Oh frick". I was in NOLA the night before and those of us who were from around here were unassing the city posthaste. We talked to some tourist in the atrium lobby of a hotel on Canal and told him to GTFO of the city. He told us that he'd never been through a hurricane and was going to stay. When told what would happen if the levees broke, he said he could tread water.
I sometimes wonder whatever happened to that fool.
I sometimes wonder whatever happened to that fool.
This post was edited on 8/28/18 at 2:35 pm
Posted on 8/28/18 at 4:02 pm to rds dc
12z Euro EPS tracks
12z GEFS has a D10 cluster, even though the OP doesn't develop this for a number of reasons
12z GEFS has a D10 cluster, even though the OP doesn't develop this for a number of reasons
Posted on 8/28/18 at 4:08 pm to rds dc
quote:
12z GEFS has a D10 cluster
C'mon, rds. English for us dummies.
Posted on 8/28/18 at 4:10 pm to rds dc
I'm trying to read those maps. Are the green circle tropical storms, light blue cat 1, and dark blue cat 2? Also what is a D10 cluster?
Posted on 8/28/18 at 4:13 pm to LSUfansabanhater
quote:
I'm trying to read those maps. Are the green circle tropical storms, light blue cat 1, and dark blue cat 2? Also what is a D10 cluster?
So, yea the free version isn't best design, lines are the tracks and circles indicate the position at certain time steps. D10 = Day 10.
Posted on 8/28/18 at 5:26 pm to slackster
quote:
It's almost refreshing being targeted 9 days out. The chances of it being that accurate are very slim. ?
Which model was it that locked in on the eventual Harvey solution a week in advance?
Posted on 8/28/18 at 5:46 pm to Jim Rockford
Weather Channel loving this "0 August hurricanes but holy shite September be lit" storyline
Posted on 8/28/18 at 6:01 pm to rt3
Just trying to make sure people remember that the peak of the season is in September.
Posted on 8/28/18 at 7:16 pm to rds dc
quote:
Yep, about 5 days until Climo says, "Go Time"
We will see. Is this the quietest season on record or what?
Posted on 8/28/18 at 8:14 pm to Jim Rockford
quote:
Which model was it that locked in on the eventual Harvey solution a week in advance?
Euro was good on the Harvey landfall area, but nothing had it stall for as long as it did a week plus out. Nothing I can recall at least.
ETA - some of the variations in forecast 9-5 days out had some pretty impressive hits. The GFS nailed some rainfall totals 9 days out, for example.
This post was edited on 8/28/18 at 8:23 pm
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