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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:27 pm to
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

Roanoke, VA.


Wasnt this area having flooding issues already? Maybe it was another part of VA they were talking about last night on TWC.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102609 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

Microwave showing complete eyewall


Do they use a 700 watt or 1100 watt?
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43293 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:29 pm to
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Florence, located over the west-central Atlantic Ocean, on Hurricane
Helene, located over the eastern Atlantic, and on Tropical Storm
Isaac, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

1. Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the area of
disturbed weather located over the extreme northwestern Caribbean
Sea and the southeastern Gulf of Mexico is gradually becoming better
organized. Ship reports indicate that this system is producing
strong gusty winds over the Yucatan Channel. Upper-level winds are
forecast to become more conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form by Thursday night while the disturbance
moves across the western Gulf of Mexico. If necessary, an Air Force
Reconnaissance plane will investigate the system tomorrow.
Interests across northeastern Mexico and the coasts of Texas and
Louisiana should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of
development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected to continue
over western Cuba and portions of the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula
today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36223 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

Duke
Can you provide a link for that PowerPoint you linked in the other thread yesterday? It doesn't work. Thanks!
Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
118250 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:31 pm to
Not sure. I can see how parts of downtown would have issues with flooding.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102609 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:31 pm to
I laughed at the Florence Hurricane response
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18049 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:33 pm to
quote:


Do they use a 700 watt or 1100 watt?

Maybe if they stopped heating this thing up with the microwave it would start weakening.
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
37861 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

Thats what I was thinking yesterday when I heard about Issac....I was like...didnt we just have a Hurricane Issac?


I think this guy has something to do with it...



Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147073 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36223 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:38 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:40 pm to
Looks like we're getting some model consensus on landfall Thursday overnight in the immediate Wilmington area:

12z HWRF @ 11PM EDT Thursday



12z HMON @ 5PM EDT Thursday



12z GFS @ 8PM EDT Thursday



00z Euro @ 11 PM EDT Thursday




Landfall in Wilmington +/- 50 miles between 5 and 11 PM local time on Thursday.
Posted by Lou Pai
Member since Dec 2014
29593 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:41 pm to
You guys keep up with any weather related message boards?
Posted by Backinthe615
Member since Nov 2011
6871 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:43 pm to
Games are starting to get cancelled, WVU vs. NC State is off. I believe Clemson, Va Tech and UV all have home games as well.

BC vs. Wake on Thurs has been moved to an earlier kick.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53878 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:43 pm to
Tomorrow will be moving out day for Wilmington residents
This post was edited on 9/11/18 at 12:44 pm
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36223 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

You guys keep up with any weather related message boards?
A few were posted in the other thread:

For anyone looking for deeper commentary on the storm, heres some good websites:

1)Wunderground.com, Dr Jeff Masters Category 6 blog, and comments

LINK

2)Levi Cowen's Tropical Tidbits

LINK

3)2k weather website

LINK
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53878 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

WVU vs. NC State is off


NC State doesn't have the balls to just let West Virginia host it
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82742 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:45 pm to
No stormcastforums??? That's the site peej posts at
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:46 pm to
Florence 2.5 hours ago | Florence now

Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:47 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

For anyone looking for deeper commentary on the storm, heres some good websites:


What the OT lacks in education we make up for with humor.

Wunderground and 2k are mostly humorless nerd fights and wishcasting with VERY good commentary sprinkled in.
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