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Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:05 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Looks a little west of 5 pm.
Any farther west than that would be bad news for the OBX.
Any farther west than that would be bad news for the OBX.
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:06 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
I know we're all looking at Dorian (rightfully so)
but I gotta ask... a number of pages ago the TD Hurricane Experts talked about a big ridge building in and if any storms coming off the African coast get under it... that could be something for every part of coastal US to look at... including the Gulf coast
so my question comes with the wave the NHC has tagged right off the African coast now... giving it a 50% chance of development over the next 5 days
is that ridge still in play?
ETA: obviously talking about rds & Duke... all the other fools down below can EAD
but I gotta ask... a number of pages ago the TD Hurricane Experts talked about a big ridge building in and if any storms coming off the African coast get under it... that could be something for every part of coastal US to look at... including the Gulf coast
so my question comes with the wave the NHC has tagged right off the African coast now... giving it a 50% chance of development over the next 5 days
is that ridge still in play?
ETA: obviously talking about rds & Duke... all the other fools down below can EAD
This post was edited on 9/4/19 at 10:10 pm
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:08 pm to rt3
quote:
the TD Hurricane Experts talked about
Stopped reading right there
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:08 pm to Duke
quote:
Hurricane center might bring Dorian back to Cat 3 at 10 pm. The core does look the part on radar.
You definitely nailed it there.
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:08 pm to rt3
I’ll run some models in the lab after class tomorrow.
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:10 pm to BigBrod81
quote:
You definitely nailed it there
I also said it wasn't going to get back to a Cat 3 today about 10:30.
Win some and lose some.
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:10 pm to The Boat
quote:
I’ll run some models in the lab after class tomorrow.
They teach you how to copy and paste?
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:10 pm to rt3
quote:
is that ridge still in play?
That ridge will break down by the time any waves make the long journey to the new world
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:11 pm to tgrbaitn08
That was day 1
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:11 pm to rt3
You must be talking about disturbance 2 that is running under TS Gabrielle..Yeah we should keep an eye on that sucker..
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:13 pm to Athis
quote:
You must be talking about disturbance 2 that is running under TS Gabrielle..Yeah we should keep an eye on that sucker..
yes... that's the 1 I'm talking about
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:14 pm to rt3
Yea, if it doesn't get far enough north by a certain point it could be a problem way down the road. It's got to survive first, don't think the models really do anything with it at the moment.
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:15 pm to The Boat
Good lord, TWC just showed some lower level drone footage of Abaco Island and it literally looks like a landfill. There’s nothing standing and all the houses are on top of each other.
There’s really no way for them to tell where their property starts or ends. It’s I believable
There’s really no way for them to tell where their property starts or ends. It’s I believable
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:17 pm to Athis
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:17 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
Good lord, TWC just showed
No doubt, there is a lot damage in the area, but since it's from TWC, you can assume they picked what showed the wery worst area. Awfulizing is their trademark.
This post was edited on 9/4/19 at 10:22 pm
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:20 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Yea, if it doesn't get far enough north by a certain point it could be a problem way down the road. It's got to survive first, don't think the models really do anything with it at the moment.
yes very true... it has to survive
I just know what time of the season we're in at the moment
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:21 pm to OmniPundit
quote:
Since it's from TWC, you can assume they picked what showed the worst damage, Awfulizing is their trademark.
Jesus Christ you people are insufferable
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:21 pm to BigBrod81
Upvote for the correlation
Posted on 9/4/19 at 10:25 pm to rt3
The trajectory of that invest is never one you want to see, but it's a long way out. Give it a few days to develop and how everything sets up post Dorian.
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