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re: How high will oil go?

Posted on 6/21/25 at 10:55 pm to
Posted by TigerHornII
Member since Feb 2021
1155 posts
Posted on 6/21/25 at 10:55 pm to
quote:

No it’s not


Yep, Short blip at most, then back to where it was.

If Iran closes the Straight of Hormuz, they lose something like 90% of their export $. Mighty hard to pay nuke scientists and IRGC officers their hazard pay if you don't have any government income to pay 'em with.

Saudi and the US can both pump more. Having said that, the bulk of Iranian exports go to China, so do we really care if prices go up in China? China will likely go hat in hand to Russia, which isn't supposed to be selling on the international market anyway.
This post was edited on 6/21/25 at 10:59 pm
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
76191 posts
Posted on 6/21/25 at 11:01 pm to
quote:

do we really care if prices go up in China?


You think China doesnt buy the 2nd cheapest bbl and drive up price?

They aren't idiots.
Posted by Errerrerrwere
Member since Aug 2015
42571 posts
Posted on 6/21/25 at 11:02 pm to
quote:

Shits gonna go nuts this week


We bombed a major oil field?
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
76191 posts
Posted on 6/21/25 at 11:03 pm to
quote:


We bombed a major oil field?


Everyone missed this fact. No oil has been disrupted. Minimal impact.
Posted by Errerrerrwere
Member since Aug 2015
42571 posts
Posted on 6/21/25 at 11:04 pm to
The whole supply/ demand thing they missed in ECON 1001
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
76191 posts
Posted on 6/21/25 at 11:15 pm to
Im more worried about the miss on last week's draw down that was overlooked over whatever us going on in the ME.

Something is abnormal.
Posted by SPAGHETTI PLATE
Montgomery, Texas
Member since Jan 2025
1365 posts
Posted on 6/21/25 at 11:22 pm to
quote:

How high will oil go?


Posted by Errerrerrwere
Member since Aug 2015
42571 posts
Posted on 6/21/25 at 11:28 pm to
It’s a Trump presidency calm down about oil.
Posted by TigerMyth36
River Ridge
Member since Nov 2005
40977 posts
Posted on 6/21/25 at 11:41 pm to
Oil traders didn't miss it. I see some financial writers screaming about prices from $100 to $180, meanwhile the traders have barely nudged the price up.
Posted by LSU713Tiger
Houston, TX
Member since Nov 2012
171 posts
Posted on 6/22/25 at 12:29 am to
Posted by Bayou
Boudin, LA
Member since Feb 2005
41482 posts
Posted on 6/22/25 at 7:02 am to
quote:


Given that Iran is responsible for 3% of the global oil supply, not much.

THIS...
and OPEC controls pricing for the most part anyway
Posted by UptownJoeBrown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2024
7145 posts
Posted on 6/22/25 at 7:32 am to
Insurance companies would stop the tankers. Then countries would have to guarantee the insurance companies against loss.

Either way, the oil is gonna flow. I think China gets 60% of its oil through there.

More than just Iran ships through there.
Posted by ChiGator
Member since Nov 2020
3914 posts
Posted on 6/22/25 at 7:37 am to
Don’t let facts get in the way of a good story. - MAGA
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
40399 posts
Posted on 6/22/25 at 7:43 am to
quote:

Wouldn’t be a worry if the democrats didn’t decimate the American oil industry.


Posted by CatsGoneWild
Pigeon forge, Tennessee
Member since Jan 2008
14799 posts
Posted on 6/22/25 at 7:45 am to
Gas in Ohio has went up .30 or more depending on the area this week
Posted by The Torch
DFW The Dub
Member since Aug 2014
27592 posts
Posted on 6/22/25 at 7:48 am to
quote:

How high will oil go?


Trumps last term he all Iranian oil export shut down and we still had cheap gas.




That dirty Iranian Oil
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
14387 posts
Posted on 6/22/25 at 7:49 am to
As high as they let it. OPEC has room to produce more, but if Iran starts attacking shipping straights who knows.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
13808 posts
Posted on 6/22/25 at 9:47 am to
Iran has no teeth to do anything.

It ain't done that much considering last week's strikes.

The biggest loser is CHYNA if Iran does anything.
Posted by HarryBalzack
Member since Oct 2012
16240 posts
Posted on 6/22/25 at 10:45 am to
We escorted tankers through there before when the Iranian "navy" (a collection of Boston whalers with a machine gun mounted on the bow and some idiot in the cushions with an RPG) was attacking them.
Posted by HarryBalzack
Member since Oct 2012
16240 posts
Posted on 6/22/25 at 10:48 am to
quote:

Gas in Ohio has went up .30 or more depending on the area this week
Some of that is the annual summertime price increase related to demand.
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