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Message
re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:03 pm to 50_Tiger
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:03 pm to 50_Tiger
I hate to break it to you but streets are supposed to flood. Yeah obviously many in Houston are bad and more frequent than should be. But news cameras love to show it. Most drainage projects intend to reduce structure flooding.
Edit to add, interstates really shouldn't flood with any regularity. There are just parts of houston that are still bad.
Edit to add, interstates really shouldn't flood with any regularity. There are just parts of houston that are still bad.
This post was edited on 8/22/17 at 12:06 pm
1
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:07 pm to slackster
The 12Z HMON is the one everyone needs to hope is right. Goes inland well south of Brownsville.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:11 pm to LSUJuice
quote:
ally shouldn't flood with any regularity. There are just parts of houston that are still bad.
Wasn't 59 under the montrose bridges designed to flood?
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:12 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
The 12Z HMON is the one everyone needs to hope is right. Goes inland well south of Brownsville.
This post was edited on 8/22/17 at 12:15 pm
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:24 pm to ForeverLSU02
20-24" rain totals. Wow. I dont know if ive ever seen that
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:28 pm to CypressTrout10
What is the timeline on this, or where can I find it?
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:29 pm to Janky
Thursday-Monday I believe
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:32 pm to slackster
Sorry if I missed it, but what is steering this thing? Could it still go to Mexico?
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:33 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
The 12Z HMON is the one everyone needs to hope is right. Goes inland well south of Brownsville.
I hope so. I've got to fly through Houston on Sunday. How long before we see if that scenario plays out?
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:35 pm to CypressTrout10
Thank you.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:35 pm to rds dc
Recon is about to fly to sample the larger scale environment across the Gulf. Hopefully, this helps the 00z models to pin down the ULL.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:38 pm to rds dc
That's got Camille written all over it.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:43 pm to upgrayedd
It will probably be tomorrow afternoon or evening before the center becomes clearly enough defined for the models to initialize accurately.
A 2-day forecast is quite accurate, but only if the model starts with accurate initial conditions and location of the center.
A 2-day forecast is quite accurate, but only if the model starts with accurate initial conditions and location of the center.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:46 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
The 12Z HMON is the one everyone needs to hope is right. Goes inland well south of Brownsville.
The 12z HWRF has a landfall between Corpus and Brownsville around noon on Friday.
Things will change, but it appears the biggest threat is flooding rains from Friday through as late as next Thursday.
12z GFS accumulated rainfall through next Wednesday at noon:
Rainfall totals are very difficult to predict, but the possibility is there.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:46 pm to NorthEndZone
22 inches of rain?????? Damn....
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:56 pm to dukke v
That is over 8 days though.
South LA can handle 2 feet of rain spread over a week but not over 2 days
South LA can handle 2 feet of rain spread over a week but not over 2 days
This post was edited on 8/22/17 at 12:57 pm
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:57 pm to slackster
That projected front moving through Wednesday/Thursday...isn't that going to hurt us since it's probably not going to slip all the way through? Is that what the Euro models are doing? Curving NE because the front backs off and it hits the weakness.
This post was edited on 8/22/17 at 1:00 pm
Posted on 8/22/17 at 1:02 pm to deuce985
This post was edited on 8/22/17 at 1:03 pm
Posted on 8/22/17 at 1:04 pm to Cosmo
quote:
That is over 8 days though. South LA can handle 2 feet of rain spread over a week but not over 2 days
Now recalculate the timeframe when precip begins for this area. Its actually condensed into a 2-3 days window. These precip projection maps are notoriously bad as well, for both the high end and the low end.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 1:06 pm to slackster
I reckon I better cut my grass no later than Thursday ehhh.
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