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Started By
Message
re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:25 am to LSUfanNkaty
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:25 am to LSUfanNkaty
Nearly 22" of rain for Lake Charles on this run...
2
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:26 am to rds dc
Mother fricker that shite is way too close to us. We don't need anymore fricking rain here.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:27 am to rds dc
I know this latest GFS run will not verify exactly, but anything close to this will be a potentially catastrophic rainfall flooding event.
The center only moves from near Corpus Christi at landfall Friday night to Lake Charles on TUESDAY night -- 4 full days to move about 300 miles.
The center only moves from near Corpus Christi at landfall Friday night to Lake Charles on TUESDAY night -- 4 full days to move about 300 miles.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:27 am to rds dc
quote:
Nearly 22" of rain for Lake Charles on this run...
No bueno... My wife just told me we will have to notify family we won't be going into LC for the weekend... I told her "They'll know"...
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:28 am to NorthEndZone
Yeah, those models make my palms sweaty
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:28 am to rds dc
quote:
By 150 hrs, slowly sinking back SE. Devastating rain totals for SE Texas.
I have a feeling that will shift further East as the hours tick by...not good..not good at all
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:30 am to LSUfanNkaty
How much rain can Houston handle per hour?
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:30 am to GEAUXT
What's the odds of an eastward shift at this point? or is that still a crapshoot?
If my house floods again, odds are I pick up and don't go back to it.
If my house floods again, odds are I pick up and don't go back to it.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:30 am to NorthEndZone
quote:
4 full days to move about 300 miles.
Well frick
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:33 am to NorthEndZone
quote:
I know this latest GFS run will not verify exactly, but anything close to this will be a potentially catastrophic rainfall flooding event.
Yea, key takeaway is that there is potential for catastrophic flooding anywhere from the I35 corridor in Texas over to S. Louisiana. Details will change and don't buy in to any one model run.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:35 am to 50_Tiger
quote:
How much rain can Houston handle per hour?
2"/hour storms frequently flood streets and cars. The rain totals in that last model will be Allison all over again...maybe worse.
Bayous will be topped all over the place.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:36 am to 50_Tiger
Not a whole lot. I have been here 3.5 years and there have been 2-3 flood events in/near the city.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:38 am to Wedge
hope it stays west of BR but good god I feel bad for anyone in between houston and the LC. If I was in the LC i'd go buy one of those quick dams now
This post was edited on 8/22/17 at 11:40 am
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:39 am to rds dc
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/11/21 at 8:45 pm
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:50 am to geauxtigersgirl
Hasn't the GFS model been a pretty poor performer for tropical systems lately?
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:51 am to geauxtigersgirl
quote:
Not liking those rainfall totals at all.
Yea, these rainfall forecasts are making me sweat. If that continues to be shifted toward Louisiana and we have another flood, I'm giving up and moving. frick this shite.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:54 am to 50_Tiger
quote:
How much rain can Houston handle per hour?
Older parts of the city:
About 5" in 3 hours
About 6" in 6 hours
About 8" in 12 hours
About 10" in 24 hours
About 11" in 48 hours
These numbers generally correspond to a 25-year rainfall event. Obviously some areas are worse than others. And this assumes street flooding.
Newer developments with better drainage infrastructure:
About 6" in 3 hours
About 9" in 6 hours
About 11" in 12 hours
About 13" in 24 hours
About 14" in 48 hours
These numbers generally correspond to a 100-year rainfall event. And again, street flooding is still considered "handling" it.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:56 am to LSUJuice
So it's a guarantee if this things holds track we will see major street flooding.
Did they ever fix the bad flooding on the interstates in town?
I can't remember which one it was but the money shot for the last major flood was showing that thoroughfare look like a lake.
Did they ever fix the bad flooding on the interstates in town?
I can't remember which one it was but the money shot for the last major flood was showing that thoroughfare look like a lake.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:00 pm to rds dc
Any idea if this things takes a more easterly turn before its all over?
ETA: Do I need to restock the beenie weenie supply?
ETA: Do I need to restock the beenie weenie supply?
This post was edited on 8/22/17 at 12:01 pm
Posted on 8/22/17 at 12:02 pm to fatboydave
quote:
Any idea if this things takes a more easterly turn before its all over?
The most recent GFS run suggests a weak steering pattern, hence the meandering for 4ish days.
quote:
ETA: Do I need to restock the beenie weenie supply?
Always.
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