re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted by Rakim

Member since Nov 2015

9954 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:33 pm to slackster

quote:
Looks like they found winds up to 85kt at the surface, which would support an upgrade to 95 or 100 mph surface winds. Pressure seems to be @ 969.

God this thing really might be a Cat 4 at some point.

Posted by RummelTiger

Official TD Sauces Club Member

Member since Aug 2004

93582 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:34 pm to rds dc

What the what?!

Posted by ell_13

Member since Apr 2013

87962 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:34 pm to RummelTiger

Not "right now", just at the very end of the gfs run. 140 hrs+

Posted by RummelTiger

Official TD Sauces Club Member

Member since Aug 2004

93582 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:37 pm to ell_13

I know, it's just a big shift in the modeling.

2 ...

Posted by TDsngumbo

Member since Oct 2011

50563 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:38 pm to RummelTiger

What is the new modeling showing?

2 ...

Posted by rt3

now in the piney woods of Pineville

Member since Apr 2011

147072 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:39 pm to RummelTiger

quote:
I know, it's just a big shift in the modeling.

could it be considered an anomaly?

Posted by rt3

now in the piney woods of Pineville

Member since Apr 2011

147072 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:40 pm to TDsngumbo

quote:
What is the new modeling showing?

new GFS projecting that Harvey DPs Corpus Christi then moves up towards Dallas

ETA: DP meaning nailing Corpus on 2 separate occasions

This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 11:41 pm

Posted by RummelTiger

Official TD Sauces Club Member

Member since Aug 2004

93582 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:40 pm to TDsngumbo

quote:
What is the new modeling showing?

Running up to Dallas after messing with Central Texas.

Posted by slackster

Houston

Member since Mar 2009

91837 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:42 pm to rt3

quote:
could it be considered an anomaly?

Compared to previous GFS runs, sure, but it actually brings the GFS closer in line with the Euro than it has been up to this point.

3 ...

Posted by rt3

now in the piney woods of Pineville

Member since Apr 2011

147072 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:44 pm to slackster

quote:
Compared to previous GFS runs, sure, but it actually brings the GFS closer in line with the Euro than it has been up to this point.

I guess I'm looking more specifically at the turn north to Dallas instead of heading into Louisiana

Posted by The Boat

Member since Oct 2008

177204 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:44 pm to slackster

Harvey consolidating big time. Deep convection now wrapped around the center

Posted by rt3

now in the piney woods of Pineville

Member since Apr 2011

147072 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:44 pm to rt3

2 ...

Posted by droman225

HTown by way of BR

Member since Aug 2011

13475 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:45 pm to rt3

Finding that high quality h2o

3 ...

Posted by Ed Osteen

Member since Oct 2007

59224 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:45 pm to droman225

Posted by rt3

now in the piney woods of Pineville

Member since Apr 2011

147072 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:46 pm to droman225

quote:
Finding that high quality h2o

Posted by RummelTiger

Official TD Sauces Club Member

Member since Aug 2004

93582 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:46 pm to rt3

I mean... It sure as shite looks like it's gonna make landfall before Saturday morning.

Posted by slackster

Houston

Member since Mar 2009

91837 posts

Posted on 8/24/17 at 11:46 pm to droman225

quote:
Finding that high quality h2o

If it can ever close the gap with that large convection to the northeast, look out. That gap is its only weakness for the next 24 hours, and it may not even matter.